Yields rise as 2035 G-Sec partially devolves on PDs

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Government security prices fell on Friday, erasing the previous day’s gains, as the auction of the 2035 security partially devolved on Primary Dealers (PDs) up to 61 per cent of the ₹11,000 crore it wanted to raise.

While the Government managed to mop up ₹27,126 crore through auction of four securities, including the aforementioned security, against the notified amount of ₹26,000 crore, there was nervousness in the secondary G-Sec market when the 6.22 per cent G-Sec, maturing in 2035, devolved on PDs.

Active role

PDs are intermediaries that play an active role in the G-Sec market, both in primary and secondary markets, by participating in the primary auction and market making in G-Secs, among others.

The price of the highly traded 10-year G-Sec, carrying a 5.77 per cent coupon rate, declined about 29 paise to ₹97.9525 over the previous close of ₹98.2450, with the yield going up about four basis points to close at 6.057 per cent (previous close: 6.0154 per cent).

G-Sec price and yield are inversely related and move in opposite directions.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, said the yields went up due to the devolvement of the 15-year G-Sec on PDs. While retail inflation has declined from 4.59 per cent in December 2020 to 4.06 per cent in January 2021, there is concern on the core inflation front and yields could come under pressure, Irani added.

10-year G-Sec

Price of the 10-year G-Sec (issued in December 2020), carrying a 5.77 per cent coupon rate, declined 21 paise to ₹98.96 over the previous close of ₹99.17, with the yield going up about three basis points to close at 5.9905 per cent (5.9616 per cent).

Government security (G-Sec) prices rose by up to 35 paise on Thursday, with their yields softening by up to 7 basis points, as the Reserve Bank of India set higher cut-off price at the special auction of two G-Secs.

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Exclusive advisor to Kotak Investment Advisors’ special situation fund

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Kotak Investment Advisors Ltd (KIAL), on Friday, announced that Rajnish Kumar, former Chairman of State Bank of India, would be exclusive advisor for its $1-billion Special Situation Fund.

Kumar retired from SBI in October last year.

KIAL is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Kotak Mahindra Bank and focusses on the alternate assets business of the group.

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Indiabulls Housing Finance Q3 net profit down 40%

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Indiabulls Housing Finance reported a 40.3 per cent drop in consolidated net profit for the third quarter of the fiscal at ₹329.32 crore. It had reported a net profit of ₹551.7 crore in the corresponding period last fiscal.

“The board, at its meeting, has also authorised to issue Secured Redeemable Non-Convertible Debentures and Unsecured Redeemable Non-Convertible Subordinate Debt in the nature of Debentures (NCDs) of up to ₹5,000 Crore, on private placement basis, in one or more tranches, from time to time,” it said in a regulatory filing on Friday.

For the quarter ended December 31, 2020, Indiabulls Housing Finance registered a 25.4 per cent dip in total revenue from operations to ₹2,513.25 crore versus ₹3,369.16 crore a year ago.

“On balance sheet loan book stands at ₹70,282 crore on account of developer book run off through refinancing. Retail loan book has grown,” the company said in a statement.

Gross non-performing assets remained moderate at 1.75 per cent as on December 31, 2020, as against 1.98 per cent at the end of the second quarter this fiscal.

“Without the Supreme Court’s dispensation, Proforma Gross NPAs would be 2.44 per cent, compared with 2.21 per cent as on September 30, 2020,” the company said, adding that proforma gross NPA provision coverage ratio stands at 40 per cent.

Indiabulls Housing Finance said access to funding has normalised and its funding costs have moderated with cost of funds on book down to 8.5 per cent.

Disbursals have rebounded, with total disbursals in the third quarter of the fiscal at ₹3,458 crore, of which, retail loan disbursals constituted 75 per cent.

“The company is also seeing good traction in loan co-lending, with disbursals reaching a monthly run rate of ₹200 crore in January,” it further said.

On developer loans sourcing, Indiabulls Housing Finance said it is in talks with two large real estate-focussed funds to set up an investment platform.

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Lending to see higher growth from Q4: PNB chief

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Mallikarjuna Rao, MD and CEO, Punjab National Bank, on Friday, said that credit growth is expected to start moving on a higher trajectory from the fourth quarter of this fiscal.

The low credit offtake over the last couple of quarters was primarily due to the laxity of demand in the wake of the slowdown induced by the pandemic. It was not due to the risk aversion of banks as is popularly believed, he said.

“During the pandemic there was laxity in demand and despite the tax reforms in October 2019, there was not much of investments coming in, and this goes to show the poor demand. But now with the good creation of supply and demand, we expect lending will see a higher growth particularly from Q4 onwards,” said Rao, while addressing the Financial Market E-Conclave organised by the Bengal Chamber of Commerce and Industry here on Friday.

Public sector banks play a very important role in the revival of economy and in lending to the infrastructure sector.

Banks not risk-averse

Of late, banks, particularly PSBs, have been blamed for being too risk averse and, hence, choke credit to the economy. However, Rao said that based on the past experiences, banks have enhanced their credit underwriting mechanisms so as to ensure credit quality. This would augur well for the overall ecosystem in the long run.

“It is good that banks are taking precaution on quality of credit,” he said.

According to G Rajkiran Rai, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Union Bank of India, corporate borrowers were accustomed to borrowing more easily without focussing on risk management practices, and now they are finding it difficult as more data is required under the enhanced credit monitoring system.

“So, they are feeling that banks have become risk averse but that is not the case,” he clarified.

This would lead to better underwriting capabilities, better risk management, and eventhough some coprorate customers may find it difficult to go through more rigorous processes, it is good for overall ecosystem.

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Cash is still king in small cities, but not in metros

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Cash continues to be king in most small cities and towns even as the dependence on hard currency has dipped in metro cities.

“Data show that in urban centrescash consumption has come down as they were hit more by the Covid-19 pandemic and had more lockdowns,” said Rajiv Kaul, Executive Vice-Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and Whole Time Director at CMS Info Systems.

Numbers tracked by CMS Info Systems, which is an ATM and cash management company, reveal that there is a dip of about 20 per cent in cash usage in metro cities, but there is flat growth or even an increase of 8 per cent to 10 per cent in other cities, said Kaul.

However, from a macro perspective, cash in circulation is up 20 per cent in the last nine to 10 months, said Kaul, adding that this is not abnormal as in times of crisispeople tend to hoard more money.

According to CMS data, currency in circulation in January this year was at ₹27.99-lakh crore, which is about 21.8 per cent higher than the ₹22.97-lakh crore currency in circulation in January last year.

“Digital is growing at about 30 per cent to 40 per cent, but cash is also growing at 14 per cent,” said Kaul, adding that there is a fairly healthy growth outside metros like Delhi and Mumbai.

This could possibly be because of reverse migration where people have moved back to smaller towns as well as some increase in discretionary spends.

Ties up with SBI

State Bank of India has moved its entire network to a Multi-Vendor Software (MVS) solutions implemented by CMS Info Systems. The solution was built for SBI by CMS and is running across its entire 40,000 ATM network and has helped centralise the bank’s ATM channel management.

“MVS solutions gives customised services and the customer will get the same experience across all ATMs. So, it helps in faster transactions,” said Kaul, adding that it can also help convert an ATM from cost centre to revenue centre by offering additional products to the customer.

CMS won the project almost 18 to 20 months ago, and it has now been running successfully for the last four to five months.

This seven-year deal is worth over ₹500 crore for CMS.

Other banks are also in talks on MVS solutions with CMS now, said Kaul.

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To cater to SMEs and MSMEs, Razorpay creates 650 new jobs

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Newly-minted fintech unicorn Razorpay has created 650 new job opportunities to meet the constantly growing payment and banking needs of SMEs, MSMEs and freelancers. Of the 650 new positions for both freshers and lateral hires across levels, 350 will be towards expanding the engineering and product teams, and the rest for customer experience, sales and marketing teams, a top executive told BusinessLine.

Three-fold growth

Last year, Razorpay hired over 550 employees and witnessed three-fold growth. It also created cross-functional growth opportunities for its existing employees, who will continue to work remotely for the next couple of months.

“Things have been drastically changing at Razorpay in the last few months. With the rising adoption of digital payments during Covid-19 and thousands of businesses going online for the first time, there’s a lot of scope for interesting innovations in business payments for the underserved businesses across the country now, something that Razorpay employees have been actively working on,” said Chitbhanu Nagri, Senior Vice-President, People Operations, Razorpay.

“This story of innovation and disruption will continue and grow stronger in the next few months and, hence, our hiring plans are being driven by more investment in product development, customer experience, and new additions to the existing product suite so that we cater to the ever-evolving payment and banking needs of SMEs and MSMEs. We are looking forward to 650 more people joining us as we work towards servicing the next 5 million businesses by 2022,” added Nagri.

Razorpay currently powers payments for over 5 million businesses, including Facebook, Airtel, BookMyShow, Ola, Zomato, Swiggy, Cred and ICICI Prudential, among others, and is all set to reach 10 million businesses and $50 billion in total payment volume by 2022.

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Moody’s, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The gross NPL ratios of five public lenders, including the State Bank of India (SBI) and Punjab National Bank (PNB), declined by 100 basis points at the end of 2020, in comparison to the year before. Moody’s attributed the rise in asset quality, specifically for five large public lenders, which also include the Bank of Baroda (BoB), Canara Bank and Union Bank of India (UBI), to various measures extended to borrowers.

“With the economy poised to recover, a sharp deterioration in asset quality is becoming less likely,” said Moody’s in its assessment, adding that net NPL ratios were further lower due to a build-up of provisions against legacy NPLs.

SBI’s gross NPL ratio between December 2019 and 2020 declined from 7% to 5%, whilst Canara Bank’s NPL ratio declined by 1% from 10% to 9%. BoB’s NPL ratio also dripped by approximately 10% to 9%, whilst PNB witnessed a decline from approximately 15% of NPL’s to 14.5%. Union Bank of India’s gross NPL ratio remained above 14% between the two periods, whilst however recording a decline in its Net NPL ratio from 6% to 5%.

NPL recoveries Stagnate
NPL recoveries however stagnated between April and December 2020, largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic during which IBC resolutions were also suspended till Mach 2021. “We expect recoveries will gradually pick up in the next few quarters as the economy recovers,” said Moody’s in its report.

Loan Restructuring
The five public lenders had also restructured 0.7%-2.6% of their gross loans. Moody’s said the restructured loans were lower than its expectations, attributing it to a lower impact of the pandemic on borrowers, than anticipated.

“Given that banks can restructure loans to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) until the end of March 2021, restructured loans could increase in the next few quarters. However, we do not expect any increase to be material because the bulk of necessary restructuring should have been completed by the end of 2020,” Moody’s added.

Union Bank of India had the highest share amongst the five public lenders, with restructured loans as a percent upto 2.5% of gross loans, followed by Canara bank which had approximately 2.3%. PNB and BoB’s restructured loans as % of gross loans stood at 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively – whilst SBI had the lowest share with 0.7% of gross loans.



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A currency strategy that’s drawing more hot money to India

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The Reserve Bank of India’s strategy to shift some of its currency intervention to the forwards market is adding to its problems.

Its balancing act to keep the rupee stable amid heavy foreign inflows while also keeping excess liquidity in check is flooding the market with more foreign funds, prompting a vicious cycle of interventions.

The RBI’s outstanding forwards book grew to $28.3 billion as of November from a negative $4.9 billion in the fiscal year 2019-20, highlighting the extent of its operations. That’s pushed the 12-month implied yields, which typically reflect the interest rate differential between India and US, to the highest in more than four years, fuelling further inflows.

The RBI’s currency intervention works like this — it buys dollars in the spot market to prevent sharp gains in the rupee. It then sells these dollars in the forwards market to offset the liquidity impact. However, banks need to deliver these dollars to the RBI at a later date, which drives up forward premiums.

“The forwards curve has become a casualty of the RBI handling multiple objectives,” said Abhishek Goenka, chief executive at India Forex Advisors Pvt. “Elevated forward premia continues to attract carry-seeking inflows and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy,” he said.

​Selling market stabilisation scheme bonds or term reverse repos could be another way of mopping up liquidity, though the RBI may be averse to selling such bonds as it could lead to a spike in shorter rates, which the RBI may want to avoid, according to Goenka.

The central bank will act on forward premiums when necessary, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said last week. “We are very watchful of the forward premia rates” he said. The one-year annualised dollar/rupee forward premium rose two basis points to 5.1948 per cent on Thursday.

Deterring importers

The rise in forward premium is also deterring importers to hedge their currency exposure while also impacting stable inflows into the bond market, according to Kotak Securities Ltd.

“Speculators are gravitating to short the US dollar and buy rupee due to the high forward premium,” said Anindya Banerjee, currency strategist at Kotak Securities said. “In order to prevent speculators from taking the rupee higher, the RBI is being forced to buy more dollars in the forwards market, which is pushing premia higher. This is a vicious cycle.”​

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Exim Bank to provide $400 mn funding for Maldives project, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Export-Import Bank of India (Exim Bank) will provide USD 400 million to Maldives to fund Greater Male Connectivity Project, the Reserve Bank of India said on Thursday. Exim Bank had entered into an agreement on October 12, 2020, with the Maldives government for making available to the latter, Government of India supported Line of Credit (LoC) of USD 400 million for undertaking the Greater Male Connectivity – (Male to Thilafushi Link) project in Maldives, the RBI said in a release.

The agreement under the LoC is effective from January 28, 2021. The terminal utilisation period is 60 months after the scheduled completion date of the project, it added.

The 6.7 km Greater Male Connectivity Project (GMCP) will be the largest civilian infrastructure project in Maldives, connecting Male with three neighbouring islands – Villingili, Gulhifahu and Thilafushi.

India will fund the implementation of a major connectivity project in Maldives through a USD 400 million line of credit and USD 100 million grant, External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar had earlier said in August 2020. KPM BAL



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ED attaches assets worth Rs 20.25 cr in possession J-K industrialist in Bank of India loan case, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Directorate of Enforcement (ED), has provisionally attached assets worth Rs 20.25 crores in the form of immovable properties in possession of one of the accused Raj Kumar Gupta, an industrialist in Jammu and Kashmir in Bank of India loan case.

The case involves siphoning off of funds to the tune of Rs 91.63 crores (through companies/firm namely Jhelum Infra Projects India Private Limited- Rs 39.70 crore, M/s Jhelum Industries – Rs 33.83 crores and I. D SoodIspat Private Limited- Rs 18.10 crores).

“The loan accounts were classified as non-performing assets (NPA) on December 31, 2014,” stated the press release by ED on Thursday.

ED initiated an investigation on the basis of FIRs registered by Central Bureau of Investigation, Jammu under section 120-B read with section 420 and 409 of Ranbir Penal Code, 1989 (pari-materia sections under IPC).

The investigation so far has revealed that huge amount of cash of Rs 20.87 crore was withdrawn from the loan accounts and accounts of various sister concerns. Further, funds to the tune of Rs 18.47 crores were siphoned off through accounts owned and controlled by Raj Kumar Gupta and his family members and through bogus accounts in the name of his employees opened specifically for the purpose of siphoning off of funds of loan accounts. The remaining funds were utilised for making payments to different individuals for a non-business purpose.

The attached properties include land admeasuring 44 kanals 10 marlas at village Kartholi, district Samba of worth Rs 7.59 crores and land admeasuring 491 kanals 16 marlas in tehsil Pampore, district Pulwama of worth Rs 12.66 crores.

Further investigation, in this case, is under progress. (ANI)



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