Can blockbuster results fuel further rerating of SBI stock?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: State Bank of India (SBI) continued to surprise Dalal Street on the earnings front as the lender posted another set of blockbuster numbers for the September quarter.

The state-owned lender’s net profit grew 67 per cent year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 7,627 crore in the quarter ended September 2021, while its net interest income (NII) climbed 29 per cent on-year to Rs 31,183.9 crore. Both the bottomline and topline of the lender came in above Street’s expectations.

That said, here are the major takeaways from the September quarter earnings of the lender:

Asset quality keeps improving
At the peak of the bad loans crisis of the financial sector, State Bank of India had some of the poorest asset quality numbers. Every quarter saw investors anxious about slippages and new NPA formation. Fast forward to 2021 and the lender is now surprising the Street on how healthy its balance sheet is becoming.

For the reported quarter, SBI reported a 42 basis points sequential decline in gross non-performing assets ratio to 4.9 per cent and a 25 bps decline in net NPA ratio to 1.52 per cent. Further, the provision coverage ratio has now gone up to 87.7 per cent for the lender.

Slippages benign
During the quarter the lender’s slippage ratio fell to 0.66 per cent from 2.47 per cent in the previous quarter. The state-owned bank added merely Rs 6,690 crore of loans to the watchlist in the quarter as against Rs 11,303 crore in the previous quarter.

The shrinking watchlist loans indicate that the lender is facing lower stress on its balance sheet that should free up more capital for growth purposes as the economy gets back up from the pandemic downfall.

Loan growth needs more push
SBI said that its advances in the quarter grew 6.2 per cent year-on-year, which was in-line with its overall guidance for the year. Interestingly, retail loans in the quarter jumped 15.2 per cent whereas home loans grew by 10.7 per cent.

With the balance sheet becoming healthier every quarter, SBI will hope to accelerate its lending business in the coming quarters. An increase in loan growth coupled with improving asset quality would force investors to rerate a lender that still trades at merely 7 times one-year forward earnings and 1.1 times one-year forward price-to-book.

Corporate loans struggling
The state-owned lender reported a near 4 per cent year-on-year decline in its corporate loan book suggesting that companies are still not ready to take on leverage to boost capacity.

However, investors expect that to change in the coming quarters as rapid demand creation in the economy on the back of reopening and higher vaccination rate will nudge companies to boost capacities in the coming year. SBI is considered by many brokerages as one of the primary beneficiaries of the private capex revival in the economy over the next five years.



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SBI net profit up 67% in Q2, chairman says asset quality significantly improved, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The State Bank of India, India’s largest lender, today reported a standalone net profit of Rs 7,626 crore, up 67% on year, the highest ever for the bank.

A year ago, the bank reported a net profit of Rs 4,574 crore. On a sequential basis, the profit rose 17% from Rs 6,504 crore in the June quarter.

The bank’s asset quality has significantly improved, chairman Dinesh Khara said at the earnings announcement.

Gross non performing assets came in at 4.90% in the September quarter, lower than 5.32% in the June quarter and 5.28% in the year ago quarter.

Meanwhile, the net NPA ratio stood at 1.52% for the quarter.

The net interest income (NII) – the difference between interest earned and expended – rose 10.6% to Rs 31,184 crore in Jul-Sep.

The non interest income fell 3.7% to Rs 8,207 crore compared with Rs 8,527 crore a year ago.

Khara highlighted that the capacity utilisation of manufacturing is still very low. Advances rose by just 6.17% over last year, driven by personal retail advances, up 15.17% on year, and foreign office advances, up 16.18% on year.

Domestic advances grew 4.61%, with home loans, which constitute 24% of domestic advances, rising 10.74% on year.

Total deposits grew nearly 10% on year, current account deposits grew 19.2% and saving bank deposits grew 10.55%.



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RBI panel spells out norms to streamline functioning of ARCs

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The performance of asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) in management of stressed assets of banks/financial institutions (FIs) since inception in 2003 is still uneven on several parameters, according to a Reserve Bank of India’s Committee to Review the Working of Asset Reconstruction Companies.

Overall recovery made by the ARC sector during FY04-FY13 was 68.6 per cent when measured in terms of redemption of Security Receipts (SRs), which are issued by ARCs as part of securitisation of assets acquired, as a percentage of total SRs issued, the report said.

However, the same comes down to 14.29 per cent when the redemption is measured in terms of the book value of the assets acquired.

RBI panel favours sale of stressed assets by lenders at early stage

“This implies that banks and other investors could recover only about 14 per cent of the amount owed by their borrowers,” the committee headed by Sudarshan Sen, former Executive Director, RBI, said.

The total SRs issued reflects the cost of acquisition for the ARCs vis-à-vis the book value of such financial assets. Redemption of SRs is a proxy for the amount recovered from these accounts.

ARCs are required to resolve the assets within a maximum of eight years of acquisition of financial assets and redeem the SRs representing the assets. Therefore, the period after FY13 has SRs for which resolution is still underway.

Winds of change in the stressed assets market

Business revival

The committee observed that ARCs’ performance in ensuring revival of businesses has also been poor. The data indicate that approximately 80 per cent of the recovery for the sector, so far, has come through deployment of methods of reconstruction that do not necessarily lead to revival of business.

“ARCs have rarely used methods such as change in or takeover of the management of the business of the borrower or conversion of debt into equity in a borrower’s company,” the panel said.

Rescheduling of payment of debts was also involved only in 19.9 per cent of the recovery made by ARCs.

The committee underscored “The overall performance of ARC Sector has left much to be desired. However, it would be incorrect to assume that the problems of ARC sector are entirely of its own making. In fact, the ageing of NPAs before their sale may be contributing to poor recovery. This gets further aggravated by lack of debt aggregation.”

Revival of stressed business typically requires additional funding which is difficult to come by for old NPAs.

“Inadequate capital at ARC level and the regulatory prescription limiting the extent of funds that could be raised, from external investors through securitisation, seems to have made ARCs’ attempt at revival of businesses even more difficult. ARCs’ lack of skill sets in turning around borrowers cannot be ignored,” the committee said.

The panel emphasised that despite the reshaping of the ecosystem available for lenders for handling of stressed assets and the ARC sector’s sub-optimal performance and its challenges, the ARC model remains relevant as a private sector led permanent institutional framework for out-of-court resolution of stressed assets of the financial sector.

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U GRO Capital Q2 net profit down 80%

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U GRO Capital reported an 80 per cent drop in its net profit for the second quarter of the fiscal at ₹3.37 crore compared to ₹17.17 crore in the same period last fiscal.

For the quarter ended September 30, 2021, its total revenue jumped up by 80.1 per cent to ₹62.7 crore from ₹34.82 crore a year ago.

Net interest income for the second quarter of the fiscal increased by 53 per cent to ₹31.7 crore compared to ₹20.7 crore in the second quarter of last fiscal.

Net interest margin improved 40 basis points Q-o-Q to 7.7 per cent largely due to reduction in the borrowing cost, U GRO Capital said in a statement on Wednesday.

However, total expenses also shot up by 80.1 per cent on a year-on-year basis to ₹57.98 crore in the second quarter of the fiscal.

The total provisioning as of September 2021 was ₹24.2 crore versus the regulatory requirement of ₹22.1 crore.

Disbursements for the quarter grew 139 per cent sequentially to ₹790 crore.

“The company clocked its highest ever disbursements in September 2021 at ₹288 crore,” it added.

“We will carry on the momentum and traction which is now coming because of the infrastructure we have built over last one year and we have a clear path of achieving our mission of serving 10 lakh customers and take one per cent market share of outstanding MSME credit in the country,” said Shachindra Nath, Executive Chairman and Managing Director of U GRO Capital.

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IBC needs a stronger push: Crisil

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The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) needs a stronger push after recovery of about ₹2.5 lakh crore over five years since it took effect, according to Crisil Ratings.

From here, reforms must stress quicker resolution and maximise recovery, the credit rating agency said in a study.

Per the agency: “A closer look at the data shows, however, the recovery rate and resolution timelines have a lot more room for improvement.

“This makes a continuous strengthening of the Code and stabilisation of the overall ecosystem imperative.”

Lesser traction

As of June 30, 2021, IBC had enabled recovery of about ₹2.5 lakh crore, against admitted financial claims of about ₹7 lakh crore, translating to a recovery rate of 36 per cent for the 396 cases resolved out of the total 4,541 admitted.

Of the remaining cases, 1,349 were under liquidation; 1,114 were closed under appeal/ review/ settled or withdrawn, and 1,682 were outstanding.

The agency emphasised that the recovery marks a significant shift in the insolvency resolution process and credit culture in India.

Gurpreet Chhatwal, Managing Director, Crisil Ratings, said: “The recent resolution of a large financial services firm with a recovery of about ₹37,000 crore against admitted financial claim of about ₹87,000 crore, translating to a recovery rate of about 43 per cent, underscores the efficacy of IBC. The resolution value was about 1.4 times the liquidation value.”

The agency underscored that while the IBC has tilted the power equation in favour of creditors from debtors and helped strengthen India’s insolvency resolution ecosystem, its performance against its twin objectives – maximisation of recovery and timebound resolution – has been a mixed bag.

“One, only a few large cases have seen higher recovery. Excluding the top 15 cases (by resolution value) from the 396 resolved cases, the recovery rate halves to 18 per cent.

“Two, average resolution time for the aforementioned resolved cases is 419 days compared with the stipulated maximum of 330 days. About 75 per cen of outstanding cases have already been pending for more than 270 days,” the study said.

Liquidation: a challenge

Nitesh Jain, Director, Crisil Ratings, noted that besides low recovery rate and longer timeframe, a key challenge is the high number of cases going to liquidation.

“As of June 30, 2021, nearly one-third of the 4,541 admitted cases had gone into liquidation, with a recovery rate estimated at merely 5 per cent.

“That said, around three-fourths of these cases were either sick or defunct. With closure of these vintage cases, recovery rate as well as timelines are expected to improve,”he said.

Notwithstanding these challenges, the IBC has played a key role in resolution of stressed assets so far, according to the study.

“Its effectiveness will continue to be tested given the elevated level of stressed assets in the Indian financial system,” it added.

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Credit Suisse to tighten the reins after string of scandals, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Credit Suisse will unveil a new centralised structure on Thursday in an attempt to bring its far-flung divisions to heel and draw a line under a string of scandals that have cost the Swiss bank billions of dollars, two sources said.

Over the past year, Credit Suisse has been fined for arranging a fraudulent loan to Mozambique, tarnished by its involvement with defunct financier Greensill, racked up $5.5 billion in losses when U.S. family office Archegos collapsed, and been rebuked by regulators for spying on executives.

Credit Suisse drafted in seasoned banker Antonio Horta-Osorio as chairman in April to stop the rot and he will lay out his charter to reform Switzerland‘s second-biggest bank on Thursday when it presents third-quarter results.

One key change is expected to be the creation of a single wealth management division that caters to a global elite, centralising oversight at the bank’s headquarters in Zurich, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Under the current structure put in place six years ago, wealth management straddles three divisions: a Swiss business, an Asia-Pacific arm catering mainly to rich Chinese and an international arm based out of Switzerland.

Merging the wealth division would make Credit Suisse simpler and potentially pave the way for cost cuts.

It would also rein in local bankers who have enjoyed much autonomy, making them more answerable to senior managers who have often been blindsided by the risks that triggered past scandals, the sources said.

One of the people told Reuters that managers at the bank’s headquarters had become very risk averse and they did not want to give leeway to local bankers, regardless of how much profit they were making.

A spokesman for Credit Suisse declined to comment.

SHARES SUFFER

Credit Suisse’s financial humiliation stands in stark contrast to its cross-town rival UBS.

In the wake of massive losses and a bailout during the financial crisis, UBS successfully pivoted away from investment banking to wealth management and is now the world’s largest wealth manager with $3.2 trillion in invested assets.

Its shares have climbed 57% in the past 10 years while Credit Suisse has slumped 53% over the same period.

Shareholders have deserted Credit Suisse this year following the slew of bad headlines. Its shares are down 12% while UBS is up 36% while Wall Street rivals are riding high on the back of a boom in equity trading and M&A.

Andreas Venditti, an analyst at Swiss private bank Vontobel, said it would take more than “minor changes and a new divisional set-up” at Credit Suisse to reverse the trend.

The expected revamp at Credit Suisse has also encouraged some high-profile dealmakers to approach the bank’s senior management to suggest it merges with a rival, another person with knowledge of the matter said.

Those ideas have been rejected so far, however, the person said.

Nonetheless, the prospect of a challenge by investors demanding the break-up of the bank, or that its shrinking market value makes it a target for a hostile foreign takeover, have long troubled managers, sources told Reuters earlier this year.

‘WARNING SIGNALS’

With a market value of $28 billion, Credit Suisse is worth less than half of UBS and a fraction of Wall Street giants such as JPMorgan weighing in at half a trillion dollars.

But an approach from the United States would not go down well in Switzerland. Relations between Swiss banks and Washington were damaged when the United States pressured them into giving up their strict secrecy code more than a decade ago.

A combination of Credit Suisse and UBS, which has been touted as an alternative alliance, would face its own problems. For one, it would dominate the Swiss market.

Another source said that while Credit Suisse had examined a sale or spin-off of its asset management business, that had been shelved. The person said, however, that once further efforts were made to cut costs and boost growth, a sale, or listing of the business on the market, could be back on the cards.

The bank’s drive to centralise its operations is drawing on lessons from some of its recent failures, including Archegos.

Earlier this year, Credit Suisse published a report blaming a focus on maximizing short-term profits and enabling “voracious risk-taking” by Archegos for failing to steer the bank away from catastrophe.

Despite long-running discussions about Archegos – by far the bank’s largest hedge fund client – Credit Suisse’s top management were apparently unaware of the risks it was taking.

The bank’s chief risk officer and the head of its investment bank recall hearing about it first only on the eve of the fund’s collapse.

“There were numerous warning signals,” the report said. “Yet the business … failed to heed these signs.”



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Credit card spends jump 60% in September, set for further festive push, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Another option, if you are unable to make payments by the due date, is opting for a loan against your credit card. Various credit card companies offer pre-approved loans to customers, these can actually come in handy in this scenario. However, be mindful of the costs as the interest rate and other charges may be steeper. If you have multiple credit cards, compare interest rates and processing fees on each and go with the one that has least total cost for your preferred loan tenure.

Credit card spends jumped 60 per cent year-on-year (YoY) in September, helped by the onset of the festive season.

On a sequential basis, the growth slowed down to 3 per cent at Rs 80,500 crore, according to various research reports.

The festive season, opening up of the economy and rising consumer confidence is set to keep the credit card spends buoyant, experts say.

Kotak Mahindra Bank reported the highest growth (27% MoM) in September, followed by IndusInd Bank and ICICI Bank (13% each). Other major players reported growth in the +-4% range. On a two-year CAGR basis, spends for ICICI Bank grew 58%, IndusInd 33%, Kotak Mahindra Bank 29%. HDFC Bank and SBI Cards posted growth of 10–15% and Axis Bank and SCB 2–3%. While, Citi and Amex saw a decline of 8% and 26%, respectively. ICICI Bank surpassed SBI Cards to become the second-largest player in spends, with market share of 19.3% over 6MFY22.

Outstanding credit cards up 10.8%

The total number of outstanding credit cards in the system grew 10.8% YoY to 65 million in September 2021 – the highest in the past 11 months.

Among the major players, ICICI Bank reported strong growth of 26.1% YoY, followed by IndusInd Bank (15.6%), SBI Cards (14.3%). Foreign players such as American and Citi witnessed declines of 10% and 5% respectively. SBI Cards and ICICI Bank continued to perform strongly, resulting in a 59–218 bps YoY increase in market share to 19.3% and 18.0% respectively in September.

ICICI Bank added close to 2 million new cards in the past 10 months, taking its credit card base to 11.6 million as of September.

Despite a 247 bps year on year decline, HDFC Bank remained the largest player with a market share of 23.0%.

10.91 lakh card adds

Around 10.91 lakh new cards were added to the system in September with HDFC Bank being the largest acquirer at 2.44 lakh cards. ICICI Bank added 2.34 lakh, Axis Bank added 2.03 lakh, while SBI Cards added 1.75 lakh cards in September, while, Standard Chartered Bank, AMEX and Citi posted a decline of 13,000, 11,000 and 4,500, respectively, in the card base. IDFCF Bank also posted a strong performance with 39,000 new credit card additions in September.

Higher spends per card

Monthly spends per card for the industry increased to Rs 12400, from an average of Rs 10,700 over the past six months (higher v/s pre-Covid levels). This was attributable to an increase in the ticket size to Rs 4,300, the highest in the past several years.

Conversely, the number of transactions per card declined to 2.8 v/s 3.0 in August (3.1 in March). IndusInd and Kotak Mahindra Bank saw a higher increase of Rs 2,400 and Rs 2,200, respectively, followed by ICICI Bank with Rs 1,400.

IndusInd (Rs 9,700) and Amex (Rs 5,900) had the highest ticket sizes, followed by Kotak Mahindra Bank (Rs 5,100) and ICICI Bank (Rs4,900). All other players were in the range of Rs 3,900–Rs 4,300 – barring Citi and SCB, which were lower at Rs 3,000–3,200.



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CCI approves HDFC Life’s 100 per cent acquisition of Exide Life Insurance

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The Competition Commission of India (CCI) has approved HDFC Life Insurance’s acquisition of 100 per cent shareholding in Exide Life Insurance, a unit of battery manufacturer Exide Industries.

It may be recalled that HDFC Life had in early September announced that it would acquire the entire share capital of Exide Life Insurance for a total consideration of ₹6,687 crore. This deal is expected to help HDFC Life strengthen its presence in South India, a region where Exide Life has a strong foothold.

“Commission approves acquisition of 100 per cent equity share capital of Exide Life Insurance Company Limited by HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited and the subsequent merger of Exide Life with HDFC Life,” CCI tweeted on Tuesday evening.

The proposed combination involves acquisition of fully paid-up equity shares, representing 100 per cent of target by the Acquirer from Exide Industries Limited.

After completion of the share acquisition, Exide Life (which will be a wholly owned subsidiary of HDFC Life) is proposed to be merged with HDFC Life.

HDFC Life is India’s most valuable private life insurer. It offers a range of individual and group life insurance solutions including participating, non-participating and unit linked insurance products.

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Goldman Sachs promotes 30 executives as MDs in India, the largest ever in the country, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Leading global investment bank Goldman Sachs has promoted 30 executives in its India offices to the managing director (MD) position, the largest ever group of new MDs the company has promoted in the country.

The highest ever number of new MD promotions in India is a reflection of the company’s investment in the country, a key footprint and a deep fintech hub globally. In the 2019 MD promotion cycle, the company had 18 managing director promotions in India, which represents the second largest presence of the firm outside of New York.

Globally, the company promoted 643 employees as MDs this year, which includes 71 Indians, making it the largest MD class to date globally, the company said in a note. The new MDS will take charge on January 1.

In India, there was one managing director promotion in the Mumbai office and 29 promotions in the company’s Bengaluru office. The firm opened a new Hyderabad office in July this year.

Goldman Sachs has more than 8,000 employees in India and employs more than 43,000 professionals globally.

The Bengaluru and Hyderabad offices represent a ‘deep fintech hub’ of the firm and a key enabler of its existing and new businesses.

Over 25% of the promotions are women and more than 50% are from engineering functions.

Globally, the promotions this year are reflective of the firm’s strategic priorities, including investments in core businesses (investment banking division and global markets); growth strategies (asset management, consumer and engineering); and strategic locations (particularly Bengaluru, Salt Lake City and Dallas), the company said.

In the entire cohort of MDs promoted globally this year, overall 20% of the promotions are from engineering functions, while 72 from strategic locations represents 11% of the overall class and is two times the total number promoted in 2019.

This is also the most diverse group with 30% women, 28% Asian and 3% LGBTQ, according to the company.



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Profit may double, NIM likely in 3-3.1% range, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: State Bank of India (SBI) may report up to 100 per cent surge in net profit for September quarter on a marginal rise in net interest income (NII). Net interest margin (NIM) is seen healthy at 3-3.1 per cent. Analysts said healthy NIM, recovery from DHFL and lower loan loss provision should lead to strong profitability, which may partly be offset by the hit on NPS/pension for retired personnel.

Slippages should remain moderate, with limited NPAs in retail, said Emkay Global, which said the stress in SME could be taken out via restructuring.

This brokerage is expecting the bank to report 58.5 per cent YoY rise in net profit at Rs 7,249.80 crore compared with Rs 4,574.20 crore in the same quarter last year. It sees NII rising 2.4 per cent to Rs 28,856.30 crore from Rs 28,181.50 crore YoY. NIM is seen at 3 per cent compared with 2.9 per cent in June quarter and 3.1 per cent in the year-ago quarter.

Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities is pegging profit at Rs 7,646.60 crore, up 67.2 per cent YoY. NII is seen growing 3.8 per cent YoY to Rs 29,263.30 crore. Pre-provision profit is seen at Rs 18,792.30 crore, up 14.2 per cent.

The bank is seen reporting a loan growth of 8.1 per cent YoY to Rs 24,80,546.20 crore and deposit growth of 8.6 per cent at Rs 37,69,359.80 crore. Credit cost is seen at 1.4 per cent.

“SBI should continue to report better NII growth of 3.5 per cent YoY, loan growth of 8 per cent on lower interest reversals. We build higher slippages from Agri and SME segments, while we build in recovery from DHFL,” Prabhudas Lilladher said.

This brokerage is expecting a 102 per cent surge in profit at Rs 9,263 crore. It sees NIM at 3.05 per cent while gross NPA is seen at 5.83 per cent.



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