8 Stocks Paying Special Dividends In July 2021; Invest for Double Profits

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Why do some companies Pay Special Dividends?

A special dividend can be thought of as a one-time “gift” from a corporation as a result of soaring earnings and cash on the balance sheet. When a company has a large amount of cash on its balance sheet and does not choose to reinvest it, the cash may be distributed in the form of a special dividend.

The business is adjusting the percentage of debt vs. equity utilized to finance the company by issuing a special dividend. An organization might employ special dividends to demonstrate its confidence in long-term value production and to boost shareholder trust. When a cyclical company performs better than expected, it may announce a special dividend in addition to its regular payout.

Cheviot

Cheviot

Market value: Rs 1,174.10 Cr.

Dividend yield: 9.26%

Cheviot Company Ltd., founded in 1897, is a Textiles-focused Small Cap company with a market capitalization of Rs 1,205.31 crore. Cheviot Company’s current year dividend is Rs 48, with a yield of 9.11 percent. Cheviot Company has a D/E ratio of 0.01, which indicates that it has a low debt-to-capital ratio. The return on equity ratio indicates how much profit is generated for every rupee of common stockholders’ equity. The ROE of Cheviot Company is 10.33%. The higher the number, the better.

Cheviot Company’s PE ratio is 15.92, which is high and overvalued in comparison. With a respectable interest coverage ratio of 169.52, the company is in good shape.

Escorts

Escorts

Market Cap: 16,185.54

Dividend Yield: 0.62

Escorts Ltd., founded in 1944, is a Mid Cap business in the Auto Industry with a market capitalization of Rs 16,112.73 crore. The company reported gross sales of Rs. 57609.5 crores and a total income of Rs.58532 crores in the most recent quarter. For the past three years, the company has shown a good profit increase of 44.65%. The company’s debt has been reduced by 270.24 crores. At 0.21 percent, the dividend yield is modest. A special dividend of Rs 2.50 and a regular final dividend of Rs 5 were announced by the corporation. In the most recent quarter, the company generated a net profit after tax of Rs 270.65 crore.

Abott India

Abott India

Abbott India Limited was established in 1944. Its share price presently is 17243.85. It currently has a market capitalization of Rs 36565.59 crore. The company reported gross sales of Rs. 43100.2 crores and a total income of Rs. 43934.9 crores in the most recent quarter. The company declared a special dividend of Rs 155.00 and a regular final dividend of Rs 120.00.

For the past three years, the company has shown a good profit growth of 28.93 percent. The company has a solid return on investment (ROI) of 26.55 percent. Abbott India’s EPS increased by 31.67 percent, which is a positive sign for the company.

BASF India

BASF India

The stock gained 36.02 percent over three years, compared to 49.07 percent for the Nifty Midcap 100. The company reported a Standalone Total Income of Rs 2,809.80 Crore for the quarter ended 31-03-2021, up 15.67 percent from the previous quarter’s Total Income. The company declared a special dividend of Rs 5 and a regular final dividend of Rs 5.

BASF India has a PE ratio of 20.30, which is excessive and overvalued in comparison. BASF India has a ROA of 0.45%, which is a poor indicator of future performance. (It’s always preferable to have higher values.) BASF India has a D/E ratio of 0.48, indicating that the company has a low debt-to-capital ratio.

Hero Moto

Hero Moto

In the year 1984, Hero MotoCorp Ltd. was founded. Its share price today is 2914.15. It now has a market capitalization of Rs 58221.77 crore. The company was able to control increased input prices because to strong demand. However, considering the recent substantial rises in metal prices, it will be interesting to see how much of a blow sales margins will suffer in the first quarter of FY 22.

The company declared a special dividend of Rs 10 and a regular final dividend of Rs 25. At 3.62 percent, the dividend yield is modest. Hero MotoCorp’s current PE is 19.56, compared to a five-year average PE of 16.13.

Tech Mahindra

Tech Mahindra

Its share price currently is 1045.95. It currently has a market capitalization of Rs 101351.37 crore. Tech Mahindra generates almost 94 percent of its revenue from exports. It earns 48.1 percent of its income in the United States, 26.9% in Europe, and 25.0 percent in the rest of the globe. To implement ‘VaccineLedger’ globally, Tech Mahindra has teamed with StaTwig, a Singapore and Hyderabad-based digital supply chain solution provider.

The company declared a special dividend of Rs 15 and a regular final dividend of Rs 15.

High Energy Batteries

High Energy Batteries

Its share price today is 1646.05. It currently has a market capitalization of Rs 295.1 crore. For the past three years, the company has shown a good profit growth of 104.16 percent. The stock gained 399.67 percent over three years, compared to 38.19 percent for the Nifty Smallcap 100. The D/E ratio of High Energy Batteries is 1.37, indicating that the company has a low debt-to-capital ratio.

The company declared a special dividend of Rs 5 and a regular final dividend of Rs 10.

IFGL Refractories

IFGL Refractories

Stock generated 99.15 percent over three years, compared to 38.19 percent for the Nifty Smallcap 100. The company’s debt has been reduced by 35.56 crores. With a current ratio of 2.72, the company has a strong liquidity position. The company declared a special dividend of Rs 6 and a regular final dividend of Rs 4.

IFGL Refractories Ltd., founded in 2007, is a Small Cap business in the Industrial Consumables sector with a market cap of Rs 1,472.75 crore.

8 Stocks Paying Special Dividends In July 2021

8 Stocks Paying Special Dividends In July 2021

Company Dividend per share Special Dividend in Rs EX Date
CHEVIOT Rs 0 175.00 15/07/2021
ESCORTS 5.00 2.50 15/07/2021
ABBOTT INDIA 120.00 155.00 19/07/2021
BASF INDIA 5.00 5.00 22/07/2021
HERO MOTOCORP 25.00 10.00 22/07/2021
TECH MAHINDRA 15.00 15.00 23/07/2021
HIGH ENERGY BATTERIES 10.00 5.00 27/07/2021
IFGL Refractories 4.00 6.00 29/07/2021



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Deutsche Bank AG’s net profit in India rises 48% in FY21

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Deutsche Bank AG announced its India branches have posted a 48 per cent increase in net profit for the year-ended March 31, 2021 at ₹1,527 crore. It had reported a net profit of ₹1,031 crore in 2019-20.

Net revenue in the fiscal 2020-21 grew 23 per cent to ₹5,537 crore as against ₹4,510 crore a year ago.

The growth in net revenue was “driven by consistent performance across all our businesses in India, aided in large part by a strong cost and risk discipline,” it said in a statement on Thursday.

Its net non-performing assets fell by 44 basis points to 0.86 per cent of net advances in 2020-21 as against 1.31 per cent in 2019-20.

Advances increased by three per cent on an annual basis to ₹52,438 crore as on March 31, 2021 while deposits grew by 11 per cent to ₹66,224 crore.

Increase in capital deployment

“The last financial year was hugely challenging by any measure but by staying close to our clients and supporting them with their liquidity and risk requirements, the teams at Deutsche Bank once again demonstrated their resilience and dedication. Despite the impact of Covid, our asset quality continues to be strong,” said Kaushik Shaparia, CEO at Deutsche Bank India.

The additional capital infused during the year positions the bank strongly for 2021-22 as well, he further said.

“During 2020-21, Deutsche Bank increased the capital deployed in its India branches by ₹3,326 crore to support growth across all its business lines, taking the total capital deployed to ₹19,345 crore,” the bank said.

The bank’s Capital Adequacy Ratio in March 2021 stood at 17.28 per cent – an increase over the March 2020 level of 14.93 per cent.

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DealShare raises $144 million in Series D led by Tiger Global

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Social e-commerce start-up DealShare, known for pioneering the community group buying (CGB) model in India, has raised $144 million in Series D funding.

The round led by Tiger Global was co-led by WestBridge Capital, Alpha Wave Incubation (a venture fund backed by ADQ, and managed by Falcon Edge Capital) and Z3Partners with participation from Partners of DST Global, Matrix Partners India, and Alteria Capital. This transaction marks the third funding for the company in a span of seven months, with the valuation increasing nine-fold to $455 million within two-and-a-half years, on the back of high growth momentum. With the current round, the total funding raised by DealShare stands at $183 million.

DealShare has built a new disruptive retail model for India with a focus on the affordability and price component for mass consumers targeting middle and lower income groups. It procures products from local manufacturers and provides them with a platform to digitise their business and compete with national brands. It offers high quality, low-priced essentials coupled with a gamified, fun and virality-driven vernacular shopping experience that makes it easy for first-time internet users to experience online shopping.

Founded by Vineet Rao, Sourjyendu Medda, Sankar Bora and Rajat Shikhar, DealShare provides a sharp and curated assortment at highly competitive prices and has built an innovative community leader-driven ultra-low-cost delivery mechanism collectively leading to best-in-class unit economics.

“We believe India is a unique market with its highly diverse demographics and requires an indigenous model that is built based on first principles and differentiates itself from western and Chinese e-commerce models. DealShare has pioneered this model with innovations in app experience and technology, direct from factory procurement, gamified and viral demand generation and building a DealShare dost (community leader) network that enables DealShare to operate at the lowest cost operations in the world,” said Vineet Rao, CEO and founder, DealShare.

Fund deployment

The funds will be utilised to invest in AI-driven innovations in user experience, to scale up operations and increase footprint from 20 warehouses across 5 States to over 200 warehouses across 10 States by the year-end. DealShare caters to about 1 lakh orders daily and has partnered with over 1,000 local and regional brands.

“In FY 2021, we grew 5X to reach $200 million annual GMV run rate. In a short span of 2 years, we have serviced more than 3 million consumers and over 20 million orders. We are confident of hitting a $1 billion GMV run rate by the end of the year, thereby, building a strong 10 million customer base. We currently serve 40 cities and towns across 5 States and will increase our footprint to 100 cities/towns and 10 States by year-end. We are also close to breaking even,” Sourjyendu Medda, founder, Chief Business Officer and CFO, DealShare told BusinessLine.

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DBS Bank India FY’21 net profit surges to ₹312 crore

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DBS Bank India’s net profit surged by 181 per cent in 2020-21 to ₹312 crore from ₹111 crore in the fiscal year 2019-20.

As of November 27, 2020, Lakshmi Vilas Bank (LVB) was amalgamated with DBS Bank India Ltd (DBIL) and the results include LVB’s performance since that date.

Net revenue for DBIL grew by 85 per cent to ₹2,673 crore in 2020-21 from ₹1,444 crore in 2019-20. The net revenue for last fiscal includes ₹134 crore from LVB.

Total deposits increased by 44 per cent to ₹51,501 crore, which includes ₹18,823 crore from LVB.

Savings account balances grew by about 207 per cent, and current account balances grew by about 98 per cent year on year, including the growth on account of the amalgamation.

NPA

Overall CASA ratio improved to 31 per cent from 19 per cent.

Gross non performing assets (NPA) remained moderate at 1.83 per cent for DBIL excluding the LVB portfolio.

While gross NPA deteriorated to 12.93 per cent after the amalgamation of LVB, the net NPA for the bank on a combined basis, stands at 2.83 per cent given 84 per cent provision coverage.

“After the amalgamation, the bank’s primary focus has been on welcoming the employees and customers of LVB into the DBS family, unifying the LVB and DBS workforces and re-building the LVB business,” DBIL said in a statement.

Platforms integration

The integration of operating platforms and branches is currently underway.

“The steady growth in LVB current and savings account balances as well as in the gold loans portfolio in 2021 is an early indicator of the success of the current strategy,” it further said.

Surojit Shome, Managing Director and CEO, DBIL said there has been considerable progress with the integration of LVB since the amalgamation in November 2020 even with the dislocations due to the second wave of the pandemic.

“While, as expected, there has been an immediate impact on our financial results due to the high Net NPAs and operating losses at LVB, we are confident of realising the long-term prospects of the combined franchise,” he said, adding that in the erstwhile LVB operations, DBIL has already been able to revitalise the gold loans business and grow deposits.

“Our immediate priority is to integrate the operating systems and processes so that we can deliver best-in-class solutions to a wider customer franchise,” he further said.

DBIL’s capital adequacy ratio stood at 15.13 per cent, with CET1 at 12.34 per cent. During the year, DBS Bank infused ₹2,500 crore into DBIL to support the amalgamation.

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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Government of India has announced the sale (re-issue) of Government Stock detailed below through auctions to be held on July 09 2021.

As per the extant scheme of underwriting notified on November 14, 2007, the amounts of Minimum Underwriting Commitment (MUC) and the minimum bidding commitment under Additional Competitive Underwriting (ACU) for the underwriting auction, applicable to each Primary Dealer (PD), are as under:

(₹ crore)
Security Notified Amount Minimum Underwriting Commitment (MUC) amount per PD Minimum bidding commitment per PD under ACU auction
4.26% GS 2023 3,000 72 72
New GS 2031 14,000 334 334
6.76% GS 2061 9,000 215 215

The underwriting auction will be conducted through multiple price-based method on July 09, 2021 (Friday). PDs may submit their bids for ACU auction electronically through Core Banking Solution (E- Kuber) System between 09:00 A.M. and 09:30 A.M. on the date of underwriting auction.

The underwriting commission will be credited to the current account of the respective PDs with RBI on the date of issue of securities.

Ajit Prasad
Director   

Press Release: 2021-2022/502

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Explained: Post Office Savings Account Tax Exemption Rules

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Taxes

oi-Vipul Das

|

Small savings schemes, apart from fixed deposits, are the safest option among risk-free instruments to invest. Small savings schemes, such as post office savings accounts, have their interest rates updated every quarter. The government has left the interest rate for small savings schemes steady for the July to September quarter. Just like an interest-bearing account maintained with a bank, one can also open a savings account with a post office to meet emergency or immediate financial needs. But do you know the tax exemption rules of post office savings accounts and how much tax you can save.? Let’s discuss briefly.

Explained: Post Office Savings Account Tax Exemption Rules

Post Office Savings Account Tax Exemption Rules

Although it is well known that a person can make a tax deduction of up to Rs 10,000 from his or her interest income received from a post office savings account under section 80TTA. While also seeking the tax advantage under section 80TTA, a depositor can also claim the interest from a post office savings account as a tax-free income. As a result, Section 10(15)(i) of the Income Tax Act allows you to claim interest from a post office savings account as tax-free income.

According to a government announcement dated June 3, 2011, post office savings account interest up to Rs 3,500 for single accounts and Rs 7,000 for joint accounts is free from taxation. “To an extent of the interest of Rs. 3,500 in the case of an individual account and Rs. 7,000 in the case of joint account”, the notification has stated. Individuals can seek interest income from savings accounts kept with a post office up to Rs 10,000 under section 80TTA of the Income Tax Act, or up to Rs Rs 50,000 under section 80 TTB if they are elderly citizens.

Furthermore, he or she can seek the deduction benefit under section 10(15)(i) on the interest income from savings account with a post office up to Rs 3,500 in respect of an individual account and Rs 7,000 in respect of a joint account. As a result, a non-senior person can declare Rs 7,000 as tax-free interest on a jointly owned post office savings account, as well as a tax benefit from interest income of up to Rs 10,000 on post office savings account in a surplus of Rs 7,000, respectively.

Keep in mind that you must declare such exemption on your income tax return (ITR) under the heading ‘Exempt Income’ if you have declared an exemption on the interest you earned from your savings account maintained at any post office.



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SBI Savings Plus Account: 4 Lesser Known Facts You Need To Know About

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Investment

oi-Vipul Das

|

In order to overcome emergency or immediate personal finance needs, savings account in your portfolio is a must. Sayings accounts are well known for liquidity in nature, safety of funds, fund transfer facility, interest on the deposit amount, and so on. However, when it comes to opening savings account the first two things that come to our mind are best interest rates on savings accounts and leading or top banks of our country offering savings accounts. Considering this factor in mind, we have picked for you a Savings Plus Account which is offered by the top commercial bank of our country State Bank of India (SBI). To know in brief about this savings account, let’s discuss the 4 lesser-known facts of it.

What is an SBI Savings Plus Account?

What is an SBI Savings Plus Account?

According to SBI, SBI Savings Plus Account is a savings bank account linked to the Multi Option Deposit Scheme (MODS), in which surplus funds from the Savings Bank Account are automatically transferred to Term Deposits in multiples of Rs. 1000 maintained in any SBI branch. According to the specifics of this SBI savings account, which are published on SBI’s official website – sbi.co.in – the term deposit duration spans from 1 year to 5 years, same as the post office savings account scheme. Where the interest rate of an SBI savings account is just 2.7 percent per annum, opening an SBI Savings Plus Account can be a smart choice to get higher returns along with the below-mentioned benefits.

Features of SBI Savings Plus Account

Features of SBI Savings Plus Account

Below are the features and benefits of SBI Savings Account that you need to know about:

  • One can open an SBI Savings Plus Account for a deposit period of 1 to 5 years.
  • This savings account comes with a range of services like ATM card, State Bank Anywhere, Mobile banking, Internet banking and SMS alerts.
  • One can also avail loan against his or her Multi Option Deposit Scheme (MODS) account.
  • According to SBI, the minimum threshold limit for transfer to MOD is capped at Rs 35,000 and the minimum amount of transfer to MOD Rs. 10,000/- in multiples of Rs 1,000/- at one instance is allowed.
  • The account user is entitled to get 25 free cheque leaves per year, according to SBI. Subsequent cheques will be provided with certain charges based on the customer’s Quarterly Average balance.
  • According to SBI, free withdrawals are limited depending on the Monthly Average Balance.
  • One can transfer his or her savings plus account via internet banking.
  • This savings account comes with no upper limit on the maximum account balance.
  • A passbook is also provided to the account holder without any charges. If the original passbook is lost, a duplicate passbook can be obtained with a fee.
  • Account statements would be provided to the account holder via email.
  • This savings account comes with no monthly average balance limit.

Eligibility required to open SBI Savings Account Plus account

Eligibility required to open SBI Savings Account Plus account

To open a Savings Plus Account you need to meet the below-given eligibility criteria according to SBI:

  • All individuals with appropriate KYC documents, according to SBI, are eligible to open a Savings bank account at any bank branch.
  • The account can be opened individually, jointly, or with either or survivor, former or survivor, anyone or survivor, and so on.
  • SBI has said via its official website about KYC requirements that “The customer has to specify whether’ First in First Out” or “Last in First out” principle should be applied for break opening of deposits. In absence of any mandate, the “last in First out” principle will be applied.”

Terms and conditions

Terms and conditions

SBI has highlighted three points on its official website about the terms and conditions of the Savings Plus Account. According to SBI:

  • Savings Bank linked to Multi Option Deposit (MOD) account, for limousine sweep, for the issue of Term Deposits and unitised break-up facilities. Any surplus funds retaining a minimum of Rs. 25000/ in Savings Bank (to be set up by the customer) will be transferred as Term Deposit with a minimum of Rs. 10,000/- and in multiple of Rs. 1,000/- at one instance.
  • W.e.f 01.11.2018, In case the balance falls below Rs 3,000/- MODs will be broken to maintain a balance of Rs 3,000/ in the account.
  • If sufficient balance in MOD is not available, on account of which the system is unable to maintain the minimum balance of Rs 3000/- in the account, the customer is liable to pay charges on non-maintenance of AMB as applicable to the geographical location where the account is maintained.

Story first published: Thursday, July 8, 2021, 12:58 [IST]



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3 Top Rated And Best Contra Equity Funds To Invest In India 2021 For Exceptional Gains

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1. SBI Contra Fund-Regular Plan Growth:

The fund introduced in the year 1999 invests its corpus in a staggered way and are more into large and small cap stocks. NAV of the fund as on July 7 is Rs. 176.88 and in comparison to its benchmark S&P BSE 500 TRI over a 1-year period, the fund has delivered good returns of 85.42%. For reaping the maximum gains, investors need to have an investment horizon of at least over 3 years.

Top holdings of the fund comprise ICICI Bank, Infosys, Axis Bank, Sun Pharma, GAIL, Lupin and Carborundum etc.

SIP investment into the fund can be started with Rs. 500, while for lump sum investment one needs to put in a minimum of Rs. 5000.

In case the investor makes redemption before a period of 1 year then there is charged an exit load of 1 percent.

2. Kotak India EQ Contra Fund (KCONF):

2. Kotak India EQ Contra Fund (KCONF):

For the fund, the investment is mostly into large and mid cap and hence in terms of rolling return it underperformed the other Invesco India contra fund. The stock selection of the fund integrates the manager’s conviction as well as the quantitative model. “We choose stocks which are fundamentally sound, but are undervalued. When we are looking at intrinsic value, we are not just looking at the price to earnings or the price to book value or an EBITDA multiple, but we are also looking at different fundamental factors such as operating profitability, cash flow, balance sheet leverage and return ratios”, said Shibani Kurian, Head of Research and Equity Fund Manager at Kotak Mutual Fund.

Over a 1-year period the fund has outperformed its benchmark Nifty 100 TRI with return of 54.9%, nonetheless this has been lower than the category average return of 64%.

Some of the top scrip holdings wherein it holds a diversified portfolio are Infosys, RIL, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, UltraTech Cement, Axis Bank, Larsen and Toubro etc. Furthermore, the fund is more into financial, technology and construction space.

SIP in the fund can be started for an amount of Rs. 1000.

3.	Invesco India Contra Fund-Growth:

3. Invesco India Contra Fund-Growth:

The fund has been into existence since the year 2007 and as of July 7 commands an NAV of 70.79. Expense ratio of the fund is less than the category average at 1.83 percent. Furthermore, most of the corpus is put into the large cap category.

SIP in the fund can be started for as less as Rs. 100. In a 3-year period, the investment of Rs. 10000 monthly SIP is now valued at Rs. 5.15 lakh, offering an absolute return of 44.71 percent.

Top holdings of the fund include ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Infosys, RIL, Sun Pharma etc.

Conclusion:

These funds have the potential to generate good enough returns and this has been seen in the past. In some of the conditions, investors tend to avoid some of the stocks which results in their mispricing and investment into such funds can be beneficial on the hope that in the near to medium term, stock price shall stabilize and return to its original or real value, providing gains to its investors.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in mutual funds is risky and investors should understand the risk. Greynium Information Technologies and the author do not take any responsibility for losses incurred based on the decisions in the article. The article is meant for informational purposes only.



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3 MidCap Equity Mutual Funds To Invest With “5 Star” Rating From Crisil

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Invesco India Mid Cap Fund

This fund has been rated as “5-star” by Crisil, which could make it a good mutual fund to buy. The fund invests the money in stocks of midcap companies, which means returns can be very volatile.

We would like to tell investors that they also need to be a little cautious and invest small amounts, preferably by way of Systematic Investment Plans in the fund.

The net asset value under the growth plan is Rs 79.76, while under the dividend option it is Rs 30.16. If you do not have lumpsum to invest, you can look at staggered investment whereby a small sum of Rs 1,000 can be considered for the purposes of SIP investments.

This fund is a very old fund and was launched way back in 2007. The 1-year returns from Invesco India Mid Cap Fund has been a stupendous 65%, while the 5-year returns on an annualized basis is lower at 17.38%.

Axis Midcap Fund

Axis Midcap Fund

Axis Midcap Fund has not only been rated “5-star” by CRISIL, but a similar ratings had been accorded to it, by noted rating agency Value Research. This fund has always been among the top performing funds, which is one of the reasons why the assets under management is Rs 11,000 crores plus.

About 10 stocks in the portfolio form 34% of the holdings at Axis Midcap Fund. Among the stocks that that the fund holds in its portfolio includes names like Cholamandalam Finance and Investment, Voltas, Astral, PI Industries, Coforge, ICICI Bank etc.

This is among the better rated mutual funds to invest with a long term perspective in mind. The portfolio also is very strong with companies that have had a stellar track record.

Edelweiss Large & Mid Cap Fund

Edelweiss Large & Mid Cap Fund

This fund has also been rated “5-star” by Crisil, but, it is not strictly a midcap fund. Edelweiss Large & Mid Cap Fund invests in both large cap and midcap funds, which is a good combination for equity mutual fund investors to invest in.

The one good thing about the Edelweiss Large & Mid Cap Fund is that it gives the fund manager the flexibility to look at both categories of investment, which is midcap and largecaps.

This fund’s portfolio also looks sound to capture gains from rising markets as the portfolio includes names like ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Infosys, State Bank of India and Axis Bank.

Under the growth plan the fund has an NAV of Rs 48, which is a level investors will have to buy into.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in mutual funds is risky and investors should understand the risk. Greynium Information Technologies and the author do not take any responsibility for losses incurred based on the decisions in the article. The article is meant for informational purposes only.



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Fresh NPAs may see a spike, but overall bad loans may decline to 7.1% in FY22, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Notwithstanding the Reserve Bank of India projections of gross non-performing assets rising to 9.8% of total loans this fiscal, the bad loans may decline to at least 7.1 percent by March 2022, as against 7.6 percent at FY21-end.

The NPAs will go lower on higher recoveries and upgrades, and also faster credit growth, ratings agency Icra said, adding that the fresh accretion to the NPAs will be higher in FY22 due to the absence of any regulatory dispensations like moratoriums.

The GNPAs and NNPAs (net NPAs) are expected to decline to 6.9-7.1 percent and 1.9-2.0 percent respectively by March 31, 2022, it said.

What RBI said

The Reserve Bank’s financial stability report had said the GNPAs at March 2021 had come at 7.6 percent and estimated it to rise to 9.8 percent in FY22-end under its base-case assumptions. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das had said the dent on balance sheets and performance of financial institutions in India has been much less than projected earlier, but a clearer picture will emerge as the effects of regulatory reliefs fully work their way through.

The new math

The rating agency said the fresh NPA generation declined to Rs 2.6 lakh crore or 2.7 percent of advances in FY21 compared to Rs 3.7 lakh crore or 4.2 percent in FY20 and added that the same will be higher in FY22. The headline asset quality numbers of banks do not reflect the underlying stress on the income and cash-flows of the borrowers impacted because of COVID-19 and various regulatory and policy measures such as the moratorium on loan repayment, standstill on asset classification and liquidity extended to borrowers under Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) had a positive impact on the reported asset quality of lenders.

In the absence of standstill on asset classification, we expect the fresh NPAs generation to be higher, however, we also expect the recoveries and upgrades to improve in FY22, it said, adding that the first half of the ongoing fiscal can see higher accretions due to the second wave of the pandemic. The credit provisions for the banks moderated to 2.5 percent of advances in FY21 compared to 3.7 percent in FY20, even as the core operating profits improved with the cost curtailment measures.

PSB turnaround

Within the sector, the turnaround was remarkable for public sector banks, which reported profits after five consecutive years of losses and with NNPAs at the lowest levels seen over the last six years (3.1 percent as of March 31, 2021), ICRA expects the public sector banks (PSB) to remain profitable going forward. After the capital raising exercises, the improved capital positions coupled with lower NNPAs mean a better solvency profile as well as an improved outlook on the ability to support growth and better future profitability.

“We believe that the banks are relatively better placed to handle the stress from the second wave and hence we continue to maintain a stable outlook on the sector.” the rating agency said.



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