Buy This Housing Finance Company Stock, Says Motilal Oswal

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Special home loan rates to push demand, says Motilal Oswal

According to the brokerage the company extended its lowest home loan rate of 6.66% for the festive season to borrowers having a CIBIL score of 700 and above, for loans up to Rs 20 million (the earlier limit was Rs 5 million).

“By segmenting borrowers based on their CIBIL score, irrespective of the category of employment, LIC Housing Finance aims to cater to a larger borrower base. This move is in tune with the demand for larger spaces and affordability, and good traction for loans in the ticket size of Rs 5million to 20 million,” the brokerage has said.

Disbursement growth to pick up

Disbursement growth to pick up

According to Motilal Oswal, the retail home loan demand was impacted by localized lockdowns in 1QFY22.

“Nevertheless, individual Home loan disbursements comprehensively exceeded YoY levels. We expect pent-up demand to be pronounced in the remaining nine months of the current fiscal year, leading to healthy growth in disbursements for FY22. We expect 11% loan book CAGR over FY21-24E. Since Jun’21 there has been an improvement in economic activity, and collection efficiency has also improved to 98%, which is encouraging. The sharp rise in Stage 3 loans is concerning. The same got exacerbated due to the impact of the second COVID wave. We now estimate a credit cost of 85bp/60bp in FY22E/FY23E,” the brokerage has said.

Partnership to augur well for LIC Housing Finance

Partnership to augur well for LIC Housing Finance

India Post Payments Bank and LIC Housing Finance recently announced a strategic partnership for providing Home loan products to over 45 million customers of India Post Payments Bank. “Through its robust and extensive network of 650 branches and more than 136,000 banking access points, India Post Payments Bank will make LIC Housing Finance’s Home loan products accessible to its customer’s pan-India. The alliance will also provide LIC Housing Finance’s access to India Post Payments Bank’s on-ground workforce of nearly 200,000 postal employees that are equipped with micro ATMs and biometric devices through its innovative Doorstep Banking Service. This will play a significant role in offering LIC Housing Finance Housing loans,” the brokerage has said.

Valuation and view

Valuation and view

With the completion of the preferential equity allotment to its promoter LIC, the capitalization/leverage concerns for LIC Housing Finance now been ironed out. “Given its parentage, it has been able to raise debt capital at low rates, which should keep margin healthy in a highly competitive environment. While asset quality pain has been pronounced so far, we draw comfort from LIC Housing Finance’s ability to source low-cost liabilities, favorable Housing Finance cycle, and 11-12% RoE. While we expect FY22E to be impacted, we estimate ~1.1%/12% RoA/RoE in FY23E, after having penciled in the preferential allotment of fresh equity shares to the promoter. We maintain our Buy rating with a target price of Rs 525 pe rshare (1.1x FY23E BVPS),” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage houses are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. The above article is for informational purposes only



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IL&FS Financial Services to sell bad loans worth Rs 4000 crore, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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IL&FS Financial Services, an arm of IL&FS, has put on the block Rs 4,297 crore of loans that have been classified as non-performing assets. The finance company has said that the 62 loans will be sold all together for an upfront cash payment. Interested parties have been given until October 19 to submit a binding bid.

Last week, the RBI allowed lenders to sell even those loan accounts that have been classified as fraudulent. The loans that IL&FS is trying to sell are those advanced to third-parties that are not part of the group. The financial services arm has also advanced loans to group companies which are non-performing.

According to sources, the scope of recovery in these loans is limited. In July the board had said that it expects to recover Rs 58,000 crore or 95% of the recovery target by March 2022. The group’s overall debt stood at Rs 99,000 crore as of October 2018, of which it expects to recover Rs 61,000 crore.

A presentation on the recovery update filed by IL&FS said the corporation plans to recover Rs 2,250 crore after September 2021. This included the recovery from sale of IFIN NPAs, recoveries from non-group investments, and release of non-fund-based limits.

Banks have classified loans to IFIN as fraud. The Serious Fraud Investigation Office (SFIO) had observed shortcomings in the operations, risk management and compliance of the company for years.



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Gold prices dip on rising dollar, bond yields, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Gold prices eased on Tuesday, hurt by a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited more cues from Federal Reserve officials on the central bank’s monetary policy shift.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,748.01 per ounce by 0115 GMT, while U.S. gold futures were down 0.3% to $1,747.50.

* The dollar index was up 0.1%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

* Overnight, benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest level in three months.

* U.S. Federal Reserve officials on Monday tied reduction in the Fed’s monthly bond purchases to continued job growth, with a September employment report now a potential trigger for the central bank’s bond “taper.”

* Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to testify later in the day before Congress on the central bank’s policy response to the pandemic.

* In prepared remarks, Powell said the U.S. central bank would move against unchecked inflation if needed.

* While gold is often considered a hedge against higher inflation, a rate hike would increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which pays no interest.

* China’s central bank vowed to protect consumers exposed to the housing market on Monday and injected more cash into the banking system as the Shenzhen government began investigating the wealth management unit of ailing developer Evergrande.

* SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.3% to 990.32 on Monday.

* Poland’s central bank has more than 230 tonnes of gold and plans to expand its reserves, the head of Poland’s Central Bank said on Monday.

* Silver fell 0.8% to $22.47 per ounce.

* Platinum dropped 0.5% to $976.07, while palladium was down 0.6% at $1,952.44.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0130 China Industrial Profit YTD, YY Aug 1400 US Consumer Confid. Final Sept



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Banks put loans worth over Rs 10,000 crore on sale in Q2

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Bank of Baroda has also put one home loan account on sale.

Fifteen banks have placed bad loans worth a total Rs 10,201 crore on sale to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) so far during Q2FY22, data compiled by FE showed. The assets on the block include some large accounts as well as some loans to small businesses where exposure is under Rs 50 crore.

Lenders have been looking to offload some retail and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) loans as also some larger non-performing assets (NPAs) where they expect quick resolutions through an auction process.
Some of the large assets which are at various stages of the auction process include JBF Industries, Imagicaaworld Entertainment, JBF Petrochemicals, Sew Infrastructure and IVRCL Chengapalli Tollways.

In Q1, recovery of Rs 5,824 crore in the stressed Kingfisher Airlines had boosted the profits of quite a few public sector banks.

At the same time, smaller enterprise borrowers account for a chunk of the NPA sale lists of some banks, such as Bank of Baroda. The bank is seeking buyers for loans worth Rs 2,378 crore, including accounts where the asset is being offered by the whole consortium. Its sale list includes a large number of accounts where the exposure ranges between Rs 1 crore and Rs 20 crore. Bank of Baroda has also put one home loan account on sale.

Quite a few ARCs in the private sector have been showing interest in acquiring smaller NPAs in the retail and MSME segments, which have been hit harder than corporates by the Covid-19 pandemic. In previous quarters, too, banks such as IDBI Bank have tried to sell retail NPAs, but disagreements over pricing are understood to have led the lender to hold on to those loans.

“Retail NPA sales are more common by non-banking financial companies and smaller private banks. Public sector banks are not too active in the segment,” said a senior executive with an ARC, adding that activity in this segment is likely to increase.

Bankers, analysts as well as the Reserve Bank of India have been flagging the rising levels of delinquencies in the retail and MSME segments. Smaller loans are becoming a more significant area of activity for ARCs as the National Asset Reconstruction Company gets set up to resolve NPAs of over Rs 500 crore.

In a recent report, rating agency Crisil said, “ARCs are expected to circle stressed accounts in the MSME and retail segments in the near-to-medium term, given the twin challenges of inadequate funding access and intensifying competition once the proposed National ARC materialises.”

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Nifty’s bearish candle and spike in VIX show rally is halting, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Nifty on Monday opened positive, but failed to surpass the previous day’s high of 17,947 and witnessed profit-booking decline in the initial half towards the 17,800 level. However, it saw some recovery from the lows but remained consolidative in the second half and closed on a flat note.

The index formed a bearish candle on the daily scale with a longer lower shadow, indicating that declines were bought into. Nifty50 has continued to form higher lows in the last three sessions. Now, it has to hold above the 17,800 level for a bounce towards the 18,000 level, whereas support is placed at 17,777 and 17,650 levels.

India VIX moved up 6.69 per cent from 16.92 to 18.05 level. A spurt in India VIX is causing volatile swings and now it has to cool down below 15-14 zone to continue the smooth ride of the market.

On the Options front, maximum Put Open Interest stood at the 17,000 level followed by 17,800, while maximum Call OI was seen at 18,000 level followed by 18,500. There was Call writing at 18,000 and then 17,900 levels while Put writing was seen at 17,000 and then 17,850 levels. Options data suggested a trading range between 17,600 and 18,000 levels.

Bank Nifty opened positive and touched a new record high of 38,355 in the initial tick. It moved in a consolidative manner thereafter and closed with a gain of around 340 points. Banking stocks outperformed the broader market and gained strength. The index formed a bullish candle on the daily scale and continued to form higher lows for the fourth straight session. Now it has to continue to hold above 38,100 level to witness a rise towards 38,800 level, while on the downside, major support was seen at 37,850 and then 37,500 levels.

Nifty futures closed flat to positive with the marginal gain of 0.06 per cent at 17,865 level. Among specific stocks, the trade setup looked bullish in Maruti, Godrej Properties, Tata Motors, IRCTC, Motherson Sumi, M&M, Amara Raja Battery, Bharat Forge, MCX, Tata Chemical, MRF, TVS Motor, Bajaj Auto, Hero Motocorp and Reliance but weak in Mindtree, Mphasis, Apollo Hospital, Divi’s Labs, Wipro, Metropolis, Dabur, Shriram Transport Finance Company, Lalpath Labs, VEDL, ICICI Pru, JSW Steel and MGL.



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Some surge 500% in 24 hrs, others lose entire value, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: In the cryptocurrency market, if you go beyond the top 100 or 500 tokens, the volatility spikes to mind-numbing levels. In those dark alleys, if your pick is right, you can multiply your wealth up to 10-fold in a day, or if it is wrong, can lose everything in the same period.

Monday has been no different. The top gainers’ list available on CoinMarketCap shows nine tokens more than doubled their value in the last 24 hours, with one jumping as much as 500 per cent.

ForeverFomo, Rapidz, Gaj Finance, GravitX, WAIV Care, Axion, Pastel, Big League and Power Tool were those nine names as of 16:45 hours (IST). Some of these were priced as ridiculously low as one-thousandth of a dollar.

On the other hand, the list of losers showed one token that is down nearly 97 per cent in the last 24 hours. This list also included coins that gained over 800 per cent the day before. This reeks of a classic pump-and-dump scheme.

The top loser of the day, AquaGoat.Finance, priced at $0.000000000208, fell 96.65 per cent in the last 24 hours. GoldFinX, which surged 800 per cent on Sunday, is down over 80 per cent.

Understandably, the volume of trade remains low usually for these names, but can spike whenever they top the gainers’ or losers’ list. Even then, it rarely surpasses a few lakh dollars.

Major cryptocurrencies, which seem to operate in an entirely different world and have gained some legitimacy, were largely in the green. Solana was one of the biggest gainers, climbing 7 per cent.

Data shows the global crypto market-cap on Monday stood at $1.95 trillion, a 2.69 per cent increase over the previous day. The total crypto market volume over the last 24 hours stood at $97.68 billion, marking a 11.53 per cent drop. The volume of all stablecoins is now $78.36 billion, which is 80.22 per cent of the total crypto market’s 24-hour volume.



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Some surge 500% in 24 hrs, others lose entire value, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: In the cryptocurrency market, if you go beyond the top 100 or 500 tokens, the volatility spikes to mind-numbing levels. In those dark alleys, if your pick is right, you can multiply your wealth up to 10-fold in a day, or if it is wrong, can lose everything in the same period.

Monday has been no different. The top gainers’ list available on CoinMarketCap shows nine tokens more than doubled their value in the last 24 hours, with one jumping as much as 500 per cent.

ForeverFomo, Rapidz, Gaj Finance, GravitX, WAIV Care, Axion, Pastel, Big League and Power Tool were those nine names as of 16:45 hours (IST). Some of these were priced as ridiculously low as one-thousandth of a dollar.

On the other hand, the list of losers showed one token that is down nearly 97 per cent in the last 24 hours. This list also included coins that gained over 800 per cent the day before. This reeks of a classic pump-and-dump scheme.

The top loser of the day, AquaGoat.Finance, priced at $0.000000000208, fell 96.65 per cent in the last 24 hours. GoldFinX, which surged 800 per cent on Sunday, is down over 80 per cent.

Understandably, the volume of trade remains low usually for these names, but can spike whenever they top the gainers’ or losers’ list. Even then, it rarely surpasses a few lakh dollars.

Major cryptocurrencies, which seem to operate in an entirely different world and have gained some legitimacy, were largely in the green. Solana was one of the biggest gainers, climbing 7 per cent.

Data shows the global crypto market-cap on Monday stood at $1.95 trillion, a 2.69 per cent increase over the previous day. The total crypto market volume over the last 24 hours stood at $97.68 billion, marking a 11.53 per cent drop. The volume of all stablecoins is now $78.36 billion, which is 80.22 per cent of the total crypto market’s 24-hour volume.



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Will online fraudsters move away from financial services?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Online financial services sector fraud attempts dipped 15 per cent in the sector quarter as fraudsters in India are re-focusing their efforts from financial services to the travel and logistics industries according to a study by credit bureau Transunion Cibil.

Though the rate of suspected online financial services fraud attempts have still risen globally by 18.8% globally during April-June quarter over the same period a year ago, it declined in India by 15.35%, indicating stronger fraud control measures being adopted by the financial services industry, a release by the credit bureau said.

The rate of suspected digital fraud attempts on an aggregate rose 16.5% globally when comparing Q2 2021 to Q2 2020. But in India the percentage of digital fraud attempts decreased by 49.20% during the same time period.

The study notes that gaming and travel and leisure were the two most impacted industries globally for the suspected digital fraud attempt rate, rising 393.0% and 155.9% respectively in the last year. For transactions originating in India this rate rose 53.97% for gaming and 269.72%% for travel and leisure, the release said indicating a shift in industry[focus by fraudsters.

“It is quite common for fraudsters to shift their focus every few months from one industry to another,” said Shai Cohen, senior vice president of Global Fraud Solutions at TransUnion. “Fraudsters tend to seek out industries that may be seeing an immense growth in transactions. This quarter, as countries began to open up more from their COVID-19 lockdowns and travel and other leisure activities became more mainstream, fraudsters clearly made this industry a top target”.

The pandemic accelerated community – online dating and online retail transactions which require logistics and fraudsters have recognized this. “In India post the unlocks, travel and leisure has increasingly become a target as the industry recovers and fraudsters are looking to capitalize as more transactions return to this industry,” added Shai. “As fraudsters continue to target consumers, it’s incumbent on businesses to do all that they can to ensure their customers have an appropriate level of security to trust their transaction is safe all while having a friction-right experience to avoid shopping cart abandonment.”



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Study, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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India’s cryptotech industry is likely to create an economic value addition of $184 billion by 2030, in the form of investments and cost savings, according to a study by the National Association of Software and Services Companies (NASSCOM) and crypto exchange WazirX.

More than 60% of the states are adopting cryptotech, and there are over 15 million retail investors. As of now, India has more than 230 startups operating in the space, the study said.

The Indian market is growing four times the pace of tech industry in the last two years, while institutional funding for startups has seen eight times the growth. The cryptotech market size in India is $74.2 million so far in FY21, up 39% in last five years.

It is one of the fastest growing technology sub-sectors in India, in terms of revenue.

“CryptoTech industry in India has not only demonstrated a positive impact at the grassroots levels but is emerging as one of the fastest growing technology sub-sector. India provides the most unique ecosystem to CryptoTech to play a transformative role in strengthening key priority areas such as healthcare, safety, digital identification, trade and finance, and remittances and help in addressing pandemic-induced challenges,” said Debjani Ghosh, president at NASSCOM.

The market has the potential to create over 8 Lakh jobs by 2030. The cryptotech industry includes crypto applications in trading, P2P payments, remittances, and retail among others.

“A consultative and enabling regulatory approach towards Crypto technologies can help drive the growth of CryptoTech ecosystem and innovation in India,” Ghosh added.

According to Nischal Shetty, chief executive officer of WazirX, crypto has immense potential to contribute to India’s vision of being a $5-Trillion economy. “In the coming years, we’ll see crypto shatter the financial barriers for rural India, create more opportunities and access to jobs, investment and capital,” he said.

Globally, the cryptotech industry is estimated to cross $1.6 billion by 2021, and $2.3 billion by 2026, according to the study.

Click here to read our coverage on cryptocurrency



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China announces cryptocurrency ban – what does it mean for India?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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After the Chinese government declared all cryptocurrency transactions illegal, major currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum tumbled on Friday and Saturday.

The ban makes it difficult for individuals to buy crypto, and could make it harder for companies to exchange it for yuan. This is the second crypto ban the country has declared, the first was in 2017.

Many crypto exchanges and providers were seen rushing to cut ties with Chinese users after the ban.

Shares in crypto-related firms fell on Monday, with crypto asset manager Huobi Tech plunging 23% and OKG Technology Holdings Ltd, a fintech company majority owned by Xu Mingxing and founder of cryptoexchange OKcoin, losing 12%.

China had recently announced that it would be launching its own digital currency. According to experts, the ban was likely because the government wants to remove competition for its digital yuan.

A visitor passes by a logo for the e-CNY, a digital version of the Chinese Yuan, displayed during a trade fair in Beijing, China, Sunday, Sept. 5, 2021. China's central bank on Friday, Sept. 24, 2021 declared all transactions involving Bitcoin and other virtual currencies illegal, stepping up a campaign to block use of unofficial digital money. It is developing an electronic version of the country's yuan for cashless transactions that can be tracked and controlled by Beijing. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
A visitor passes by a logo for the e-CNY, a digital version of the Chinese Yuan, displayed during a trade fair in Beijing, China, Sunday, Sept. 5, 2021. China’s central bank on Friday, Sept. 24, 2021 declared all transactions involving Bitcoin and other virtual currencies illegal, stepping up a campaign to block use of unofficial digital money. It is developing an electronic version of the country’s yuan for cashless transactions that can be tracked and controlled by Beijing. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

To worry.. or not to worry?

Bulls in crypto market are, however, using the fall in prices as a buying opportunity. “I’ll just keep buying more Bitcoin every time it dips,” said Jess Powell, chief executive officer of US crypto exchange Kraken, in an interview with Bloomberg.

According to Powell, every time China has banned Bitcoin, within 90 days the currency has bounced back much stronger than it was before.

Most experts suggest that the impact of the ban is a short-term one, and investors do not have to worry about the drop.

Furthermore, operations in the long run are unlikely to be affected because most Chinese Bitcoin mining companies had moved their operations to crypto-friendly countries in the first crackdown. China is the biggest player in bitcoin mining.

When the ban was announced, Indian exchanges dealing in such assets saw a rush to sell smaller crypto currencies, while veteran investors were relatively calm, according to reports. Some market participants believe that Indian crypto investors will be impacted the same way the global investor will be impacted.

While some believe that since every country has their own demand and supply, the crackdown creates no direct linkage to investment behaviour, even in India. However, some short-term nervousness in buying Bitcoins is likely in the near future on fears of other governments following suit.

With the ban, nearly 20% of the internet population will be out of the market, creating opportunity for India to further grow in the space. Industry players believe that the crackdown will serve as an opportunity for India to become a global leader in crypto.

As a result, every mining operation outside China, including India, benefits because their mining reward, which is proportional to their share of the global hash rate of the Bitcoin network, automatically rises.

Accordingly, a study by Nasscomm and cryptoexchange WazirX said the cryptotech industry in India can create an economic value addition of $184 billion by 2030.

The industry, which includes crypto applications in trading, payments, remittances, and retail among others, is estimated to have grown 39% CAGR in India in the past five years.

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