Key factors driving the market, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: Traders were cautious ahead of key jobs data from the US, but benchmark indices gained for a second straight day on Friday. Financials and auto stocks were in demand, while select IT names saw selling.

The exuberant retail investors have been buying on every dip. This ‘buy on dips’ strategy has been rewarding retail investors and, therefore, they can be expected to continue with that strategy until there is a sharp correction and negative signals in the market, said an analyst.

Sensex achieved another milestone of 58k and it is surprising the street by its ferocious move and creating new history almost every day. This bull run has more legs to go and it is just a matter of time when Sensex will cross the 60,000 mark,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart.

“Technically, 58700 is an immediate target level while 57500 is immediate support whereas 56300-56000 will be a strong demand zone at any correction.”

How are the bluechips doing?
After opening in the green, benchmark indices maintained their lead. At 1.38 pm, BSE flagship Sensex was up 274 points or 0.47 per cent to 58,126. NSE benchmark Nifty rose 70 points or 0.41 per cent to 17,304.

In the 50-share pack Nifty, Eicher Motors was the biggest gainer, up 3.10 per cent. Titan, ONGC, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Hero MotoCorps and Reliance Industries were among other gainers.

HDFC Life Insurance was the top loser in the pack, down 2.31 per cent. Cipla, HCL Tech, Shree Cement, HUL, Hindalco, Tech Mahindra and UltraTech Cements were among those that traded in the red.

FACTORS DRIVING MARKETS
Yields, dollar flat: US treasuries have been cautious ahead of the data release, and in Asian hours on Friday the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes was 1.2919 per cent compared with its US close of 1.294 per cent on Thursday. The dollar stayed pinned at month lows against a basket of currencies with the euro doing a fair amount of the work.

US jobs data: There is some caution ahead of the upcoming jobs data on Friday. The Labor Department will release the non-farm payrolls report for August at 1230 GMT. Solid jobs recovery is an important criteria for the US central bank to start paring pandemic-era stimulus measures.

Broader markets
Broader market indices were trading higher, outperforming their headline peers. Nifty Smallcap was up 0.56 per cent, while Nifty Midcap added 0.62 per cent. Broadest index on NSE, Nifty 500 was up 0.43 per cent.

Trident, Vakrangee, IRB Infra Developers, Exide Industries, Prestige Estates, L&T Tech Services were gainers from the space while Adani Total Gas, JSW Energy, Crompton Greaves, CAMS, Rites and Affle India were under selling pressure.

Global markets
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was broadly flat in early trading in Asia having posted gains in eight of the last nine sessions as the benchmark edges back towards its position in mid July before Chinese regulatory crackdowns sent shares tumbling.

Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.38 per cent, and MSCI’s all-country world index edged higher having ended the previous session at its fifth consecutive closing high.

Australia was up 0.3 per cent and Korea rose 0.61 per cent while Chinese blue chips fell 0.27 per cent and Hong Kong dropped 0.6 per cent right after the bell, as traders try to balance weaker economic data out of China against the potential for future stimulus.



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Will Centre’s crypto hesitancy extinguish a thriving asset class?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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While the Cabinet ruminates on the cryptocurrency bill, 15 million Indians are now trading in digital coins. This almost puts us in the same league as the US where 23 million people trade in cryptos. At this point, the lack of legal clarity seems to be the only thing stopping a cryptocurrency revolution in India.

For the Indian investor, with cryptocurrency comes hesitancy, particularly in the face of hostility from the Reserve Bank and the Finance Ministry. However, investments in crypto have grown from around $200 million to nearly $40 billion in the past year, as per Chainalysis.

“We are hoping for positive regulations from the government that give clarity to investors and foster the crypto industry further,” said Sharan Nair, Chief Business Officer of crypto exchange platform CoinSwitch Kuber. “There are many people who have been hesitant to invest in cryptocurrencies due to the lack of legal clarity,” he added.

CoinSwitch Kuber has seen exponential growth since beginning operations in June 2020, and expects growth to speed up even more in the event of a favourable regulatory outcome.

“We’ve always voiced in favour of regulatory clarity around crypto assets and we’re looking forward to a regulatory framework that protects investor interest and helps businesses grow in this industry,” said Avinash Shekhar, Co-CEO of cryptocurrency exchange ZebPay.

Zebpay is one of the biggest crypto exchange platforms in the country with over 4 million users and over $1 billion in monthly transaction volumes.

The RBI’s view has been that cryptocurrencies are distinct from blockchain technology. “The Reserve Bank’s position has been that cryptocurrencies should be banned,” Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman recently told ET.

An inter-ministerial panel headed by former finance secretary Subhash Chandra Garg had earlier submitted a report seeking a ban on cryptocurrencies and authorising a digital currency of the RBI.

However, there has been more positive messaging from the Finance Minister: “We are not saying no to cryptocurrency. We are saying we’ll have to see how this technology can help fintech maximise the potential that it has,” Sitharaman said.

Crypto exchanges believe that a regulatory framework for crypto assets is the way forward instead of a blanket ban.

“We do not believe that a complete ban is likely as there have been some positive comments from the Finance Minister and talks of developing blockchain technology that is quickly gaining global prominence,” explains Nair.

Cryptocurrencies are also seeing wider acceptance among both retail and institutional investors. India should not be left behind in this revolution, he adds.

There are examples of other countries like Singapore that have effectively implemented laws and regulations around crypto assets, Shekhar points out. “We hope to see regulations that will help investors to experiment with this new asset class and take advantage of this global market.”

Sitharaman wants to work with the Reserve Bank to try and make the regulation a sophisticated one. “I can say the work is nearly complete. It is now for the cabinet to go into it,” the FM told ET.

RBI has indicated that it might soon unveil a central bank digital currency (CBDC), which is legal tender in digital form; essentially a digital rupee. Both Nair and Shekhar – despite differences with RBI on the future of crypto assets – believe this is a step in the right direction.

“e-RUPI, though not backed by blockchain, was a huge step towards acceptance of digital currencies. India’s own CBDC will make transactions and transfers easier”, Nair says.

Shekhar looks forward to seeing the design and role of a nationalized cryptocurrency in the Indian economy: “Especially, the features of the crypto — whether it’ll have a public ledger or not, the type of blockchain it’ll function, and so on.”

Let’s see how it’s handled, Sitharaman remarked.

“Is it possible with just a notification and a rule or is legislation definitely required? It’s a call which the cabinet will have to take,” she said.



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Exide Industries soars 14% after announcing deal with HDFC Life, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi: Shares of Exide Industries rallied as much as 14 per cent in early trade on Friday as HDFC Life Insurance Company announced that it will acquire its life insurance business.

HDFC Life today announced acquisition of 100 per cent stake in Exide Life Insurance and its subsequent merger with HDFC Life for Rs 6,687 crore.

HDFC will issue 8,70,22,222 equity shares at an issue price of Rs 685 per share. The deal also involves cash payout of Rs 726 crore. The entire process is subject to obtaining the relevant regulatory and other approvals.

Following the development, shares of Exide Industries surged 14 per cent to Rs 202.95 on Friday, before trading at Rs 192.20 at 10 am. The scrip had settled at Rs 178.25 on Thursday.

HDFC Life Insurance company shed 4 per cent to 728.55, before trading at Rs 739.95. BSE Sensex was trading 225.09 points, or 0.39 per cent, higher at 58,077.63 at the same time.

According to the statement, the proposed transaction will accelerate the growth of the agency business of HDFC Life as well as strengthen other distribution channels including broker, direct and co-operative banks.

With this acquisition, HDFC Life expects to gain a strong foothold in south India, especially in Tier-II and Tier-III locations.

Also, the move will provide customers with a stronger product suite, wider distribution network and more service touch points.

The embedded value of Exide Life, as on 30th June 2021, is Rs 2,711 crore and has been reviewed by Willis Towers Watson Actuarial Advisory LLP, HDFC Life said.

Commenting on the proposed transaction, Deepak Parekh, Chairman, HDFC Life, said, “This is a landmark transaction, first of its kind, in the Indian life insurance space. It would enhance insurance penetration and further our purpose of providing financial protection to a wider customer base.”



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SoftBank-backed Snapdeal weighs $400 million IPO, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Indian e-commerce retailer Snapdeal Pvt is considering an initial public offering that could raise about $400 million, joining a growing list of startups preparing to tap capital markets as the nation’s digital economy booms.

The company, which counts SoftBank Group Corp. among its investors, is speaking with advisers about a potential listing in Mumbai that could value it at as much as $2.5 billion, the people said. An IPO could take place as soon as next year, they said, asking not to be identified because the details aren’t public.

Discussions are still at an early stage, and the firm could decide not to proceed with the plan, the people said. Representatives for Snapdeal and SoftBank declined to comment.

Snapdeal, based in the New Delhi suburb of Gurgaon, was once one of the country’s top three e-commerce firms along with Flipkart Online Services Pvt. and the Indian unit of Amazon.com Inc. Founded in 2010, it offers more than 60 million products across 800 categories on its platform and delivers to more than 6,000 cities and towns across the country, according to its website.

Four years ago, Snapdeal walked away from a potential merger with Flipkart, which would have united the two local-e-commerce companies against Amazon. Since then, Flipkart sold a controlling stake to Walmart Inc. and is now progressing towards its own IPO.

The amount raised through IPOs in India so far in 2021 has already surpassed the total gathered in the last three years. The pipeline for the rest of the year includes payments service provider Paytm, online insurance platform Policybazaar and e-commerce beauty startup Nykaa.



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As India lotteries grapple with rampant ticket smuggling, here’s how digitization can help

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Investment

oi-Sneha Kulkarni

By Staff

|

Lottery has been a huge part of India-both in culture and economy-for many decades. That’s not surprising; India is known to have a deep-seated passion for gambling, and it’s one that dates to pre-digital times. So why isn’t the lottery industry keeping up with the changing times?

As India lotteries grapple with ticket smuggling, how digitization can help

The case of ‘smuggled’ lottery tickets

Selling lottery tickets is allowed in as many as 13 states across the country, providing not just entertainment and prizes for residents but also revenue for the state in areas where they’re legal to operate in. These include Sikkim Nagaland, Goa, Kerala, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram, Manipur, Meghalaya, Punjab and West Bengal.

While it is regulated for the most part, the lottery industry is still beset with problems in the recent past such as that of monitoring and controlling the sale and distribution of tickets.

Case in point are the states of West Bengal and Kerala, which only allow paper lotteries. A study by ENV Media, titled Dissecting the Indian Lottery Market, noted that lottery tickets from these two states “are regularly smuggled over to other states, many of which do not have or allow a legal government lottery-e.g. Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Jharkhand or Bihar.”

Currently, no official data is available on the growing black market of lottery tickets in India. However, local media reports have quoted officials who confirmed that “the Kerala border districts which show maximum lottery sales could actually be seeing smuggling of tickets out of the state in bulk, where they may be cornered by those with money, to ensure more chances of winning a prize.”

Kerala is considered to be the first State lottery established in India-in 1967-and the Kerala Lottery is reportedly the largest public lotto in the Union offering various games for different days of the week and Bumper lotteries at select times of the year, according to the ENV Media report. West Bengal’s legal lottery was introduced in 1968, and currently offers six Bumper draws for each major Indian holiday as well as seven weekly lotteries known as Dhankesari.

India states need to reconsider stance on online lottery

Arguably one of the most popular-and regulated-games in the country, the lottery industry needs to keep up with the rapidly changing times. Currently, lottery tickets are sold via retailers and controlled by a central server that’s operated by the state government-by shifting the entire operation to lottery tickets online will speed up sales and payouts, ENV Media analysts noted.

With India fast becoming a mobile first country, the lottery industry can benefit from this largely untapped market by digitizing its entire operation. As a SevenJackpots report pointed out, “online gambling gave access to many users with disposable income and interest in real money games such as roulette.”

This is especially true for the state of Kerala, which has registered the second largest internet penetration of 56% statewide. West Bengal, on the other hand, is one of the leading Indian states that make up the majority of online gambling-with 62.1% of all online casino customers.

As ENV Media analysts explained, “…provided that the average desi consumer feels comfortable using a mobile phone in this day and age – and that the demand for lottery games should be a constant in the long run – many States need to reconsider their stance on an online and mobile lottery if they are to make up their losses and prepare for the future of legal lotteries in India.”

This is a Partnered post.

Story first published: Friday, September 3, 2021, 12:26 [IST]



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Mobile e-commerce startup Bikayi raises 10.8 mln in Series-A funding, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bikayi, a mobile e-commerce startup has raised $10.8 million in Series-A funding round led by Sequoia Capital India. Earlier in August 2020, the company had raised $2 million as a part of its seed round of funding led by Y Combinator.

The company plans on using the raised capital to scale up their product offerings, accelerate product development, acquisition, and talent hiring.

Sonakshi Nathani, Co-founder & CEO, Bikayi, said, “We are on a mission to fulfil the aspirations of millions of small businesses that drive our economy. There are merchants who have made more than a million dollars via Bikayi e-stores in the span of a year. Such stories keep us obsessed to do better for our customers every single day.”

Bakayi plans on helping their customers to sell their products across India and make it big in the constantly evolving online commerce industry. Currently Bikayi has more than 4 million+ registered users on the platform.

“Rapid digitization of SMBs and the deepening of the e-commerce ecosystem are huge trends in India and Bikayi is building a next-gen product that sits at the confluence of both these trends. The team is excited to partner with Bikayi in their mission to empower millions of SMBs to engage their customers online,” said Shraeyansh Thakur, Vice President, Sequoia Capital India.



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Mukesh Ambani’s $50 phone can unleash a credit revolution across the globe, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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A smartphone widely believed to be priced below $50, likely the world’s cheapest, will start selling a week from now. If Mukesh Ambani’s JioPhone Next, an Android device custom-built for India by Alphabet Inc.’s Google, is a hit in the price-conscious market, it will solve one problem for banks while posing another.

With the country’s remaining 300 million feature-phone users going online, there will be a surge of customer data that can stand in for collateral. The question is, how will banks get their hands on it?

An answer has come from iSPIRT, a small band of policy influencers quietly setting up technology standards for India’s digital markets, inducing firms to enter new, open-network markets from online payments to healthcare.

The Bangalore-based group is championing a fresh set of players — account aggregators — to unlock a much sought-after prize: Bringing into the folds of formal credit the 80% of adults in developing countries (40% in rich nations) who don’t borrow money from traditional institutions.

But these people and their micro enterprises are increasingly online thanks to innovations like JioPhone Next. They’re paying rents, rates and utility bills and receiving payments on their smartphones, scattering their footprints all over the internet. Account aggregators will gather those digital crumbs for people to share their own data in a machine-readable format for a bank loan application.

Introducing a layer of consent managers is important. Emerging-market borrowers can have many types of accounts-based relationships. Yet they can be useless to banks if they can’t present a composite picture of their financial lives to access formal loans that get monitored by credit bureaus. More than three-fifths of India’s adult population is either invisible to credit scorers or not considered worth the trouble by standard lending institutions.

In an advanced economy like the U.S., services such as Experian Boost and LenddoScore help narrow the subprime borrowers’ visibility gap by getting them to voluntarily submit their utility or video-streaming bills to demonstrate creditworthiness. But in an emerging market with low financial literacy, banks would rather leave the bottom of the pyramid to lenders who know the borrower in real life or have some social leverage on her — such as micro-finance firms that lend to groups of women.

Conversely, tech platforms, intimately aware of their customers’ online behavior, can match them with loans, collecting fees while leaving risks with the banks. Jack Ma’s Ant Group Co. cornered nearly a fifth of China’s short-term consumer debt before Beijing broke up the game.

Not every country can afford to bring out the heavy artillery against its private sector: Politics wouldn’t allow it. Aggregators can be a much softer tool for keeping the lending market fair, giving banks a reasonable economic chance to compete with data-rich tech giants.

Take JioPhone Next. It will spew out data about a large segment of sparsely banked population. Jio, Ambani’s 4G telecom network, will capture some of it as subscribers of its cheap data plans buy groceries from JioMart, an online partnership with neighborhood stores across India. Google will also get valuable data about users’ location and search queries. Facebook Inc. will exploit its own knowledge, as the social media giant adds to its half-a-billion-strong Indian customer base for WhatsApp and a growing craze for Instagram Reels, a video-sharing platform. Unsurprisingly then, Google wants to influence India’s deposit market, and Facebook is nibbling into the small business loans pie.

When it comes to real-time data, banks can never match the platforms’ clout. But account aggregators’ snapshots can help them catch a break.

Just enough additional data that will tell them if a customer is more creditworthy than suggested by a low (or no) credit score can make a big difference to profit, especially as banks won’t have to pay hefty fees to the likes of Jio, Google or Facebook for their proprietary assessments. By owning and explicitly sharing their data, customers will avoid getting trapped in the tech industry’s biased algorithms. Tiny enterprises will be able to show their cash flows to lenders by pooling everything from tax payments to customer receipts. Once telecom firms come on board, an affordable “buy-now-pay-later” plan on a refrigerator purchase will become possible for a low-income family that pays its phone bills regularly .

Aggregation, being a utility, will be like tap water to platforms’ Evian, and be priced accordingly. Who will own the pipes? Walmart Inc.’s PhonePe, which runs India’s most popular digital wallet, has received an in-principle approval to be an aggregator from the central bank. Eight banks, which between them account for 48% of all accounts in the country, have agreed to use the framework, which went live Thursday.

It’s a good start. Banks desperately need some help to stay in the money game. Or they’ll just go crying to regulators and ask them for special protections against Big Tech. That would hurt experimentation and delay the credit revolution that $50 phones can unleash.



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Gold firms on sluggish dollar ahead of US jobs data, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Gold prices eked out small gains on Friday, buoyed by a weaker dollar, with investors awaiting the US jobs data to gauge the Federal Reserve’s plans to start tapering asset purchases.

FUNDAMENTALS
Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,811.79 per ounce by 0115 GMT, but was headed for its first weekly decline in four.

US gold futures gained 0.2% to $1,814.80.

The dollar index fell to a one-month low, bolstering gold’s appeal to those holding other currencies.

The number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week, while layoffs dropped to their lowest level in more than 24 years in August, suggesting the labor market was charging ahead even as new COVID-19 infections surge.

The Labor Department will release the non-farm payrolls report for August at 1230 GMT.

Solid jobs recovery is an import criteria for the US central bank to start paring pandemic-era stimulus measures.

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation which could result from massive economic stimulus measures.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.2% to 998.52 tonnes on Thursday, lowest level since April 2020.

Russia’s international gold and foreign currency reserves rose to a record $615.6 billion after receiving a tranche from the International Monetary Fund, the central bank said.

Silver rose 0.2% to $23.92 per ounce, while platinum inched 0.1% higher to $1,000.04. Palladium climbed 0.3% to $2,408.18.



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SGX Nifty up 5 points; here’s what changed for market while you were sleeping, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Domestic stocks are likely to open on a muted note on Friday, ahead of a crucial US jobs data scheduled for later in the day. Asian stocks were trading mixed while US stocks closed marginally higher overnight. The dollar was trading near a one-month low level. Here’s breaking down the pre-market actions:

STATE OF THE MARKETS

SGX Nifty signals a flat start
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 3.5 points, or 0.02 per cent, higher at 17,256, signaling that Dalal Street was headed for a muted start on Friday.

  • Tech View: Nifty50 on Thursday formed a bullish candle on the daily chart and made a higher high-low formation for the fourth successive day, suggesting more gains ahead for the index.
  • India VIX: The fear gauge gained marginally to 14.24 level on Thursday over its close at 14.18 on Wednesday.

Asian stocks mixed in early trade
Asian markets opened mixed on Friday as investors took heart from US rallies with investors looking ahead to US job data due later in the day. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down by 0.21 per cent.

  • Japan’s Nikkei gained 0.33%
  • Korea’s Kospi jumped 0.47%
  • Australia’s ASX 200 added 0.50%
  • China’s Shanghai dropped 0.22%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng tanked 0.91%

US stocks ended higher
The S&P500 index and Nasdaq Composite squeaked to record highs as Wall Street’s main indices all ended Thursday in positive territory, with higher commodity prices helping energy names recover ground and the latest jobs data leaving investors unfazed from existing positions.

  • Dow Jones gained 0.37% to 35,443.82
  • S&P 500 jumped 0.28% to 4,536.95
  • Nasdaq added 0.14% to 15,331.18

Dollar nears one-month low level
The dollar sank to its lowest in almost a month against major rivals on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. jobs report that could spur the Federal Reserve to an earlier tapering of stimulus.

  • Dollar index slipped to 92.193
  • Euro edged up to $1.1878
  • Pound gained to $1.3844
  • Yen held at 109.915 per dollar
  • Yuan at to 6.4587 against the greenback

FPIs buy shares worth Rs 349 cr
Net-net, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) turned buyers of domestic stocks to the tune of Rs 348.52 crore, data available with NSE suggested. DIIs were buyers to the tune of Rs 381.7 crore, data suggests.

MONEY MARKETS
Rupee: The domestic currency settled with a marginal gain of 2 paise at 73.06 (provisional) against the US dollar on Thursday despite a sustained rally in domestic equities.

10-year bond: India’s 10-year bond yield declined 0.45 per cent to 6.17 after trading in 6.17 – 6.21 range.

Call rates: The overnight call money rate weighted average stood at 3.19 per cent on Wednesday, according to RBI data. It moved in a range of 1.95-3.40 per cent.

DATA/EVENTS TO WATCH

  • IN Markit Composite PMI AUG (10:30 am)
  • IN Markit Services PMI AUG (10:30 am)
  • IN Foreign Exchange Reserves 27/AUG (5 pm)
  • US Non Farm Payrolls AUG (6 pm)
  • US Unemployment Rate AUG (6 pm)
  • US Average Weekly Hours AUG (6 pm)
  • US Average Hourly Earnings YoY AUG (6 pm)
  • US Markit Services PMI Final AUG (7:15 pm)
  • US Markit Composite PMI Final AUG (7:15 pm)
  • EA Retail Sales MoM JUL (2:30 pm)
  • EA Retail Sales YoY JUL (2:30 pm)
  • EA Markit Services PMI Final AUG (1:30 pm)
  • EA Markit Composite PMI Final AUG (1:30 pm)

MACROS

FMCG, electronic sales down
Sales of groceries, essentials, smartphones and electronics in August fell sharply, especially in the second half of the month after pent-up demand fizzled out post the Independence weekend sale season.

Rupee regains 72 level on bond issues, inflows
Similar to the equities market, the gain in the rupee has been sharp and sudden with an appreciation of 1.5% in five trading sessions. Dealers said that the domestic currency was buoyed by positive sentiment in the equities market.

Crypto will be a commodity
The government is planning to define cryptocurrencies in the new draft bill that also proposes to compartmentalise virtual currencies on the basis of their use cases, ET reported. Cryptocurrencies will be treated as an asset/commodity for all purposes, including taxation and as per user case — payments, investment or utility.

No immediate trigger for gold
An astounding bull run in local equity markets amid the Covid-19 pandemic has taken the shine off gold — historically, one of the most in-demand assets during a crisis. Portfolio managers say there is no immediate trigger for a spike in gold prices and the yellow metal should ideally be not more than 10% in one’s investment portfolio as the economy is showing signs of recovery.

ICRA revises steel sector outlook
Indian steel industry’s consolidated borrowings are at their lowest levels since March 2012, said ICRA. The rating company has also revised the steel sector’s outlook to ‘positive’ from stable on account of better-than-expected performance of India’s top steelmakers in the first quarter ending June.



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5 Preferred Cement Stocks To Buy As Suggested By Sharekhan

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Outlook positive on the cement space; Sharekhan

For Q1FY2022, the cement industry’s revenue remained basically flat, as slightly lower-than-expected volumes were offset by higher-than-expected realizations. In addition, the cement sector’s profitability outperforms expectations, with weighted average EBITDA/tonne up 6.2 percent year over year to Rs. 1,413 against our target of Rs. 1,351/tonne, says the brokerage.

“The cement sector is expected to feel the impact on operational profitability in Q2FY2022 where volumes remain weak, cement prices tread lower q-o-q, while input costs remain firm. However, the sector is expected to see cement prices to rise from September, while demand picks up post the monsoon season containing overall input costs and improving profitability, ” the brokerage has said.

Valuation of cement sector

Valuation of cement sector

“We stay Positive on the cement space, as we see favourable demand and pricing environment from Q3FY2022. We prefer UltraTech, Dalmia Bharat, Shree Cement, Grasim Industries, and The Ramco Cements,” the brokerage has said.

Overall, the cement coverage universe saw a 5% and 15% increase in operating profit (up 51% year over year, down 9% q-o-q) and net profit, respectively. Except for The Ramco Cements and Dalmia Bharat, all cement businesses posted higher-than-expected net results, says the brokerage.

According to Sharekhan, better realization and lower opex drove the cement sector’s net earnings outperformance in Q1FY2022. From Q3FY2022, it expects demand and realizations to improve.

Top stocks buys of Sharekhan from the cement sector

Top stocks buys of Sharekhan from the cement sector

Leaders in Q1FY2022 – UltraTech, Shree Cement, JK Lakshmi Cement, India Cements, Mangalam Cement.

Laggards in Q1FY2022 – The Ramco Cements, Dalmia Bharat

Preferred Picks – UltraTech, Shree Cements, The Ramco Cements, JK Lakshmi Cement.

Companies CMP (Rs) Recommendation Target Price
Shree Cement 26581 BUY Rs 31610
Ultratech Cement 7307 BUY Rs 8800
Grasim Industries 1440 BUY Rs 1780
The RamcoCement 969 BUY Rs 1310
Dalmia Bharat 2042 Buy Rs 2410

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stocks are based on the report of Sharekhan. Investing in stocks is risky and investors should do their own research. The author, the brokerage firms or Greynium Information Technologies are not responsible for any losses incurred due to a decision based on the above article. Investors should hence exercise due caution as are at record peaks. Please consult a professional advisor.



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