Buy This Small Cap Pharma Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 1572: IIFL Securities

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2QFY22 results of Astec Lifesciences Ltd

According to the brokerage “Export volumes grew 8% YoY in 2QFY22, whereas domestic volumes fell 28% YoY, as the company allotted the limited capacity available with it (in the context of the Mahad shutdown) to exports. Exports were also impacted by container shortages and higher freight costs. Almost 33% of 2Q export sales (including CRAMS) were deferred to 3Q: this translates into ~Rs215m of deferred sales that will be recorded in 3QFY22.”

IIFL Securities has also said that “Besides, another ~Rs80m worth of material could not be despatched due to logistical hurdles. Hence, overall, ~Rs300m of revenues has spilled over from 2Q to 3Q. Volume growth was 11% in 1HFY22. Exports accounted for 55% of the company’s revenues for 2QFY22. Capex is seen at ~Rs1.5bn in FY22, although management indicated that CAPEX plans may need to be revised upwards. Projects that have been under implementation include the herbicide unit (now commissioned), the new R&D center (expected to be ready by FY23- end), and the new fungicide plant (details on CAPEX for this unit to be shared by the next investor call).”

Management’s expectation

Management’s expectation

IIFL Securities in its research report has said that “The company’s management has guided to very aggressive and high growth in the CRAMS business; specifically, management guided for ~50% CAGR in the CRAMS business for the next three years. Management expects to successfully achieve its FY22 profit growth target of 15-20%. Management also expects EBITDA margins to go up to ~24% in the next few years, from 20- 22% at present.” The brokerage has also clarified that “This year, management expects 20-25% growth in enterprise sales, of which 15pps should come from volume growth. Four new CRAMS products are expected to be launched in FY22, plus another one in enterprise sales. Thereafter, two large enterprise products should be commercialised by 4QFY23: these are triazole fungicides.”

Buy Astec Lifesciences Ltd with a target price of Rs. 1572

Buy Astec Lifesciences Ltd with a target price of Rs. 1572

IIFL Securities claims that “Ramp-up of capacity utilisation at the new herbicide unit, to be followed by commercialisation of two new triazole fungicides by 4QFY23, should drive strong growth. Besides, higher prices of propiconazole should boost margins, and visibility is strong. Hence, we raise FY22ii EPS by 8% to Rs39.3, to reflect a likely jump in earnings in 2H on revenue deferrals, rising prices and strong demand; we tweak up FY23-24ii EPS by 3% each. Our TP, rolled over to Dec-22, rises to Rs1,572. We keep our target 1YF P/E unchanged at 30x, and believe it is justified by promising growth prospects, healthy financial metrics and strong parentage.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The stock has been picked from the brokerage report of IIFL Securities Limited. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Paytm reports 131% rise in GMV to $ 11.2 billion in October

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Driven by festive season spends, One 97 Communications (Paytm), which got listed in bourses last week, has recorded a 131 per cent increase in its gross merchandise value (GMV)—or payments made to merchants through its platform—in October 2021 on a year-on-year basis to ₹83,200 crore ($11.2 billion) from a level of about ₹36,000 crore in same month last year.

The number of monthly transacting users (MTUs) grew more than 35 per cent in October 2021 to 63 million as compared to 47 million in the same month last year, Paytm said in a regulatory filing on its operating performance for October on Sunday night.

“Our strong operating performance continued in the month of October 2021 with increasing numbers of consumers and merchants transacting on our ecosystem, increasing frequency of transactions and increasing adoption of our different products and services”, the company said.

Paytm also recorded a 418 per cent year-on-year growth in the value of loans disbursed in October. “The October 2021 month saw a continued increase in adoption across our different financial services products. The lending business continued to show very strong growth as a result of rapid scale up of all of our lending products, including Postpaid, consumer loans and merchant loans”, the regulatory filing said.

“Our financial institution partners disbursed a total of 1.3 million loans in October 2021 aggregating to a total disbursal of ₹627 crore ($84 million), implying a 472 per cent increase in numbers of loans disbursed YOY and 418 per cent increase in value of loans disbursed YOY”.

The total number of devices deployed across the merchant base has increased from 0.9 million as on June 30, 2021 to 1.3 million as on September 30,2021 to about 1.4 million as on October 31, 2021.

“The October 2021 month saw continued increase in adoption across our different financial services products. The lending business continued to show very strong growth as a result of rapid scale up of all of our lending products, including postpaid, consumer loans and merchant loans”, the regulatory filing added.

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Paytm reports 131% rise in GMV to $ 11.2 billion in October

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Driven by festive season spends, One 97 Communications (Paytm), which got listed in bourses last week, has recorded a 131 per cent increase in its gross merchandise value (GMV)—or payments made to merchants through its platform—in October 2021 on a year-on-year basis to ₹83,200 crore ($11.2 billion) from a level of about ₹36,000 crore in same month last year.

The number of monthly transacting users (MTUs) grew more than 35 per cent in October 2021 to 63 million as compared to 47 million in the same month last year, Paytm said in a regulatory filing on its operating performance for October on Sunday night.

“Our strong operating performance continued in the month of October 2021 with increasing numbers of consumers and merchants transacting on our ecosystem, increasing frequency of transactions and increasing adoption of our different products and services”, the company said.

Paytm also recorded a 418 per cent year-on-year growth in the value of loans disbursed in October. “The October 2021 month saw a continued increase in adoption across our different financial services products. The lending business continued to show very strong growth as a result of rapid scale up of all of our lending products, including Postpaid, consumer loans and merchant loans”, the regulatory filing said.

“Our financial institution partners disbursed a total of 1.3 million loans in October 2021 aggregating to a total disbursal of ₹627 crore ($84 million), implying a 472 per cent increase in numbers of loans disbursed YOY and 418 per cent increase in value of loans disbursed YOY”.

The total number of devices deployed across the merchant base has increased from 0.9 million as on June 30, 2021 to 1.3 million as on September 30,2021 to about 1.4 million as on October 31, 2021.

“The October 2021 month saw continued increase in adoption across our different financial services products. The lending business continued to show very strong growth as a result of rapid scale up of all of our lending products, including postpaid, consumer loans and merchant loans”, the regulatory filing added.

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2 Mutual Fund For SIPs Rated No 1 By Crisil And 5-Star By Value Research

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Quant Tax Plan

The Quant Tax Plan has been rated No 1 by Crisil and also has a 5-star rating from Value Research. This fund is an Equity Linked Savings Scheme, which means an investment of up to Rs 1.5 lakh qualifies for tax rebate under Sec80c of the Income Tax.

1-year returns 3-year returns 5-year returns
84.97% 35.01% 26.02%

The returns seen above and simply fantastic and naturally they also have largely to do with the way the stock markets have rallied in the last few quarters.

Portfolio and Sip details of Quant Tax Plan

Portfolio and Sip details of Quant Tax Plan

The minimum investment required to start a Sip in the Quant Tax Plan is Rs 500, with an initial sum of Rs 500. It is important to note that being a tax plan there is a lock-in period of 3-years. The assets under management is not very large at Rs 487 crores.

Almost 98.85% of the funds are invested in equities with a low or negligible holdings in cash. The company has a significant holdings in the likes of L&T, State Bank of India and Reliance Industries. This fund is good for those looking to save taxes as well as invest for returns. However, we suggest limiting your exposure given the way equities have rallied in the last few quarters.

Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund

Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund

This fund has been rated No 1 by Crisil and has a 5-star from Value Research and Groww as well. In fact, it is a very popular mutual fund scheme for SIPs as well. The fund has assets under management of Rs 5030 crores and has done well over the last few years.

1-year returns 3-year returns 5-year returns
37.37% 22.46% 19.51%

The returns are not high as Quant Tax Plan, but, they compare much better than some peers.

SIP and other details of Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund

SIP and other details of Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund

Investors planning to put money through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) can do so with a minimum sum of Rs 1,000 every month. The fund has generated a very good returns in the past, but, that does not guarantee solid returns in the future.

We believe returns are unlikely to be extraordinary as in the past. Therefore, investors from here on, have to hope for some moderation in returns. In fact, we suggest that investors should only consider SIP investment and avoid large scale lump sum investments, especially in pure equity oriented mutual funds.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

All readers and investors should note that neither Greynium nor the author of the articles, would be responsible for any decision taken based on these articles. Please consult a professional advisor. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates, and authors do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in GoodReturns.in



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This Stock Gives A Dividend Yield Of 8%, Should You Buy The Same?

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Attractive dividend yield of 8%

For the FY 2020-21, Coal India declared a dividend of Rs 12.5 per share in total. The first ex dividend date was on 19th November and the second was on March 15, 2021. The first dividend was Rs 7.5 and the second was Rs 5. Now, if you take the current market price of Rs 153, the dividend yield works to 8.16%.

Current market price Dividend declared in Fy 20-21 Dividend yield
Rs 153 Rs 12.5 8.16%

Now given that banks, at least the large private sector banks and government owned banks offer an interest rate of a maximum of 5.5 on deposits, this dividend yield in excess of 8% is now bad at all.

Dividend yields could go even higher

Dividend yields could go even higher

So far for FY 2021-22, the company has not declared a dividend so far. This means that those who buy the shares could receive dividends in the future. Another thing to note as there is a possibility that the government declares an even higher dividend this year. The government is running a huge fiscal deficit and there is a possibility that PSUs could declare higher dividends. If that were to happen the yields could spike even further.

Recently, the company declared its quarterly numbers, which were not very good. For the quarter ending June 30, 2021, the company reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 25963.12 Crore, down -7.19 % from last quarter. Realizations and the net profits of the company were also not too great. Brokerages remain optimistic on the stock of Coal India.

What brokerages are saying?

What brokerages are saying?

ICICI Securities has set a price target of Rs 253 on the stock. .According to the brokerage recent events leading to a shortfall in supplies has highlighted coal’s importance and necessity until large-scale storage solutions become viable. “Elevated global coal prices and supply chain bottlenecks would likely make Coal India a preferred coal supplier for the domestic consumers in the medium term,” the brokerage has said. CLSA also put a buy call on the stock of Coal India with a price target of Rs 210. This is significantly lower than the price set by ICICI Securities.

“The Q2 EBITDA was below estimates on higher costs and lower realisations, however, EBITDA ex-OBR (0ver burden removal) fell 5 percent Quarter on Quarter to Rs 272 per tonnes. Receivables fell to Rs 14,900 crores,” the brokerage said in a report.

We believe that the sharp fall in the stock post quarterly numbers, offers good opportunity for dividends.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies and the author are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. Caution is advised as stock markets have more than doubled from Covid-induced lows.



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“BUY” This Maharatna Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 193 Says Geojit

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Q2FY22 results of ONGC

According to the brokerage “ONGC’s Q2FY22 standalone revenue increased 5.8% QoQ, and 44.0% YoY to Rs. 24,354cr mainly due to higher sales revenue from crude oil by Rs. 7,644cr and value-added products by Rs. 1,031cr. However, this was partially offset by lower revenue from natural gas by Rs. 665cr. Total crude oil production was down 3.8% YoY to 5.5MMT from 5.7MMT, while the average realized price rose 67.6% YoY to USD 69.4/bbl. Natural Gas production stood at 5.5BCM, (-7.0% YoY), with average realization reported at USD 1.8/MMBtu.”

Geojit research desk has said in its research report that “The production of both crude oil and gas declined mainly due to cyclone Tauktae and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. ONGC’s offshore and onshore revenue for the quarter stood at Rs. 15,636cr (+39.8% YoY) and Rs. 8,717cr (+52.2% YoY), respectively. In Q2FY22, EBITDA grew 69.9% YoY to Rs. 15,674cr, primarily on account of favorable changes in inventories, and decline in exploratory well costs and survey costs. A sequential decline in both depreciation (-5.3% QoQ) and net finance costs (-6.6% QoQ) positively impacted the net profit. It registered a significant rise, at Rs. 18,348cr vs Rs. 2,757cr in Q2FY21, indicating a 565.4% YoY/323.3% QoQ rise.”

Key conference call highlights of ONGC according to Geojit

Key conference call highlights of ONGC according to Geojit

  • The board approved an interim dividend of 110%, i.e., Rs. 5.50 per share, and the total payout will be Rs. 6,919cr.
  • The company’s current production for KG-98/2 cluster is close to around 0.65 MMSCMD from two wells and the production is expected to increase up to more than 1 MMSCMD over the forecast period.
  • ONGC also decided to opt for a lower tax regime under Section 115-BBA of the Income Tax Act, with effect from FY21. The company recognized a provision for tax expenses and reassessed deferred tax liabilities. This has resulted in a decrease in deferred tax by Rs. 8,541cr and current tax by Rs. 1,304cr.

Buy ONGC with a target price of Rs. 193

Buy ONGC with a target price of Rs. 193

In its research report, the brokerage has claimed that “ONGC’s topline performance is expected to register growth over the forecast period mainly due to the recovery in crude volumes and increase in realization. Revenue from Natural gas and Value-Added products is expected to improve due to the minimization of supply chain disruptions globally. This along with a possible hike in natural gas prices could drive the performance further. Therefore, we reiterate our BUY rating on the stock with a revised target price of Rs. 193 based on SOTP valuation.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The stock has been picked from the brokerage report of Geojit Financial Services Limited. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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El Salvador to build cryptocurrency-fueled “Bitcoin City”, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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LA LIBERTAD, El Salvador – In a rock concert-like atmosphere, El Salvador President Nayib Bukele announced that his government will build an oceanside “Bitcoin City” at the base of a volcano.

Bukele used a gathering of Bitcoin enthusiasts Saturday night to launch his latest idea, much as he used a an earlier Bitcoin conference in Miami to announce in a video message that El Salvador would be the first country to make the cryptocurrency legal tender,

A bond offering would happen in 2022 entirely in Bitcoin, Bukele said, wearing his signature backwards baseball cap. And 60 days after financing was ready, construction would begin.

The city will be built near the Conchagua volcano to take advantage of geothermal energy to power both the city and Bitcoin mining – the energy-intensive solving of complex mathematical calculations day and night to verify currency transactions.

The government is already running a pilot Bitcoin mining venture at another geothermal power plant beside the Tecapa volcano.

The oceanside Conchagua volcano sits in southeastern El Salvador on the Gulf of Fonseca.

The government will provide land and infrastructure and work to attract investors.

The only tax collected there will be the value-added tax, half of which will be used to pay the municipal bonds and the rest for municipal infrastructure and maintenance. Bukele said there would be no property, income or municipal taxes and the city would have zero carbon dioxide emissions.

The city would be built with attracting foreign investment in mind. There would be residential areas, malls, restaurants and a port, Bukele said. The president talked of digital education, technology and sustainable public transportation.

“Invest here and earn all the money you want,” Bukele told the cheering crowd in English at the closing of the Latin American Bitcoin and Blockchain Conference being held in El Salvador.

Bitcoin has been legal tender alongside the U.S. dollar since Sept. 7.

The government is backing Bitcoin with a $150 million fund. To incentivize Salvadorans to use it, the government offered $30 worth of credit to those using its digital wallet.

Critics have warned that the currency’s lack of transparency could attract increased criminal activity to the country and that the digital currency’s wild swings in value would pose a risk to those holding it.

Bitcoin was originally created to operate outside government controlled financial systems and Bukele says it will help attract foreign investment to El Salvador and make it cheaper for Salvadorans living abroad to send money home to their families.

Concern among the Salvadoran opposition and outside observers has grown this year as Bukele has moved to consolidate power.

Voters gave the highly popular president’s party control of the congress earlier this year. The new lawmakers immediately replaced the members of the constitutional chamber of the Supreme Court and the attorney general, leaving Bukele’s party firmly in control of the other branches of government.

The U.S. government in response said it would shift its aid away from government agencies to civil society organizations. This month, Bukele sent a proposal to congress that would require organizations receiving foreign funding to register as foreign agents.



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No exception from ownership norms for PSBs on selloff list, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is unlikely to make an exception for ownership changes to privatise state-run banks. Instead, it will issue comprehensive guidelines that will also deal with corporate ownership of Indian lenders.

Sources told TOI that the RBI will soon start the process of new norms, but it is yet to take a decision on allowing corporate houses into the banking business amid sharp divisions on the issue.

The current norms do not allow corporate houses to enter the arena, although several large business houses such as the Birlas and the Tatas have a large financial services presence and may be interested in either acquiring a stake or setting up a bank in future. An internal working group set up by the RBI had submitted a new licensing policy for banks several months ago but the regulator is yet to take a call on the issue, given that it has received multiple inputs from stakeholders and it has been caught up with combating the impact of Covid on the economy.

The Centre and the RBI have agreed on the legislative amendments that may be required to pave the way for privatisation of banks, for which three candidates have been identified.

First off the block is expected to be IDBI Bank, whose name has been made public, with Indian Overseas Bank and Central Bank of India the other candidates in the pipeline, which have been shortlisted by the Niti Aayog with the final decision to be taken by a core group of secretaries. IDBI Bank was on the sell-off list for the current financial year along with a state-run insurance company and two public sector banks. But all the four transactions are not possible until the next financial year.

The law to allow for privatisation of a general insurer has been cleared by Parliament but Dipam is yet to make much headway. And, in the absence of a road map for shareholding in banks, the IDBI Bank sale is not expected anytime soon as bidders would want to know the eligibility conditions and how much they can buy and how they need to dilute.



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SBI yet to refund Rs 164 cr undue fee charged from Jan Dhan a/c holders, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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State Bank of India (SBI) is yet to return Rs 164 crore of undue fee charged from the account holders of Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) towards digital payments during April 2017 and December 2019, a report said.

“On directions from the government, SBI has returned just about Rs 90 crore, thereby withholding the bigger chunk of at least Rs 164 crore with itself,” said the report prepared by IIT-Mumbai.

It said that during April 2017 to September 2020, SBI had collected over Rs 254 crore towards at least 14 crore UPI/ RuPay transactions by charging Rs 17.70 per transactions on BSBDA (Basic Savings Bank Deposit Account) customers under the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY).

Queries sent to the country’s largest lender on return of charges levied on debit transactions done by such account holders during the said period of 33 months did not elicit any response.

Since June 1, 2017, unlike any other bank in India, the report said, SBI charged Rs 17.70 for every debit transaction beyond four a month.

Debit transaction means any withdrawal transaction that includes cash withdrawal, Unified Payments Interface (UPI), Immediate Payment Service (IMPS), National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT), Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) pre-authorised standing instruction, cheque, etc.

This has adversely impacted the BSBDA customers of SBI who, on the call of the government and RBI, embraced digital means of financial transactions.

“Due to this attitude of SBI and subsequent to RBI remaining noncommittal, in mid-August 2020, the Finance Ministry was approached for addressing the concern.

“The Ministry was prompt in their actions and the CBDT by end-August 2020, advised SBI to refund the charges collected since January 1, 2020 on transactions carried out using the prescribed digital payment modes,” it said.

On August 30, 2020, the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) advised banks to refund the charges collected since January 1, 2020 on transactions carried out using the prescribed digital payment modes that include the UPI and the RuPay debit card, and not to impose charges on future transactions carried out through such modes.

In adherence to the CBDT directive, as late as February 17, 2021, SBI initiated refund of Rs 17.70 for the UPI and RuPay debit card digital transactions to the BSBDA customers, the report prepared by Ashish Das, Professor of Statistics said.

Levying of charges on BSBDA is guided by September 2013 RBI guidelines. As per the direction these account holders are ‘allowed more than four withdrawals’ in a month, at the bank’s discretion provided the bank does not charge for the same.



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Despite regulatory concerns, over 400 start-ups jump onto crypto ecosystem

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Despite regulatory uncertainty and the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) concerns, India now has close to 400 cryptocurrency-based start-ups offering various services to the crypto ecosystem.

According to data sourced by BusinessLine from Tracxn, there are 380 crypto start-ups and 12 Non-fungible Tokens-based (NFT) start-ups currently operating in the country. Per industry players, in 2021 alone, at least 100 cryptocurrency start-ups have been launched.

“There are many start-ups that are focussed on creating new coins, supporting the exchanges and ecosystem, and some businesses are building investor communities around cryptos. These activities have been very strong this year. Roughly 50-60 crypto start-ups came up last year itself,” Sathvik Vishwanath, co-founder and CEO of cryptocurrency exchange Unocoin, told this newspaper.

Crypto transactions had hit a pause early last year when the RBI told banks not to fulfil payments related to cryptocurrencies. However, with the Supreme Court staying the RBI order, the crypto industry has grown significantly. Start-ups in the space saw funding grow 73 per cent in the first six months of calendar 2021 compared to the whole of 2020. Bengaluru-based crypto exchange CoinSwitch Kuber and Mumbai-based CoinDCX hit unicorn valuations recently. The average investment per individual has also gone up to ₹10,000 from ₹6,000-8,000 a year or two ago.

‘Protect, don’t ban’

According to experts, policymakers should consider the growth in the ecosystem while putting in place adequate regulations to protect investors.

Seeing the growth in this space, some entrepreneurs such as fintech Walrus’ founder Bhagaban Behera entered the crypto market. Behera and his co-founders decided to launch a social crypto exchange Defy last week, wherein users could create their profiles and share their portfolios and investment thoughts with friends and followers. “For India, the cryptos NFT segment is quite nascent. We want to build simple software and eventually launch crypto mutual funds, credit cards, fixed deposits, SIP plan,” Behera said.

Growth of NFTs

The NFT segment too is slowly gaining ground and finding new formats.

There are all kinds of NFT start-ups from exchanges, start-ups building APIs, tools, infrastructure for creating NFTs etc. “People are going crazy around entertainment, sports, utility-based NFTs, with possibilities to enter into the Metaverse. There is a lot of FOMO around NFTs in the market and we feel it will remain there for some time,” Toshendra Sharma, Founder and CEO, NFTically, told BusinessLine.

 

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