Raghuram Rajan says privatisation is a blunder; Rajnish Kumar cites failures in private banks, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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As the government speeds up on privatisation of public sector entities, industry mavens are not sure about the move. Former RBI chairman Raghuram Rajan spoke against privatisation while Rajnish Kumar former chairman of SBI has said that there are failures in private banks as well.

The government has made it clear that it doesn’t want to have more than five entities in any business. That’s a strategic decision that the government has taken recently. But the government has been talking about reducing its stake in PSBs for a long time. It merged 10 PSBs into 4. There are many recommendations for the government to reduce its stake in banks to only 51%. The idea is this will give enough funds to the government and the banks will also become more professionalised. But while the government is thinking of divesting its stake, Raghuram Rajan believes that it has not benefited the developed countries like the US.

“Time has come to recognise the crucial sectors of the country to be preserved. The Indian government is trying hard to sell the public sector banks to corporate hands which is a grave concern for an economy like India. Time is to understand Privatization is a blunder,” Raghuram Rajan, former Governor RBI and IMF Chief Economist, tweeted.

Rajan was replying to US President Joe Biden’s tweet on the divestment of government companies.

The developed countries like the US too are finding it difficult to create jobs after disinvesting heavily. Biden tweeted about his focus on creating government jobs.

“After decades of disinvestment, our roads, bridges, and water systems are crumbling. We must pass the American Jobs Plan. Together, we will rebuild our country’s infrastructure and create millions of good-paying union jobs in the process,”

This is not the first time Rajan made his viewpoint clear on privatisation. In an interview with PTI in March, he said, “I think it would be a colossal mistake to sell the banks to industrial houses. It will also be politically infeasible to sell any decent-sized bank to foreign banks,”

Bank employees’ associations and federations are already opposing the bank privatisation decision and held the 3-4 day strike very recently.

In an interaction with ETBFSI, Rajnish Kumar, former Chairman of SBI presented a different view to this discussion. He said if the government’s agenda is to bring governance then the government should change the ownership. “If the government wants to improve only the governance they can shift the ownership of the PSBs to RBI. And the issue would have been resolved. RBI would become the sole regulator and banks would achieve similar results,” said Kumar.

He also added, “The major issue is how long should the government capitalise the PSBs. And the government’s policy is also that it doesn’t want more than four entities in non-strategic sectors. There can be a question whether private banks perform better? But there is not an easy answer to this because there are failures in private banks as well.”



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Wall Street asks if Bitcoin can ever replace fiat currencies, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Sydney Maki and Vildana Hajric

El Salvador’s bold move to accept Bitcoin as legal tender has Wall Street once again wondering whether a cryptocurrency could really ever replace the old-school dollar.

It’s a question that appeared, at least to some, to already be nearly answered after a handful of trailblazing companies — including Tesla Inc., MicroStrategy Inc. and Square Inc. — incorporated Bitcoin into their balance sheets without igniting a broader corporate revolution. Now, the focus is turning to governments.

El Salvador, which started using the U.S. dollar as its currency more than 20 years ago, last week became the first country in the world to pass legislation allowing use of Bitcoin in any transaction. President Nayib Bukele says the point is to counter the fact that relatively few citizens have bank accounts and to cut the cost of sending remittances, or money that workers ship back to their families in El Salvador from other countries.

Some observers wonder whether a bigger movement is afoot: replacing a conventional currency — the dollar, the titan of global commerce and finance — on a national scale and then beyond.

The answer, at least for Julian Sawyer, chief executive officer of Bitstamp, one of the world’s longest-running crypto exchanges, is not quite yet.

“There’s been a lot of people who have sat in the crypto world who’ve said, ‘Oh, crypto is going to take over the world and traditional banks and central banks will go away,’” he said in a telephone interview from London. “That’s not going to happen.”

While the technology itself may be used increasingly in the behind-the-scenes plumbing of financial services, such as money being sent across borders, Sawyer said Bitcoin is still too volatile to fully replace the dollar, though it may become part of the mix.

“Will there still be the dollar? Yes,” he said. “Will there still be Visa and Mastercard? Absolutely. It will just be we’ll have alternatives for using plastic, or paper, or coins or checks.”

El Salvador’s central bank president also said on state television that Bitcoin would not replace the greenback in the nation.

The dollar is stable, especially when compared with Bitcoin’s explosive price moves. And whereas the dollar usually fluctuates for mundane reasons, crypto can be swayed by tweets, memes and Elon Musk — not a great fit for a national or global currency. Bitcoin quadrupled last year, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slipped 5.5% — a fairly big number for the greenback. Since mid-April, Bitcoin has lost nearly half of its value.

Bank of America Corp. research shows Bitcoin is about four times as volatile as the Brazilian real and Turkish lira — and neither of those is anyone’s model of stability.

“Bitcoin injects extra volatility,” which is counterproductive for countries looking for stability, said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. “Why do countries peg their currency to another currency or have a currency board or have a dollarized economy? It’s because their currency has become too volatile or lost credence in the market and become out of control, very inflationary.”

Test Case
That doesn’t mean other countries won’t look to El Salvador as a test case for what can happen, especially those that benefit from remittance flows or have central banks already researching or piloting cryptocurrencies of their own.

“Countries can’t just look away from this option now,” said Valkyrie Investments CEO Leah Wald, who previously worked for the World Bank. “For the longevity and health and well-being of Bitcoin, and the Bitcoin network, this is the dawn of a new day.”

Nations from Haiti to Guatemala, South Sudan and Liberia could be next to adopt Bitcoin given their dependence on remittance inflows, high poverty and low financial inclusion, according to Rahul Shah, Tellimer Ltd.’s head of financials equity research.

Other dollarized economies — those, like El Salvador, that are based on the greenback — are also candidates to officially adopt Bitcoin and become less dependent on the Federal Reserve and U.S. policies.

“It potentially gives the ability to not be as beholden to the dollar over the long term, and be more independent of the existing financial system,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of currencies at Jefferies. “Once you see one country go that way, it wouldn’t surprise me to see more.”

Ecuador, which has been dollarized for two decades, could also consider Bitcoin, said Emily Weis, a global macro strategist at State Street Corp. Colombia and Mexico, meanwhile, would risk disrupting their local currencies, even if they have large remittances and crypto interest among the local populations, she said.

“Many EM populations already have an affinity for cryptocurrencies given capital controls, fragile local market dynamics, and volatility of local currencies,” Weis said.

There’s also the related business opportunities: El Salvador’s Bukele, for example, is using the new law as a way to stoke interest in mining Bitcoin in the coastal country. He ordered the president of the state-owned geothermal electric company to make plans to offer greener mining facilities.

“All it takes is one small domino and eventually it can create real change,” said Alex Tapscott of Ninepoint Partners LP, which has a Bitcoin ETF in Canada.



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More US finance giants tiptoe into crypto assets, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW YORK: Investing in bitcoin and other digital currencies remains a risky game where the rules could change significantly, but the payoff could be big.

In response to this dilemma, several leading US financial heavyweights are staying on the sidelines, while an increasing number are proceeding cautiously into the growing world of crypto assets.

“My own personal advice to people: Stay away from it,” JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said recently, before adding, “That does not mean the clients don’t want it.”

JPMorgan, the biggest US bank by assets, is currently assessing how it can help clients transact in cryptocurrency, Dimon said last month at the bank’s annual meeting.

Formerly something of an investment sideshow dominated by computer geeks, cryptocurrencies are sparking greater interest among mainstream investors after a big jump in bitcoin prices in 2020 and early 2021.

On Thursday, the venerable giant State Street announced the creation of a new digital finance division.

On Wednesday, the head of online trading firm Interactive Brokers vowed to establish online trading of cryptocurrencies on the platform by the end of the summer.

Like its rivals Charles Schwab and Fidelity, Interactive Brokers does not now offer bitcoin trading on its platform, although it does give clients the option to invest in some assets that include cryptocurrencies or bitcoin futures.

Investors who want to trade bitcoin can currently turn to Robinhood or the cryptocurrency specialist Coinbase.

ForUsAll, a platform that manages retirement accounts for small businesses, on Monday announced an agreement with Coinbase that allows clients to invest up to five percent of their balances in cryptocurrencies.

Investment bank Morgan Stanley in March said it would allow wealthier clients to invest in bitcoin funds, while Goldman Sachs recently established a team dedicated to trading cryptocurrencies.

The chief executives of Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Bank of America said at a congressional hearing in late May that they are approaching the cryptocurrency landscape with caution.

Fidelity Investments, which established a digital assets division in 2018 to execute cryptocurrency trades for hedge funds and other institutional investors, filed papers with US securities regulators for a bitcoin exchange traded fund (ETF).

The move could potentially expand cryptocurrency investments to a broader range of individual investors.

Tougher rules ahead?
Still, many financial players are reluctant to dive into an investment realm associated with black markets that has sparked interest from US and global regulators.

There is also remarkable volatility, with bitcoin beginning 2021 at around $30,000 and hitting $63,000 in April before falling back to $34,000 in June.

“Speculators and those suffering from FOMO (the ‘fear of missing out’) will surely continue to flock to cryptos in the hopes of achieving huge returns,” said Ian Gendler of research firm Value Line.

But Gendler urges clients to avoid cryptocurrency investments, citing the elevated risk and the lack of a tangible asset compared with putting money into commodities or a company. Bitcoin and other digital money is also not backed by governments, he noted.

“Cryptocurrencies are only worth what the next investor is willing to pay,” he said.

Still, many in finance do not see cryptocurrency as a transient phenomenon.

“We do believe bitcoin, and more broadly crypto assets, are a new and emerging asset class that will likely be here to stay,” said Chris Kuiper, vice president at CFRA Research.

CFRA expects “the large banks as well as smaller financial institutions to continue to adopt them, particularly as the infrastructure and legal/regulatory framework continues to be built out,” Kuiper added.

The Basel Committee, which coordinates regulation among central banks, this week proposed new rules that would require banks to set aside capital for cryptocurrency investments.

Gary Gensler, the new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission, has also said he wants to bolster protections for cryptocurrency investors, telling CNBC that such investors “don’t have full protections that they have in the equity markets or in the commodity futures market.”



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Bank of Maharashtra plans to raise up to Rs 2,000 crore through QIP, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: State-run Bank of Maharashtra is looking to raise up to Rs 2,000 crore through qualified institutional placement (QIP) route before July-end, its Managing Director and CEO A S Rajeev said. In April this year, the Pune-based lender had received board approval to raise Rs 5,000 crore by way of QIP/rights issue/ preferential issue or by issuing Basel III bonds.

“We are planning to raise around Rs 2,000 crore equity through QIP immediately. The process has already started and we will raise it before July-end,” Rajeev told in an interaction.

The base size of the issue is Rs 1,000 crore and it has a greenshoe option of another Rs 1,000 crore, he said.

Following this equity raise, the government’s holding in the bank will reduce to below 85 per cent from 94 per cent currently, and the capital adequacy ratio will improve to 17-18 per cent from around 14.49 per cent as of March 31, 2021, Rajeev said.

This fund will be deployed for expansion of the loan book, which the bank is looking to grow by 16-18 per cent to around Rs 1.25 lakh crore in this fiscal from Rs 1.08 lakh crore as of March 31, 2021, he said.

Of the total loan book of the bank at present, the share of corporate loans is 37 per cent and of retail, agriculture and MSME (RAM) segment is 63 per cent, he said adding, “We want the ratio of RAM to the corporate segment to be 65:35 during the current fiscal.”

The bank is envisaging a 20-25 per cent growth in the retail, agriculture and MSME (RAM) segment this year.

The lender’s corporate loan size is close to Rs 40,000 crore and it is targeting to grow it by another Rs 10,000 crore in this financial year. It has a sanction pipeline of Rs 25,000 crore in the corporate and MSME segments for the current fiscal, he said.

“We have churned our portfolio with improvement in the share of lending to better-rated corporates. This will minimise the delinquencies and attract lower capital requirement,” Rajeev added.

In the corporate segment, the bank will continue lending to better-rated corporates, including sunrise sectors such as infrastructure, pharmaceuticals and FMCG, he said.

Under the government’s Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS), the bank’s total disbursement, so far, is around Rs 2,100 crore, and it plans to lend another Rs 500 crore this year.

Rajeev said the bank’s exposure to the healthcare sector is Rs 2,000-2,400 crore, which is 2 per cent of the total advances portfolio. In April and May, it had already disbursed over Rs 225 crore to the sector.

“We intend to double our portfolio under the healthcare sector and make it 4 per cent of our total advances portfolio during the current fiscal. We have also come out with two to three products in tune with the RBI policy,” he said.

Last month, the RBI had announced an on-tap term liquidity facility of Rs 50,000 crore under which banks can provide fresh lending support to a wide range of entities from the healthcare segment.

The government has also announced ECLGS 4.0, under which a 100 per cent guarantee cover to loans up to Rs 2 crore will be provided to hospitals, nursing homes, clinics, medical colleges for setting up on-site oxygen generation plants.

Rajeev further said since the exit from the RBI’s prompt corrective action (PCA) framework in January 2019, the lender has taken several steps to strengthen its balance sheet, which has resulted in a significant improvement in all its financial parameters.

“We have been successful in registering profits quarter on quarter since March 2019. Our net profit rose 41.39 per cent to Rs 550 crore during FY21 from Rs 389 crore in FY20. Operating profit also rose 39 per cent to Rs 3,958 crore in FY21 from Rs 2,847 crore last year,” he said.

The bank’s CASA (Current Account and Savings Account) improved to 54 per cent as of March 31, 2021, which according to Rajeev is one of the best in the banking industry.

The bank has also managed to bring its gross non-performing assets to 7.23 per cent as of March 31, 2021, from 18.64 per cent in September 2018, when it was under PCA. Net NPAs stood at 2.48 per cent as of March 31, 2021.

At present, market capitalisation of the bank stands at Rs 17,500 crore against Rs 3,948 crore as of March 2019, he said.

In FY22, the bank is targeting to bring down gross NPA to below 6 per cent and net NPA to below 2 per cent. Net interest margins (NIM) will remain above 3 per cent in this fiscal, he said.

It has set a recovery and upgradation target of Rs 2,500-2,600 crore during the current year. The lender is also expecting Rs 500 crore recovery from written-off accounts in this fiscal, Rajeev said.

The lender is looking at opening 200 banking outlets with a hub and spoke model in this fiscal, he added.



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Pvt ARCs moving to retail loans as national bad bank nearing reality, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With RBI-mandated loan restructuring and moratoriums ebbing the tide of bad loans among corporates, ARCs have been banking on retail loans to drive business in the pandemic-hit FY21 and player like Edelweiss ARC expects the industry-wide retail assets under management to hit nearly half of the overall pie.

The Rs 1.5-lakh-crore asset reconstruction market comprises over a dozen players led by Edelweiss ARC that controls over 30 per cent of the market, and the soon-to-be operationalised national bad bank, to be funded mostly by public sector banks and guaranteed by the government, will add to the clutter of the market and has private players fearing the government guarantee unlevelling their fields.

The pandemic-hit FY21 has seen tepid overall growth for asset reconstruction companies (ARCs), but retail loan portfolio grew faster adding at least 25 per cent more to the assets under management (AUM).

According to industry players, lenders like HDFC Bank, Indusind Bank, IDBI Bank, Federal Bank and non-banks like Bajaj Finance among others have been aggressively selling their stressed retail books — auto, home and personal loans as well credit cards dues to ARCs like Edelweiss, Phoenix ARC run by Kotak Mahindra Bank, JM Financial and Reliance ARC among others since the past few years.

While Reliance ARC snaps up only retail loans, for Phoenix ARC comprises 20 per cent of its Rs 8,500-crore total book/AUM.

Rashesh Shah, chairman and chief executive of Edelweiss Financial Services Group whose ARC arm sits over an AUM of Rs 40,8000 crore, and has made a recovery of Rs 5,400 crore in FY21 from 179 accounts, sees over the next two years around 50 per cent of overall ARC assets coming in from retail loans.

The retail portfolio of Edelweiss ARC is around 10 per cent now, but it will be “deleveraging the corporate portfolio and focusing on retail going forward, while at the industry level it’s about 20 per cent. But I see this touching almost half of the market over the next two years”, Shah told over the weekend.

Going forward, focus will be more on snapping up retail loans as it gives higher margins and better recovery rates, Shah added.

“For the past two years retail NPAs have been rising, while corporate NPAs coming down due to the moratorium and restructuring allowed by the Reserve Bank. This has seen interest rising among ARCs for retail assets,” Sanjay Tibrewala, the chief executive of Phoenix ARC, which is among the top five players, told on Sunday.

Tibrewala said their retail portfolio accounts for 20 per cent of the AUM of Rs 8,500 crore, and which grew marginally last year, while the overall retail assets for the industry jumped by 25 per cent.

On why the industry is snapping up more retail assets despite it being a high cost business, Tibrewala said it’s because of better margins and higher recovery levels.

Shah said that so far his group’s ARC business has been very good with strong margins, better recoveries/collections, which stood at Rs 5,400 crore in FY21 from across 179 accounts.

“Going forward, we will focus more on recoveries and when it comes to buying assets the focus will be retail portfolios. Over the past few years, retail has been growing very big, and I see it taking up half the market,” Shah said, adding they entered this space only three years ago.

He further said since then Edelweiss added 200-strong team to man the retail portfolio as its more people intensive.

On the asset purchase side Shah noted that on average their acquisition cost varies from 60 to 70 paise and sometimes they also go for profit sharing with lender/seller.

Shah is driving retail as it’s more predictable when it comes to recoveries.

An industry expert also opined that ARCs which focus on retail portfolio may be better placed to cushion the impact of the national bad bank on their business, as the proposed national ARC will primarily be dealing with large chunky loans of Rs 500 crore and above and that too mostly from public sector banks which have the highest bad loans piles.

So to secure their business, it makes better sense for ARCs to focus on retail loans as it offers better margins and faster resolution too, he adds.

However, Tibrewala does not see the retail book growing too big for too long as once the pandemic situation normalises, he sees large corporate books coming up for sale.

“We have been in retail segment for many years but do not see faster growth for retail once pandemic related restrictions and benefits normalise, and corporate accounts come back to the markets again,” Tibrewala said.

The national bad bank, he said, will leave the field “uneven for private players like us due to the proposal of government guarantee. However, it can be one area for sourcing assets for us. We are actively looking at assets”.

Edelweiss ARC closed FY21 with a revenue of Rs 340 crore of which Rs 79 crore came in Q4 and earned a Rs 186 crore net profit for the year and Rs 45 crore for Q4. It has comfortable liquidity position of Rs 540 crore as of end March.



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Pvt ARCs moving to retail loans as national bad bank nearing reality, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With RBI-mandated loan restructuring and moratoriums ebbing the tide of bad loans among corporates, ARCs have been banking on retail loans to drive business in the pandemic-hit FY21 and player like Edelweiss ARC expects the industry-wide retail assets under management to hit nearly half of the overall pie.

The Rs 1.5-lakh-crore asset reconstruction market comprises over a dozen players led by Edelweiss ARC that controls over 30 per cent of the market, and the soon-to-be operationalised national bad bank, to be funded mostly by public sector banks and guaranteed by the government, will add to the clutter of the market and has private players fearing the government guarantee unlevelling their fields.

The pandemic-hit FY21 has seen tepid overall growth for asset reconstruction companies (ARCs), but retail loan portfolio grew faster adding at least 25 per cent more to the assets under management (AUM).

According to industry players, lenders like HDFC Bank, Indusind Bank, IDBI Bank, Federal Bank and non-banks like Bajaj Finance among others have been aggressively selling their stressed retail books — auto, home and personal loans as well credit cards dues to ARCs like Edelweiss, Phoenix ARC run by Kotak Mahindra Bank, JM Financial and Reliance ARC among others since the past few years.

While Reliance ARC snaps up only retail loans, for Phoenix ARC comprises 20 per cent of its Rs 8,500-crore total book/AUM.

Rashesh Shah, chairman and chief executive of Edelweiss Financial Services Group whose ARC arm sits over an AUM of Rs 40,8000 crore, and has made a recovery of Rs 5,400 crore in FY21 from 179 accounts, sees over the next two years around 50 per cent of overall ARC assets coming in from retail loans.

The retail portfolio of Edelweiss ARC is around 10 per cent now, but it will be “deleveraging the corporate portfolio and focusing on retail going forward, while at the industry level it’s about 20 per cent. But I see this touching almost half of the market over the next two years”, Shah told over the weekend.

Going forward, focus will be more on snapping up retail loans as it gives higher margins and better recovery rates, Shah added.

“For the past two years retail NPAs have been rising, while corporate NPAs coming down due to the moratorium and restructuring allowed by the Reserve Bank. This has seen interest rising among ARCs for retail assets,” Sanjay Tibrewala, the chief executive of Phoenix ARC, which is among the top five players, told on Sunday.

Tibrewala said their retail portfolio accounts for 20 per cent of the AUM of Rs 8,500 crore, and which grew marginally last year, while the overall retail assets for the industry jumped by 25 per cent.

On why the industry is snapping up more retail assets despite it being a high cost business, Tibrewala said it’s because of better margins and higher recovery levels.

Shah said that so far his group’s ARC business has been very good with strong margins, better recoveries/collections, which stood at Rs 5,400 crore in FY21 from across 179 accounts.

“Going forward, we will focus more on recoveries and when it comes to buying assets the focus will be retail portfolios. Over the past few years, retail has been growing very big, and I see it taking up half the market,” Shah said, adding they entered this space only three years ago.

He further said since then Edelweiss added 200-strong team to man the retail portfolio as its more people intensive.

On the asset purchase side Shah noted that on average their acquisition cost varies from 60 to 70 paise and sometimes they also go for profit sharing with lender/seller.

Shah is driving retail as it’s more predictable when it comes to recoveries.

An industry expert also opined that ARCs which focus on retail portfolio may be better placed to cushion the impact of the national bad bank on their business, as the proposed national ARC will primarily be dealing with large chunky loans of Rs 500 crore and above and that too mostly from public sector banks which have the highest bad loans piles.

So to secure their business, it makes better sense for ARCs to focus on retail loans as it offers better margins and faster resolution too, he adds.

However, Tibrewala does not see the retail book growing too big for too long as once the pandemic situation normalises, he sees large corporate books coming up for sale.

“We have been in retail segment for many years but do not see faster growth for retail once pandemic related restrictions and benefits normalise, and corporate accounts come back to the markets again,” Tibrewala said.

The national bad bank, he said, will leave the field “uneven for private players like us due to the proposal of government guarantee. However, it can be one area for sourcing assets for us. We are actively looking at assets”.

Edelweiss ARC closed FY21 with a revenue of Rs 340 crore of which Rs 79 crore came in Q4 and earned a Rs 186 crore net profit for the year and Rs 45 crore for Q4. It has comfortable liquidity position of Rs 540 crore as of end March.



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SBI, PNB Warn Customers Against Rising Cybercrime

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Personal Finance

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

The country’s leading lenders State Bank of India and Punjab National Bank in a bid to caution their customers against increasing incidents of cybercrime or online banking theft time and again come up with precautionary steps they need to take to not fall prey to such frauds.

SBI, PNB Warn Customers Against Rising Cybercrime

SBI, PNB Warn Customers Against Rising Cybercrime

On its official twitter handle, State Bank of India @The Official SBI, the bank said “We advise our customers to be alert of fraudsters and not to share any sensitive details online or download any app from an unknown source”.

Further to this the largest PSB has shared some 5 tips to avoid such incidents wherein it has asked customers to not share their personal or financial or other data, not to get lured and respond to unsolicited offers received over email, SMS etc. among others.

Also, via another tweet the bank asked its customers to avoid cash transactions amid Covid 19 and instead switch to NFC or Near Field Communication to carry out contactless payments.

Likewise, PNB also via its twitter handle Punjab National Bank@ PNB India on June 9 tweeted that if the bank’s customers want to connect with its call center then they need to always search the official website of the bank for official contact numbers and stay safe.

Tapping and dialing directly from browser on any number can make you vulnerable to fraudulent activities.

Nonetheless if you confront or fall prey to such fraudulent incidents, immediate complaint should be filed with the National Cyber Crime Reporting Portal cybercrime.gov.in or the local police. Also, the incident has to be reported to the bank so that it knows the incident and can arrive at the best possible solution in the best interest of its customers.

GoodReturns.in

Story first published: Monday, June 14, 2021, 7:50 [IST]



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SBI & GAIL Stocks: Brokers Say “Buy” For Long Term Gains

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SBI Shares: Great investment for the long term

Brokerage firms are bullish on the share price of SBI following the quarterly numbers which were largely on expected lines. Lower gross non performing assets going forward and value in subsidiaries like SBI life Insurance and SBI Cards have led to renewed optimism on the stock.

Broking firms like Motilal Oswal, Kotak Securities and Emkay Global have recently upgraded the stock to a “buy”. Emkay has the most bullish stance on the stock of SBI, with a price target of Rs 600, which is almost a 40% upside from the current levels.

SBI: Solid on most parameters

SBI: Solid on most parameters

While FY 2021, was a year of covid-19 pandemic, SBI did not seem to be impacted too much. Retail credit growth grew at 16%, while current and savings account grew at a solid 16.3%. The Bank’s net profit grew by a robust 40%, when compared to the previous year at Rs 20,488 crores.

While net NPA for FY 2021 was down to 1.50% from 2.22% in FY 2020. On most parameters SBI scored in terms of its numbers. Even going forward most analysts remain bullish on the shares of SBI.

“Its earnings in Financial Year 2120-21 have been more than the sum of what it did in the last five years (FY16-20). Overall, the bank is making strong progress on earnings normalization (FY21 Return On Equity of 9.3%). We expect it to deliver FY22E/FY23E RoE of 13.9%/15%. We maintain our BUY rating with a revised target price of Rs 530 per share(1.1 times FY23 estimated ABV+ Rs 187 per share from subsidiaries). State Bank of India continues to remain among our top Buys in the sector,” Motilal Oswal has stated.

The SBI stock was last quoting at Rs 429.55 on the Bombay Stock Exchange and broker suggestions look like there maybe long term gains on the stock.

GAIL

GAIL

Gas Authority of India (GAIL) is a government owned enterprise, which is into a host of businesses including natural gas, liquid hydrocarbons, LPG transmission, city gas distribution and exploration and production. The company commands a 50% share in gas transmission and 50% in gas trading.

Recently, brokerage firm Emkay Global had a buy rating on the stock of GAIL for long term investment. The brokerage firm has set a price target of Rs 190 on the shares. The firm believes that higher oil prices, strong marketing and petchem performance, will help in the future.

“We raise FY22/23E Earnings per Share by 19%/23%, building in higher gas marketing-petchem margins and Other Income. We increase target price to Rs 190 from Rs 160 earlier, valuing GAIL at a blended core FY23E EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.8 times. Retain Buy with an overweight stance,” the brokerage has stated.”

The shares of GAIL were last seen trading at Rs 163.70 on the National Stock Exchange.

Broking firm Motilal Oswal on the other hand believes that transmission volumes in Apr-May’21 were 10-15% lower, though they recovered to 110mmscmd in Jun’21.

“Around 80%/50% of US contracts are tied up for FY22/FY23. Valuing the core business at 10x FY23E adjusted EPS of Rs 16.5 and adding investments, we arrive at our target price of Rs 210 per share. We reiterate GAIL shares as our top pick in the largecap and oil and gas space,” Motilal Oswal has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stocks are picked from brokerage reports. Neither the broking firm, nor the author nor Greynium Information Technologies would be responsible for losses based on decisions taken based on the article.

The above article is for informational purposes only and stock market investing is risky. Investors should consider the risk before investing. Please do not buy stock based on the information provided above only do consult a registered advisor.



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Post SC order, banks move to assess value of promoters’ assets

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Armed with the Supreme Court’s order on invoking personal guarantees of defaulting promoters, banks have set in motion the process to assess the value of assets held by promoters of at least 40 companies that are under the insolvency process.

This includes assets owned by Kapil and Dheeraj Wadhwan of DHFL; Videocon promoters Venugopal and Rajkumar Dhoot; Lanco Infratech’s Madhusudhan Rao and family; IVRCL’s Sudhir Reddy; and Jatin Mehta of Winsome Diamonds.

“Banks are in the process of appointing valuation advisors to arrive at the current fair value of the assets owned by the promoters. Most of the personal guarantees given by the promoters are well documented but their value may not have been determined properly when the loan agreements were signed,” said a banking industry source.

Resolution process

“Once the value is known, the banks can take the next step of initiating the resolution process under which the defaulting promoters will be given 180 days to come up with a settlement plan,” the source added.

In May, the Supreme Court upheld the amendment to the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) that allowed lenders to invoke the personal guarantee of promoters to recover their dues.

This means that if the promoter of a defaulting company does not offer a credible repayment plan, creditors can initiate bankruptcy proceedings against them.

“This judgment gave teeth to the provisions of the Code, by clearing the air of uncertainty and other legal hurdles caused by the top brass promoters facing bankruptcy proceedings,” said Sushmita Gandhi, Partner, IndusLaw.

Sumit Batra, a Corporate Lawyer, said: “Earlier, with no remedy in sight for the lenders to go after the personal guarantors, promoters had an easy escape route, and at times,they used it as a roadblock in the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process. One can expect more debt realisation for the lenders as personal guarantors would now want to settle with the lenders to avoid any unwarranted consequences.”

 

Challenges ahead

Banks can also invoke promoters’ guarantees even in cases where the company has been sold off under the IBC. This could spell trouble for former promoters of companies like Essar Steel and Bhushan Power. However, lenders could still face several challenges despite the ruling.

One of the biggest hurdles is that many of the promoters are scam-tainted and being investigated for fraud. DHFL’s former promoter Kapil Wadhawan, for example, is in prison for alleged fraud.

“Most of these promoters in default are scam-tainted and their multi-billion assets are already attached by the Enforcement Directorate and Economic Offence Wing of the Police. Getting this released from investigating agencies will take its own time,” said a lawyer on conditions of anonymity because he is representing one of the defaulting promoters.

“The actual scope of recovery in view of these provisions in each case would vary based on net worth of the guarantors, etc. Further, the other challenges that a lender may face are the huge backlog of cases plaguing the NCLTs, due to which decisions are often being delayed to a great extent, more so ever since the pandemic,” Gandhi said.

Nakul Sachdeva, Partner, L&L Partners, said though the SC judgment has brought promoters’ personal guarantee under the ambit of the IBC and provided a great boon to the banks, impediments may arise as the procedure for personal guarantors is yet to be tested to the fullest.

(With inputs from Surabhi)

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Public sector banks support for Covid-19 health infra gathers pace

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Public sector banks in the country appear to be supporting the government’s efforts to boost Covid-19 related healthcare infrastructure in the country by actively lending to the healthcare and associated segments that are in need of liquidity.

Last month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a term liquidity facility of ₹50,000 crore for Covid-related healthcare infrastructure and services in the country. This was done for fresh lending support to a wide range of entities in the healthcare space.

Fresh lending provided under this facility will be classified as ‘Priority Sector Lending’ till the repayment or maturity of these loans. The RBI has also allowed on-lending to other financial entities that are regulated by the Central bank. Further, banks are eligible to park surplus liquidity equivalent to the loan amount in the reverse repo window at a rate that is 40 bps higher than the prevailing reverse repo rate.

After the RBI announcement, public sector banks are reported to be enthusiastically extending credit to healthcare sector players and entities. A couple of banks have already extended more than ₹500 crore worth of loans each under the Covid loan book.

‘Identifying customers’

Padmaja Chunduru, Managing Director & CEO of Indian Bank, said the bank had already identified many of its own customers to lend. She said the bank had fixed a target of ₹4,000 crore for its Covid loan book, while it had sanctioned more than ₹600 crore till a couple of weeks ago under this portfolio. “There is good traction and a lot of enthusiasm to do this business,” she said.

State Bank of India has indicated that it could create a Covid loan book to the tune of about ₹10,000 crore. The bank is keen on supporting the hospitals and nursing homes in augmentation of their oxygen facilities and other requirements.

LV Prabhakar, Managing Director & CEO, Canara Bank, had indicated that the Bank had done a lot of homework as far as medical services financing is concerned, under this Covid loan book. It had sanctioned more than ₹1,200 crore worth of loans under this medical loan book till a few weeks ago and said it could comfortably sanction and disburse about ₹4,000 crore to ₹4,500 crore.

G Rajkiran Rai, Managing Director & CEO, Union Bank of India, said the bank is very positive about building a good Covid-19 loan book. It has products for this category and the branches are already canvassing and reaching out to potential borrowers.

While the pandemic has created a lot of challenges across sectors, it has also thrown up some new opportunities. Banking sector is also expected to be one of the beneficiaries.

With a greater focus by Central and State governments, the healthcare segment offers potential opportunities for the banks to build a good portfolio over the short and medium terms at a time many other segments are grappling with slowdown.

Several private sector lenders, both old and new, are also actively looking at lending opportunities in the healthcare infra space.

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