Bank credit to industry revives, but real estate, education loans lag

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Among industries, a large portion of credit is accounted for by the larger corporates.

By Piyush Shukla

Even as bank credit to industry, which comprises 29.3% of total non-food industry credit, showed some signs of an uptick with 4.1% year-on-year rise in October, data from the Reserve Bank of India’s sectoral credit deployment shows that credit towards commercial real estate and education loans has shrunk by 0.5% and 8.7% on year, respectively.

“Banks have been following a cautious stance in underwriting over past one year owing to Covid impact and focus has been more on secured retail and working capital loans to highly rated borrowers. While banks have actively pursued stronger growth in mortgage and even in LAP (long against property) segments, they have maintained a strong control on their commercial real estate exposure in order to reduce asset quality risks given uncertain economic environment,” said Nitin Aggarwal, vice president, research-banking sector at Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

According to RBI’s data, credit to industry sector increased 4.1% on year to Rs 28,54,571 crore as on October 22. On the other hand, loans to commercial real estate fell 0.5% on year to Rs 2,53,582 crore while education loans credit deployment by banks by 8.7% to Rs 47,260 crore.

Among industries, a large portion of credit is accounted for by the larger corporates. Data shows that while bank credit to micro and small industries grew 11.9% year-on-year and loans to medium-sized industries grew 48.6% in percentage terms over the last year, advances to large corporates remained flat registering 0.5% year-on-year rise at Rs 22,70,350 crore as on October 22.

“Loan demand to industry has recovered to 4% year-on-year versus -0.7% at this time last year. This has been led by a healthy revival in micro, small and medium enterprises and to some extent has also been aided by the ECLGS (Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme) disbursements made earlier. However, the growth from large industry still remains muted at 0.5% on year though capacity utilisations are improving and banks are expecting the corporate demand to recover in coming quarters led by gradual revival in capex cycle,” Aggarwal added.

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SBI to engage consultant for performance evaluation of Directors

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State Bank of India (SBI) has decided to engage the services of a consultant to carry out performance evaluation of all the Directors on the Board of the Bank, Central Board and Board Level Committees.

Currently, India’s largest bank has 13 Directors on the Central Board and 10 Board Level Committees, including Executive Committee of the Central Board, Audit Committee, Risk Management Committee, and Nomination & Remuneration Committee.

The consultant is expected to devise parameters for performance evaluation and assess the quality, quantity and timelines of flow of information between management and the board of directors that is necessary for the Central Board, Chairman, Directors (Executive and Non-executive), and Board Level Committees to effectively and reasonably perform their duties.

Prepare questionnaires

Accordingly, the consultant is required to prepare questionnaires separately for Central Board, Chairman, Executive Directors (other than Chairman), Non-Executive Directors and Board Level Committees and deploy an online platform to receive feedback.

The parameters that the consultant draws up for performance evaluation will include the aspects suggested by Nomination & Remuneration Committee of the Bank. The consultant will have one to one interaction with the Directors for evaluation and prepare a report on the performance evaluation exercise along with recommendations/views for improvement.

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CRED to acquire Happay for $180 million

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Fintech unicorn CRED plans to acquire Happay, a corporate expense management company.

The acquisition is expected to be a cash-and-stock deal, potentially valuing Happay at about $180 million. While Happay will operate as a separate entity, the team will work closely with CRED to expand the product offering and drive scale. Happay’s 230-member team will get all the benefits extended to CRED team members, including the ESOP programme.

Happay is a business expense, payments and travel management platform serving over 6,000 businesses. It manages work-related expenses for over one million users globally, with about $1 billion in annual spends. Its customers include TATA group, PwC, Maruti, OYO, Byju’s and Udaan, among others.

CRED targets ₹100-crore ESOP buyback this year

Kunal Shah, founder, CRED, said, “Turning the pain of credit card management into a delight has enabled CRED to grow rapidly over the past three years. With professional expenses forming a significant portion of credit card spends, bringing professional expense management into the CRED ecosystem is a natural extension of our proposition. Happay’s product strength, customer experience, and vision align with our intent at CRED to reward responsible financial behaviour and we’re excited to partner them in their journey towards leading the category.”

Buoyancy in retail credit growth expected to last

Anshul Rai, co-founder and CEO, Happay, said, “We’ve invested in building a category-defining product at Happay with thousands of customers who love the experience. The next phase of our growth will come from building scale, brand, and distribution.”

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Cryptos, far from the regulators’ glare

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The manner in which cryptocurrencies which began as innocuous playthings of geeks went on to become the most sought after asset class and a threat to traditional cross-border payment channels, while managing to stay beyond the reach of regulators, shows the challenges that digital innovation pose.

The original white paper on Bitcoin, put out by its founder, the anonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, described it as, “a purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash (that) would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”

Most regulators did not take it seriously then, since its usage appeared to be limited to a few rebels who wanted to express their displeasure against the traditional fiat currencies. But Bitcoin has cloned thousands of other cryptocurrencies, which are no longer innocent payment channels but have morphed into a highly speculative asset and conduits of illicit cross-border money transfers.

The experience with cryptocurrencies shows that fintech products and innovations need to be taken more seriously going ahead and quickly brought under the regulatory radar before they grow in to a many-headed monster. There are other similar digital innovations such as digital lending or algo trades that have grown surreptitiously in the shadows in a similar manner with the regulators struggling to frame rules them.

Digital lending entities

More than a decade ago, the usurious practices of microfinance companies charging exorbitant rates of interests, harassing and shaming borrowers had led to a spate of suicides making the RBI issue regulations to check the lenders in this space. The same sequence of events is now being repeated, but in digital space.

As the Covid-19 pandemic hit the livelihoods and small businesses, digital lending apps turned out to be a ready source of money to these small borrowers. While funds could be accessed for extremely short periods, ranging from 7 to 15 days, the rates of interest charged by the digital lenders were extremely high, ranging from 60 to 100 per cent, according to reports. These apps required the borrower to give them permission to access all the information on their smartphones under the garb of doing KYC checks. The problem started when the borrowers were unable to repay the loans. They were harassed, publicly shamed and even blackmailed leading to some borrowers even resorting to the extreme step of taking their lives.

The RBI had taken note of these malpractices and issued an advisory in December and had also opened a portal for registering complaints. It recently set up a working group to give recommendations on regulating these businesses.

The swiftness shown by the central bank in trying to bring digital lending entities under regulatory purview is laudable. It’s clear that there is demand for loans from such digital lenders and total clamp-down on this space is not a good idea. Weeding out the bad players and ensuring that the lending activities continue with sufficient protection to borrowers is the way forward.

But the point to note is the manner in which the miscreants were quick to find a regulatory gap and begin operations. This requires equal amount of agility from regulators as well.

Dealing with algo trading

Another instance of a digital innovation blind-siding regulators was seen in the proliferation of algorithmic or programmed trading in Indian stock exchanges. These trades that require little or no manual intervention, where computer programs shoot orders to the exchange servers at lightning speed, currently account for over 60 per cent of turnover in derivatives section and 50 per cent in cash segment of the NSE.

There was a lot of furore about these algo trading around 2012 when it was first revealed that programmed trading, especially from colocation sites located close to exchange servers, are ahead of the small investors in trade execution due to their proximity to the exchanges. Further, the high-frequency-trading programs and other rogue programs were gaming the market to stay ahead of other traditional traders.

But no one could explain how or when algo trading had started on Indian exchanges and how they had become so widespread by 2012. The market regulator was in a fix then, since banning algos would have resulted in depriving liquidity from market and making FPIs turn away. SEBI decided to embrace algos and regulate them by issuing guidelines to exchanges, intermediaries and investors about dealing with algos.

We had dealt with this logjam in https://www.thehindubusinessline. com/opinion/columns/lokeshwarri-sk/ learn-to-live-with-algo-trading/ article22995759.ece

Regulating cryptos will be tricky

With fintech adoption growing at a break-neck speed in the country with growing smart phone and data accessibility, it is clear that innovative products that fox regulators and at times border on the illegal will keep cropping up. Regulators need to be on their toes and increase the strength of their digital surveillance team which has the skills to understand these products.

But, while innovations like digital lending and algo trading can be regulated and streamlined by regulators, cryptocurrencies will be much more challenging. This is because — one, it is hard to categorise cryptocurrencies as either currency or asset. So determining the regulator for them is quite difficult. Two, the creation or mining of the cryptocurrencies takes place globally and hence cannot be controlled. While trading can be banned in India, it will continue in other global trading platforms which can be easily accessed by Indians. Three, the investors of these crypto assets are mostly not the investors of traditional asset classes.

Hence it may not be possible for issuing reactive regulations for these crypto assets and absorb them into the mainstream as done for other tech innovations. A global consensus on crypto mining and trading could be the way forward, with uniform rules and regulations framed for crypto trading platforms in all countries. While the contours of the Cryptocurrency Bill to be presented in Parliament is awaited, the last word has not yet been said on taming this beast.

The last two decades have seen rapid innovation in fintech with these digital entities seeping into spaces hitherto occupied by traditional banks, insurance companies, stock brokers, investment advisories, and so on. Some of these entities have tried pushing the boundary between the acceptable and unacceptable, ethical and unethical, legal and illegal and, in many instances, regulators have been caught sleeping at the wheel. Regulators will have to upskill and increase the manpower equipped to deal with fintech entities so that they are not caught off-guard, once too often.

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Bank unions threaten two-day nationwide strike against proposed privatisation of PSBs, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The United Forum of Bank Unions (UFBU), an umbrella body of nine unions, has given a call for a two-day strike from December 16 to protest against the proposed privatisation of two state-owned lenders. In the Union Budget presented in February, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had announced the privatisation of two public sector banks (PSBs) as part of its disinvestment plan.

The government has already privatised IDBI Bank by selling its majority stake in the lender to LIC in 2019 and merged 14 public sector banks in the past four years.

The government has listed the Banking Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2021, for introduction and passage during the current session of Parliament.

In view of this, UFBU has decided to oppose the move for privatisation, All India Bank Employees Association (AIBEA) General Secretary C H Venkatachalam said in a statement.

Strike notice for December 16 and December 17, 2021, has been served by UFBU on the IBA, he said.

In a developing country like India, where banks deal with huge public savings and they have to play a leading role to ensure broad-based economic development, public sector banking with social orientation is the most appropriate and imperative need, he said.

Hence, he said, for the past 25 years, under the banner of UFBU “we have been opposing the policies of banking reforms which are aimed at weakening public sector banks”.

Members of UFBU include All India Bank Employees Association (AIBEA), All India Bank Officers’ Confederation (AIBOC), National Confederation of Bank Employees (NCBE), All India Bank Officers’ Association (AIBOA) and Bank Employees Confederation of India (BEFI).

Others are Indian National Bank Employees Federation (INBEF), Indian National Bank Officers Congress (INBOC), National Organisation of Bank Workers (NOBW) and National Organisation of Bank Officers (NOBO).



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States need to take credible steps to address debt sustainability concerns: RBI report

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As the impact of the second wave of the Covid pandemic wanes, the State governments need to take credible steps to address debt sustainability concerns, according to a Reserve Bank of India (RBI) report.

The report “State Finance: Study of Budgets” noted that the combined debt-to-GDP ratio of States, which stood at 31 per cent at end-March 2021, is expected to remain at that level by end-March 2022 and is worryingly higher than the target of 20 per cent to be achieved by 2022-23, as per the recommendations of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Review Committee, chaired by NK Singh.

In view of the pandemic-induced slowdown, the 15th Finance Commission expects the debt-GDP ratio to peak at 33.3 per cent in 2022-23 (given the higher deficits in 2020-21, 2021-22 and 2022-23), and gradually decline thereafter to reach 32.5 per cent by 2025-26.

The report observed that the budgeted gross fiscal deficit (GFD) of 3.7 per cent of GDP for States for the year 2021-22 – lower than the 4 per cent level as recommended by the 15th FC – reflects the State governments’ intent towards fiscal consolidation.

The report said in 2021-22 so far (April-September 2021), the gross and net market borrowings by State governments have been 13 per cent and 21 per cent lower than in the corresponding period of the previous year, respectively.

States have preferred to borrow from the financial accommodation provided by the RBI through short-term borrowing via the special drawing facility (SDF) and ways and means advances (WMA).

Additionally, in recent years, the States have been accumulating sizeable cash surpluses in the intermediate treasury bills (ITBs) and auction treasury bills (ATBs), although they involve a negative carry of interest rates for the States. The report underscored that this warrants improvements in cash management practices.

Power sector reforms

The report emphasised that in the medium term, improvements in the fiscal position of State governments will be contingent upon reforms in the power sector as recommended by the 15th FC and specified by the Centre – creating transparent and hassle-free provision of power subsidy to farmers, preventing leakages, and improving the health of the power distribution companies (DISCOMs) by sustainably alleviating their liquidity stress.

The report opined that timely payments of State dues to DISCOMS and, in turn, by them to generation companies (GENCOS) hold the key to the sector’s financial health.

As per the assessment of the RBI’s Department of Economic and Policy Research, undertaking power sector reforms will not only facilitate additional borrowings of 0.25 per cent of GSDP by the States but also reduce their contingent liabilities due to the improvement in the financial health of the DISCOMs.

Third-tier front

On the third-tier (urban local bodies) front, the report recommended increasing the functional autonomy of civic bodies, strengthening their governance structure and financially empowering them via higher resource availability through self-resource generation and transfers, as they are critical for building resilience and effective interventions at the grass-root level.

The State governments should set up State Finance Commissions (SFC) at regular intervals, in line with the recommendations of the 15th FC. The report said States may also urge rural and urban local bodies to make audited accounts available online in a timely manner to access grants.

In addition, States should undertake local body reforms as stipulated by the Centre to improve the financial autonomy of third-tier governments. “Overall, the sub-national fiscal positions are at an inflection point.Empowerment of the third-tier government presents an opportunity that can result in better and more effective pandemic crusaders in the future,” the report said.

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SBI Ecowrap: Private investment revival seems around the horizon

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New investment announcements in the current year look encouraging as around ₹8.6-lakh crore have been declared so far in the last seven months of FY22 (around ₹11 trillion reported last year).

With the private sector contributing around 67 per cent of this i.e., ₹5.80-lakh crore, it seems the private investment revival is on the horizon, said Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Adviser, State Bank of India (SBI), in the latest edition of SBI Ecowrap.

India’s GDP grew by 8.4 per cent in Q2 FY22 on the back of the double-digit growth in ‘mining & quarrying and public administration, defence and other services’. The real GVA increased by 8.5 per cent, a tad higher than the GDP growth.

Nominal GDP growth jumped by 17.5 per cent, driven in part by a GDP deflator at 8.4 per cent. For Q2, seasonally adjusted real GDP growth is 6.6 per cent q-o-q compared to 10.36 per cent q-o-q non-adjusted real GDP growth. Core GVA, a proxy of private sector growth, expanded by 7.5 per cent – the highest since Q1 FY19.

“In H1 FY21, the country exhibited real GDP loss of ₹11.4-lakh crore (on y-o-y basis) due to the complete lockdown in April-May and partial lockdown in June-September. The situation has improved in FY22 and in H1 FY22, the real gain was around ₹8.2-lakh crore. This indicates that the real loss of ₹3.2-lakh crore still needs to be recouped to reach the pre-pandemic level,” Ghosh said.

Affected sectors

Sector-wise data indicates that ‘trade, hotels, transport, communication & services related to broadcasting’ are still the most affected sectors and the real loss of ₹2.6-lakh crore is still needed to be recouped in this sector.

Overall, the economy is still operating at 95.6 per cent of the pre-pandemic level (with the above-mentioned affected sectors still at 80 per cent) and should take one more quarter to recoup the losses.

In Q2 FY22, the FMCG sector reported a top-line y-o-y growth of 11 per cent while EBIDTA and PAT grew by 4 per cent each. However, the rural markets, which have shown good resilience thus far during the pandemic have slowed in the last couple of months as suggested by some of the industry majors.

However, the results of industry majors whose Q2 FY22 results have been declared (like Dabur) have still not shown a significant slowdown in the rural economy.

“The Q2 estimate of the GDP on the expenditure side largely retains the flavour of trends observed in Q1 FY22. Foremost in quarterly trends, the shares in real terms have decreased for private consumption, government consumption and exports, and have increased for imports and investments and valuables. The component which has also increased is the inventories which have surpassed the pre-Covid level of FY20,” SBI Ecowrap said.

Thus, accounting for the growth in production and concomitant accumulation of inventory, the demand side has not recovered even after the opening of the economy. The massive jump in valuables which implies savings to the tune of 2 per cent of the GDP has moved into precious metals given their inflation hedging property and postponement of marriage in FY21, it added.

“We now expect the GDP growth for FY22 to top 9.5 per cent of the RBI forecast. We believe that the real GDP growth would now be higher than the RBI’s estimate of 9.5 per cent, assuming the RBI growth numbers for Q3 and Q4 to be sacrosanct,” Ghosh said.

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Digital payments remain strong, marginal decline in November

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Digital payments continued to maintain a strong momentum in November although the value and volume of transactions fell marginally compared to the record highs of October that was led by festive season spends.

The Unified Payments Interface, which crossed the 400 crore mark for the number of transactions in October, continued to remain well above the level.

However, the number of transactions on the UPI platform declined slightly to 418 crore in November 2021 compared to 421 crore transactions recorded in October, according to data from the National Payments Corporation of India.

The value of transactions processed through UPI last month was also buoyant but slightly lower at ₹7.68 lakh crore compared to ₹7.71 lakh crore in October.

Experts believe that UPI will continue to register robust growth and acceptance given the multiple use cases including the AutoPay feature and IPO subscription.

On a daily basis on an average, over 13 crore transactions worth at least ₹25,000 crore took place through UPI in November.

IMPS transactions

Transactions on the Immediate Payment Service (IMPS) platform also remained robust but saw a similar decline to 41.2 crore in November from 43.06 crore in October. The value of transactions processed through IMPS fell to ₹3.64 lakh crore in November from ₹3.7 lakh crore a year ago.

As many as 21.41 crore toll collection related transactions worth ₹3,177.17 crore took place through NETC FASTags in November compared to 21.42 crore payments amounting to ₹3,356.74 crore in October 2021.

Payments through AePS however, bucked the trend to rise marginally in terms of value in November 2021. As many as 9.46 crore transactions worth ₹25,687.66 crore took place through AePS last month compared to 9.68 crore transactions totalling ₹25,410.12 crore in October.

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Fintech start-up Simpl raises $40 million Series B from Valar Ventures, IA Ventures

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Fintech start-up Simpl has raised $40 million Series B funding from Peter Thiel’s Valar Ventures and IA Ventures along with the participation of LFH Ventures and other investors.

CRED to acquire Happay for $180 million

With this round, the total capital raised by Simpl has reached $83 million. Simpl’s flagship product is a ‘buy now pay later’ offering called 1-tap Pay Later. Earlier this year Simpl released two new features — Billbox and Pay-in-3. Simpl’s Pay-in-3 feature allows customers to pay for their purchases over three equal payments every month. Further, Billbox feature ensures that all recurring utility bills like electricity, gas, water, broadband bill, etc, are paid automatically and the bill is added to the customer’s Simpl Bill which can be cleared at one go every 15 days.

Push to mobile payments

Over the past 18 months, Simpl claims to have grown its monthly active merchants and its monthly active users by 10X. Simpl works with over 7,000 online merchants including Zomato, MakeMyTrip, Big Basket, Jio Platform, 1MG and Crocs.

Data Focus: Fintech companies in payments space see a rush of investor-interest

“Online checkout is built on a fragmented payment value chain that was created 60 years ago and has left the native-to-mobile retailers and consumers underserved. We built a full-stack checkout platform that gives merchants ultimate control of user experience and helps them build trust with consumers at checkout. Simpl is like a Khata or a Tab for online commerce. This intuitive user experience, built on the bedrock of trust, will enable a larger e-commerce market and will lead to greater adoption of mobile payments in India and the rest of the world,” said Nitya Sharma CEO & Co-Founder of Simpl.

“Simpl built the first payments network we’ve seen that treats small and medium merchants as true partners. It offers the BNPL, fast checkout and anti-fraud features that merchants need to compete in today’s market, at a transparent, fair price,” said Jesse Beyroutey, Partner at IA Ventures.

E-commerce at inflection point

“India’s e-commerce market is at an inflection point and we believe Simpl’s solution is a key enabler in accelerating adoption of digital payments in e-commerce. It significantly improves consumer experience which is why it is quickly becoming a preferred partner for merchants. The team has shown great execution and we are excited to join their mission of democratising e-commerce for all merchants, big and small,” said James Fitzgerald, Partner at Valar Ventures.

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Deutsche Bank strengthens wealth management team in India, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Deutsche Bank is strengthening its wealth management in India to take advantage of the increased entrepreneurial wealth in the country.

The German lender has hired more than 15 bankers and product professionals across various segments to join the India business in 2021 and early 2022. The additional hires are being made across the areas of relationship management and investment advisory.

“The business opportunity in India has become very compelling with the material wealth creation driven by entrepreneurial activity. We are now shifting gears and expanding our long-standing and established team as we seek to support our clients and reach new ones with our full suite of products and solutions” said Amrit Singh, head of wealth management, South Asia.

Among the new hires are Rajasekar Ayyalu who will take over as director in Chennai where he will be responsible for expanding and deepening Deutsche Bank’s presence in South India. Ayyalu was executive director (investments) at Julius Baer.

Four others, Jai Bhatia, Sanyam Sharma , Anjali Vashisth and Manish Lalwani have joined the bank’s Delhi and Mumbai offices as vice-presidents managing client relationships.

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