5 best and worst performers, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The crypto market has been correcting since the last few months and now all eyes are on what Bitcoin is going to do next. $40,000 was Bitcoin’s strongest local support, and last week we saw a positive move from $40,000 to $48,000.
Considering $50,000 as Bitcoin’s first local resistance, this move can be seen as a test move. Major resistance is not very far, and north of $52,000 is all it needs to break into a new trend.

This volatility in the market is good because it brings in some action; at the same time, support and resistance are tested multiple times.

Usually we see such behaviour towards the beginning of any big move. This is the time where short-term traders stay away and long time traders monitor the market closely for confirmation.

From a crypto market point of view, the current phase looks like a good consolidation period and hopefully, we’re coming to the end of consolidation.

As for the next movement, it’s going to be very difficult to say. It’s because when the stock market is also correcting from an all-time high and if there is a significant correction in the stock market, we could see that effect in the crypto market as well.

This would probably decide the next big move for Bitcoin and altcoins. However, it is time for traders to be patient. In the short-term, we could also see a few short positions being open.

However, from a risk-reward perspective, it does not seem to be a favourable time to trade. If you are a long-term investor, it’s definitely a good idea to dollar-cost-average your investments and keep buying the dip.

The month of October should be interesting for the market. Stay safe and play safe.

Crypto Cart: Five best performers
OMG Network (OMG)- 107% up
Axie Infinity (AXS)- 72.5% up
OKB (OKB)- 57.7% up
Qtum (QTUM- 53.8% up
ICON (ICX)- 49.9% up

Crypto Cart: Five worst performers
Constellation (DAG): 29.5% down
Celer Network (CELR): 17% down
Velas (VLX): 15.6% down
DigitalBits (XDB): 15.5% down
IoTex (IOTX): 7% down

(Source: coinmarketcap.com, data as of 13.30 hours, IST on October 02, 2021)
(Siddharth Menon is COO, WazirX. Views are his own)



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BSE ready with technology for launching electronic gold receipts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi: Leading stock exchange BSE is ready with its technology to introduce electronic gold receipts (EGRs) on its platform, which will help in creating uniform price structure of the yellow metal across the country, its chief business officer Sameer Patil said on Sunday. The exchange will take the required internal approvals and apply to markets regulator Sebi for the launch of the new class of security on its platform, he added.

This comes after the Sebi board on Tuesday cleared a proposal for gold exchange, wherein the yellow metal will be traded in the form of EGRs and will help in having a transparent domestic spot price discovery mechanism.

Currently, India allows trading only in gold derivatives and Gold ETFs, unlike several other countries which have spot exchanges for physical trade in gold.

The instruments representing gold will be called Electronic Gold Receipts (EGRs) and it will be notified as securities.

EGRs will have trading, clearing and settlement features akin to other securities that are currently available in India.

“BSE, which is well known for its technological prowess, has been the main proponent of creating a transparent and efficient spot market for gold as it is very important commodity for Indian consumers,” Patil told PTI.

He, further, said the exchange was preparing the technology for very long in this market and was awaiting for the in-principle approval for the same to take it further.

The exchange had made several presentations to government and regulators on how the process will work. How the participants of various types including banks, vaults, wholesaler, retailer, importers, exporters etc will participate in this ecosystem.

According to Patil, like shares, these EGRs will be held in demat form and can be converted into physical gold when needed.

To enable trading in physical gold, EGRs (backed by physical gold) will be traded and settled on stock exchanges.

Patil said that the entire trading will be done in three tranches that include conversion from physical gold to EGRs, trading of EGRs and again conversion of EGR back to physical gold.

To begin with, BSE may plan to launch EGR of 1 kg and 100 gm denominations and the same can be converted to physical gold. To attract retail investors, EGR with smaller denominations of 50 gm, 10 gm and 5 gm will also be launched in a phased manner.

The source of supply of the physical gold to be converted into EGR will be the fresh deposit of gold, coming into the vaults, either through imports or through stock exchanges accredited domestic refineries.

A client can also convert physical gold to EGR by depositing physical gold at the designated delivery centre. Exchanges will empanel Vault Service Providers (VSPs) based on guidelines prescribed by Sebi.

Similarly, clients can redeem EGR’s back to physical gold, and the process is complete. An interface will be developed between the vault managers (of physical gold), depositories (that hold EGRs in demat) and stock exchanges and clearing corporations that clear the trade.

The move is expected to reduce the existing market inefficiencies that exist in bullion trade and may act as a bridge in integrating spot gold trade with derivatives markets and create a transparent platform for bullion trading.

In addition, a single point trading for both spot and derivatives would provide scale, liquidity and better pricing for all market participants by bringing down cost and cycle time significantly.

Moreover, trading in EGRs will contribute to the existing programs for gold monetization such as Gold Monetization Scheme (GMS), Gold Bonds and Gold Deposits.

In union budget 2021-22, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced setting of a gold spot exchange and Sebi will be the designated regulator for the proposed gold exchanges.



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Soma Sankara Prasad likely to be next UCO Bank MD, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi, The government is considering appointing Soma Sankara Prasad, the deputy managing director of State Bank of India, as managing director of Kolkata-based UCO Bank. The Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has suggested the name of UCO Bank Managing Director Atul Kumar Goel for heading Punjab National Bank as MD. The managing director position of PNB will fall vacant after the superannuation of S S Mallikarjuna Rao in January.

According to sources, since Prasad was in the reserve list when the interview for appointment for managing director of Indian Bank took place earlier this year, he has been recommended to head UCO Bank subject to various clearances including vigilance.

The final view in this regard would be taken by the Appointments Committee of the Cabinet (ACC) headed by the Prime Minister, sources said.

The BBB, the headhunter for state-owned banks and financial institutions, in May had conducted interviews for the position of MD of Indian Bank. Post interview, Shanti Lal Jain was recommended for the post while Prasad was the candidate on the reserve list.

Last month, the Reserve Bank removed UCO Bank from its Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) Framework following improvement in various parameters and a written commitment that the state-owned lender will comply with the minimum capital norms.

The lender also apprised the RBI of the structural and systemic improvements that it has put in place, which would help the bank in continuing to meet the financial commitments. The public sector bank plunged under PCA in May 2017.

PCA is triggered when banks breach certain regulatory requirements such as return on asset, minimum capital and quantum of the non-performing asset.

The restrictions disable banks in several ways to lend freely and force them to operate under a restrictive environment that turns out to be a hurdle to growth.

UCO Bank had posted over a four-fold jump in its net profit to Rs 101.81 crore for the first quarter of the fiscal ended June 30, as bad loans fell significantly.

The lender trimmed its gross non-performing assets (NPAs or bad loans) significantly to 9.37 per cent of the gross advances as of June 30, 2021, as against 14.38 per cent at June-end 2020.

The net NPAs were down at 3.85 per cent (Rs 4,387.25 crore) from 4.95 per cent (Rs 5,138.18 crore). PTI DP ANZ MR



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2 Best Large & Mid Cap Funds Rated 1 By CRISIL With 1 Year Returns Over 70%

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UTI Core Equity Fund Regular Plan-Growth

This Large & MidCap mutual fund was launched in 2005 and thus has been in existence for the last 16 years. According to Value Research, UTI Core Equity Fund Regular Plan-Growth returns for the past year have been 71.52 percent, with an average annual return of 13.40 percent since its commencement. The expense ratio of this medium-sized fund in its category is 2.53%, which is much higher than the expense ratio of most other Large and MidCap funds. The financial, technology, construction, energy, and healthcare sectors are all heavily represented in the fund’s equity allocation.

ICICI Bank Ltd., HDFC Bank Ltd., Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd., Infosys Ltd., and State Bank of India are among the fund’s top five holdings. CRISIL has given the UTI Core Equity Fund Regular Plan-Growth fund a 1-star rating, Value Research has given it a 3-star rating, and Morningstar has given it a 2-star rating, indicating how the fund has managed with risk and price tweaks compared with other funds under the Large & Mid Cap fund category. If assigned units are redeemed within one year of the investment date, the fund imposes a 1% exit load. The fund has a Net Asset Value (NAV) of Rs 99.03 crore and an Asset Under Management (AUM) of Rs 1,157.73 crore as of October 1, 2021.

Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth

Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth

This Large & MidCap mutual fund is a medium-sized fund of its category and has been in existence for the last 8 years. According to Value Research, Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth returns over the last year have been 68.04 percent, with an average annual return of 25.87 percent since its debut. The fund has a major equity allocation across the Financial, Healthcare, Technology, Automobile, Energy sectors. The fund has an equity holding of 98.7% and a cash allocation of 1.3%. The fund’s best-performing holdings are ICICI Bank Ltd., HDFC Bank Ltd., Axis Bank Ltd., Infosys Ltd., State Bank of India.

The fund’s expense ratio is 0.69 percent, which is lower than the expense ratio of most other funds in the same category. The fund charges an exit load of 1% if purchased units are redeemed within 1 year of the investment date. Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth fund has been ranked 1 by CRISIL, 5 star by Value Research and again 5 star Gold by Morningstar which is only the indicator of the fund’s past performance and which not only should be your only criteria while investing. As of 1st October 2021, the fund has a Net Asset Value (NAV) of Rs 105.63 Cr and Asset Under Management (AUM) of Rs 20,615.27 Cr. With a minimum amount of Rs 1000, SIP can be started in this fund.

Best Performing Large & Cap Funds In 2021

Best Performing Large & Cap Funds In 2021

Based on CRISIL’s “No.1” ranking and past performance of over 70% returns, here are the two best performing large and mid-cap funds that you can consider to initiate SIP in 2021.

Funds 1 mth returns 6 mth returns 1 Yr returns 3 Yr returns 5 Yr returns
UTI Core Equity Fund Regular Plan-Growth 2.55% 23.91% 71.52% 18.09% 13.58%
Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth 1.88% 23.35% 68.04% 27.90% 22.03%
Source: Groww

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The views and investment tips expressed by authors or employees of Greynium Information Technologies, should not be construed as investment advice to buy or sell stocks, gold, currency, or other commodities. Investors should certainly not take any trading and investment decision based only on information discussed on GoodReturns.in We are not a qualified financial advisor and any information herein is not investment advice. It is informational in nature. All readers and investors should note that neither Greynium nor the author of the articles, would be responsible for any decision taken based on these articles. Please do consult a professional advisor. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates, and authors do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in GoodReturns.in



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‘Transitory Inflation’ Leading To A Bullish Gold Market, What Should You Do?

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Investment

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

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Two major fundamentals of gold investment are – diversifying the risk in the investment portfolio and keeping the asset as a hedge against inflation. The present global economic status could not be more appropriate on these 2 grounds as the USA is dealing with a ‘transitory inflation’, and volatile equity and bond yields. Present inflation is being identified as ‘transitory’ because it is an impact of the post-pandemic period, according to experts. With strict monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve, and faster manufacturing growth and employment opportunity, inflation might be in control in the next year. On the other hand, the equity market and treasury yields are rising and fetching around 1.52%, with Fed’s strong confidence in the economy. But as the equity market can go volatile again, any time, one investor must be ready for it. Fitch Ratings thinks US AAA sovereign credit rating could be under pressure if the Fed does not address the debt ceiling issue soon. In that case, gold can emerge as a savior again.

'Transitory Inflation' Leading To A Bullish Gold Market, What Should You Do?

A Kitco Gold survey recently stated the participants’ views, – on the Wall Street, gold is going 50% bullish and 29% bearish, and 21% at a neutral position, while on the Main Street gold market is going 48% bullish and 38% bearish, and 13% at a neutral position. The survey also says, “Bullishness among retail investors has picked up.” The last traded spot gold price was $1762/oz, and Comex December futures stayed around $1758 and more. This bullish trend is expected to strengthen in October, waiting for Fed’s comment on their monetary policy in the November meeting. Commenting on this bullish trend of gold and inflation, Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy, Saxo Bank told Kitco, “Gold is slowly disconnecting from dollar and yield strength as the inflation story becomes anything but transitory.”

Concerns of traders and investors

Asset trading and investing are treated differently. On gold, platinum, and silver trading and investing, some experts think, “When they are traded, you use a method and a plan to enter and exit with strict rules on both. When you invest, you also have a set of rules but not as stringent.” Keeping this in mind, one investor must keep faith in gold for the long term. In early October, gold rates are gaining promisingly, but any scale of Fed tapering will pull down the prices later this year. Experts are more bearish about 2022’s gold rate anticipations. So, what should the investors do? Should they stop buying the asset? Rather the opposite. They can invest in the asset class keeping the long haul portfolio in mind. Because, even if the tapering happens from December, this year or early 2020, the Fed will keep buying government-backed bonds, only the pace will be slower.

Traders, on the other hand, can be more stringent to fix their entry-exit strategies, as the gold prices will impact them more in the short-term period. On this note, we can derive Christopher Vecchio, Senior Market Strategist, DailyFX.com comment as he said, “I would expect gold to rally as this crisis builds, but we have been here before, and when these issues are resolved, prices could fall like a brink.” So, traders should be more strict and cautious about that.

Indian investors should not worry about the current bullish or bearish sentiment a lot. India is the second-largest importer of gold, and domestic gold consumption is only rising with time. RBI, the Indian central bank is also keeping faith in the asset class and increasing gold reserve. Hence, walking on the same line of thoughts will help them to understand India’s policy on the asset class, which is bullish at present.



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China’s hidden debt, a major problem for borrowers, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Different countries owe at least USD 385 billion amount of debt to China which has slipped through scrutiny of international lenders such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The “hidden debt” is due to an increasing number of deals struck not directly between governments through central banks but through often opaque arrangements with a range of financing institutions, hence “the debt burdens were kept off the public balance sheets,” Radio Free Asia reported citing a four-year study by AidData.

“Chinese debt burdens are substantially larger than research institutions, credit rating agencies, or intergovernmental organizations with surveillance responsibilities previously understood,” the study said.

The study also added that nearly 70 per cent of China’s overseas lending “is now directed to state-owned companies, state-owned banks, special purpose vehicles, joint ventures, and private sector institutions in recipient countries” rather than sovereign borrowers which are central government institutions, Radio Free Asia reported.

Meanwhile, China is also using confidentiality clauses barring borrowers from revealing terms and conditions of the engagement or even the existence of the debt itself.

International Forum for Right and Security (IFFRAS), reported that recent joint research by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Kiel Institute for the World Economy and the Centre for Global Development & Aid Data concluded that it uses these contracts to debt-trap the borrowing nations.



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China’s hidden debt, a major problem for borrowers, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Different countries owe at least USD 385 billion amount of debt to China which has slipped through scrutiny of international lenders such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The “hidden debt” is due to an increasing number of deals struck not directly between governments through central banks but through often opaque arrangements with a range of financing institutions, hence “the debt burdens were kept off the public balance sheets,” Radio Free Asia reported citing a four-year study by AidData.

“Chinese debt burdens are substantially larger than research institutions, credit rating agencies, or intergovernmental organizations with surveillance responsibilities previously understood,” the study said.

The study also added that nearly 70 per cent of China’s overseas lending “is now directed to state-owned companies, state-owned banks, special purpose vehicles, joint ventures, and private sector institutions in recipient countries” rather than sovereign borrowers which are central government institutions, Radio Free Asia reported.

Meanwhile, China is also using confidentiality clauses barring borrowers from revealing terms and conditions of the engagement or even the existence of the debt itself.

International Forum for Right and Security (IFFRAS), reported that recent joint research by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Kiel Institute for the World Economy and the Centre for Global Development & Aid Data concluded that it uses these contracts to debt-trap the borrowing nations.



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Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The week gone by remained choppy. In our previous weekly note, we had mentioned that Nifty is unlikely to see a runaway rise from here on, as the technical setup as well as options data were pointing to consolidation ahead. Nifty traded in a 490-point range over the past five sessions and stayed largely in the corrective mode.
The index consolidated in a broad but defined range, as it dragged the resistance points lower. Following a stable but corrective week, the headline index closed with a net loss of 321 points (-1.80 per cent).

From a technical perspective, Nifty has marked the 17,900-17,950 zone as an intermediate top. This also gets reflected in the Options data, which shows highest Call Open Interest at strike price 18,000 after heavy Call writing activities. The previous five days saw the formation of a broad trading range in the 17,400-17,950 area. Unless the market violates either of these two points, the index should continue to oscillate in this broad range. Any major slippage below the 17,400 level will be damaging for the market.

Following heavy Put writing at 17,400 and 17,500 levels, strike price 17,500 showed highest Put OI. The coming week is likely to see Nifty attempt to stabilise with a positive bias. The 17,650 and 17,750 levels will act as potential resistance points, while support will come in at 17,400 and 17,310 levels.

The weekly RSI stood mildly overbought at the 73.30 level. The RSI was neutral and did not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD continued to be bullish and traded above the Signal Line. A large Black Body emerged on the candles; it reflected the directional consensus among the market participants that prevailed during the week.

Pattern analysis showed Nifty was well above the upper rising trend line support. In the event of continued corrective activity, if Nifty tests this trend line support, the next support may emerge in the 17,350-17,400 area. This trend line is drawn from the low point of March 2020 and joins the subsequent higher bottoms.

All in all, it is largely expected that while defending the 17,350-17,400 zone, Nifty may stay in a defined range and continue to consolidate. The most recent price action saw Nifty’s supports being dragged lower to 17,800 from 17,950 level. So, the 17,800 level will be the most immediate resistance if Nifty attempts to gain some stability and pulls itself back.

Over the coming days, we expect a selective sectoral outperformance in the market. There are higher chances that select banks, auto, pharma and PSE stocks will continue to do well. Shorts should be avoided and purchases must be kept highly stock-specific in the coming week.

In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectoral indices against CNX500 (Nifty500 Index), which represents over 95 per cent of the free float market cap of all the listed stocks. The analysis showed a lot of inherent strength in the market. The IT and Realty Indices are placed inside the leading quadrant. Apart from this, Nifty Energy Index and the Bank Nifty have rolled inside the improving quadrant. This showed their likely relative underperformance against the broader market.

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now
Along with this, Media, Private Banks, PSE, PSU Bank and Auto Indices are all trading inside the lagging quadrant. However, all these indices are showing a very distinct improvement in their relative momentum against the broader Nifty500 Index. All these groups are likely to put up a resilient show over the coming days. The Nifty Services Sector Index has rolled inside the improving quadrant, while Nifty Commodities and the Metal indices are inside the weakening quadrant. They show no sign of any improvement in their relative momentum. Some stock-specific isolated performances may be seen, but the indices are likely to relatively underperform the broader market.

Important Note: The RRG™ charts show the relative strength and momentum in a group of stocks. In the above chart, they show relative performance against the Nifty500 Index (broader market) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.

(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and is based at Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia)



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HC judge appoints retired judge to settle claims made by depositors, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Madras High Court has appointed Justice N Kirubakaran, a retired judge of the High Court, as Commissioner to take over the entire affairs relating to settlement of claims made by the depositors, who were allegedly cheated by the Ambattur Nadargal Dharma Paripalana Sangam here.

The Commissioner shall cause public notice within a week in two vernacular dailies calling upon persons, who had invested amounts in the petitioners fund to file necessary formal applications along with proof of such deposit and after verification of the said claims, shall settle the amounts due to the depositors.

Justice M Dhandapani made the appointment while granting anticipatory bail to two admins of the Sangam, who apprehended arrest following complaints from the investors.

“Considering the facts and circumstances of the case and also taking into consideration the affidavit filed by the petitioners stating that they would settle the amount due to the victims and abide by any condition that may be imposed by this Court, to give a quietus to the entire issue and also to have the matter settled so that all the depositors, who have invested money in the fund are not deprived of their hard earned money, in the interest of justice, is inclined to appoint a retired judge of this Court as Commissioner to settle the deposits between the depositors and the petitioners,” the judge said.

The entire exercise of receiving the claims, scrutinising and settling the same shall be completed within three months.



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Buy This Stock It Can Generate 25% Returns, Says Top Broking And Research Firm

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What the management of Godrej Consumer says?

According to the Motilal Oswal report, the management said that the Indonesia business has been seeing gradual recovery in demand post the second COVID wave despite a tough macroeconomic situation.

“Given the recent bold economic reforms implemented by the Indonesian government, the company management is confident that Godrej Consumer Products has the building blocks in place to capitalize on these reforms and deliver double-digit profitable growth over the medium term,” Motilal Oswal has said in its report.

Making strides in the Indonesian markets

Making strides in the Indonesian markets

Hygiene now accounts for 10% of Godrej Consumer Products – fairly impressive

given Godrej Consumer Products Indonesia’s recent entry into the segment. The management is now leveraging its Saniter brand and moving into personal care categories, such as soaps and personal wash with powder-to-liquid and liquid formats.

Expanding reach

Expanding reach

Project RISE at the company seeks to dramatically increase Godrej Consumer Products direct reach as well as SKU throughput per outlet. The company’s direct reach now stands at 160,000 outlets (from 100,000 earlier). It also has a distribution strategy in place using agents/distributors that now cover 40,000-50,000 outlets. The management believes a 200,000 outlet direct reach is ideal.

“The company has been performing well in large categories over the last last year, this comes along with better capital allocation efforts in recent years, the appointment of a new head in the – erstwhile, significantly underperforming – GAUM business (largely Africa), with good initial results in the first year of his tenure in FY21, and potential tailwinds in domestic soap and personal wash products – led by more frequent usage since COVID-19 – and a sharp increase in domestic penetration levels in the Hand Wash category. We maintain a buy with a price target of Rs 1250,” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. The above article is for informational purposes only.



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