1 Finance, 1 Hotel And 1 Auto Ancillary Stocks To Buy According to ICICI Securities

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Buy Indian Energy Exchange with upside of 18%

The Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) is the country’s leading electrical exchange, facilitating electricity transactions.

Long term outlook positive

ICICI Securities recommends buying this finance stock for a target price of Rs. 910 i.e. an upside of 18 percent from the last closing price of Rs. 770.

Target Price and Valuation of  Indian Energy Exchange

Target Price and Valuation of Indian Energy Exchange

“For the past year, IEX has remained richly valued given its clean balance sheet, near monopoly, regulatory tailwinds and introduction of newer products, which will drive strong double-digit volume growth in the medium term. We continue to remain positive and retain our BUY rating on the stock. Target Price and Valuation: We value IEX at Rs 910 i.e. 58x P/E on FY24E EPS,” the brokerage has said.

Reasons to consider:

  • After the Supreme Court resolved a dispute between the Central Energy Regulatory Commission (CERC) and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), electricity can now be traded on exchanges like other commodities, with forwarding contracts and derivatives.
  • This agreement will pave the way for the implementation of longer-term delivery contracts on electricity exchanges, with IEX as a beneficiary.
  • This will increase volumes while also introducing new products to the market.
  • From FY24E onwards, a shift in power buying patterns from power purchase agreements (PPAs) to the short-term market, facilitated by MBED, is likely to result in a significant increase in volumes. This can help power exchanges like IEX gain traction in terms of volume growth.

Buy Motherson Sumi with upside potential of 17%

Buy Motherson Sumi with upside potential of 17%

Motherson Sumi (MSS) primarily serves the global PV industry with key product lines such as wiring harnesses, vision systems (mirrors), and plastic body parts.

ICICI Securities recommends buying this Auto Ancillary stock for a target price of Rs. 280 i.e. an upside of 17 percent from the last closing price of Rs. 240.

Reasons to consider:

  • CIM Tools, a Bengaluru-based company that specialises in machining, treatment, sub-assembly, and testing of intricate aircraft parts, was acquired for a 55 percent interest. It had sales of Rs 129 crore in FY21and a backlog of orders worth >Rs 1,500 crore that can be fulfilled over the following five years.
  • Through its 50:50 JV Ningbo SMR Huaxiang Automotive Mirrors, the company’s SMR subsidiary purchased a 60 percent stake in Nanchang JMCG Mekra Lang Vehicle Mirror Co. in China. In China, the latter produces mirrors for PVs, pickup trucks, and light and heavy CVs. The acquisition was carried out at a rate of 0.4x CY20 P/S.
  • This company provides parts to automakers such as Ford and Isuzu.

Target Price and Valuation of Motherson Sumi

Target Price and Valuation of Motherson Sumi

“MSS stock price has grown at ~10% CAGR from ~| 147 levels in October 2016, widely outperforming the Nifty Auto index. MSSL’s acquisition in the aerospace is strategic in nature wherein MSSL will now have access to marquee clients (Airbus, Boeing) in this space amid enhanced capabilities. This represents progress on outlined MSSL’s desire for diversification (non-automotive to form 25% of revenues in future). We retain BUY rating on the stock amid limited EV risk to its product profile.

Target Price and Valuation: Revising our forward estimates, we now value MSSL at Rs 280 i.e.30x P/E on FY23E EPS of Rs 9.3 (previous target price of Rs 270),” the brokerage has said.

Buy Indian Hotels with upside potential of 16%

Buy Indian Hotels with upside potential of 16%

Indian Hotels, with a room inventory of 19,425 rooms, has a diverse presence in the hotel sector, including brands such as Taj, Vivanta, SeleQtions, and Ginger.

ICICI Securities recommends buying this hotel stock for a target price of Rs. 240 i.e. an upside of 16 percent from the last closing price of Rs. 207.

Reasons to consider according to brokerage

  • In the leisure destinations, the company is seeing a lot of demand for rooms. Some leisure destinations’ revenue per occupied room (RevPAR) has already surpassed pre-pandemic levels, indicating a positive trend along with an increase in the average length of stay from two to four days to five to seven days.
  • From Q2 onwards, the corporate category, which had been a laggard due to the work-from-home culture until Q1FY22, is gaining traction.
  • International destinations such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and Dubai are rebounding, with demand reaching 55-60% of pre-Covid levels in Q2 compared to 39% in Q1FY22.

Target Price and Valuation of Indian Hotels

Target Price and Valuation of Indian Hotels

“The balance sheet provides strong levers to growth while efficient operations would drive healthy margin expansion. We remain positive on the company and maintain our BUY rating. Target Price and Valuation: We value IHCL at Rs 240 i.e.31x FY23E EV/EBITDA,” the brokerage said.

Over FY21-23E, we anticipate a solid 62.9 percent revenue CAGR. Expect business to rebound to 93 percent of pre-Covid levels in FY23E, with EBITDA exceeding pre-Covid levels in FY23; margins to reach above 24 percent in FY23E, with the potential to reach 30 percent or higher. Improved cash flows, equity infusion, and disposal of non-core assets are all helping to keep debt under control.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above-listed stocks to buy are picked from the brokerage report. Please note investing in stocks is subject to market risks and one needs to be cautious at this point of time as markets have gone up sharply. Neither the author, nor Greynium Information technologies Pvt Ltd would be responsible for losses incurred based on a decision made from this article.



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Importance Of Pradhan Mantri Vaya Vandana Yojana (PMVVY) For Senior Citizens, By LIC

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Personal Finance

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

|

Pradhan Mantri Vaya Vandana Yojana (PMVVY) is a subsidized pension scheme for Indian senior citizens aged 60 years and above, offered by the union government. On behalf of the union government, the Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) administers the PMVVY for senior citizens. The uniqueness of the scheme is there is no upper limit of age considering the subscription of the scheme. The term of this pension scheme is 10 years. The total amount of purchase price under this Scheme allowed to a senior citizen cannot exceed Rs. 15 lakhs.

Pradhan Mantri Vaya Vandana Yojana (PMVVY) For Senior Citizens, By LIC

The interest rate or the rate of assured return

The government mentioned, the Pradhan Mantri Vaya Vandana Yojana (PMVVY) will provide an assured rate of return of 7.40% p.a. payable monthly (that is equivalent to 7.66% PA). You will get the benefit of the same interest rate that was fixed at the time of purchase for the entire 10 years policy term, even if the rate changes later. However, the interest rate has been changed by the government now. Earlier, this scheme was used to fetch 8.00% PA interest payable monthly. So, although the scheme will give you an assured income, the interest rate is being reduced now. However, it certainly gives better interest than few other investment opportunities.

The minimum and maximum pension available

Mode of pension (INR) monthly quarterly Half yearly yearly
Minimum pension 1000 3000 6000 12000
Maximum pension 9250 27750 55500 111000

The minimum and maximum purchase price

Mode of pension (INR) monthly quarterly Half yearly yearly
Minimum purchase 162162 161074 159574 156658
Maximum purchase 1500000 1489933 1476064 1449086

Benefits on survival

You can get the pension payment monthly/quarterly/half-yearly or yearly basis and the first installment of the pension you will get after 1 year, 6 months, 3 months, or 1 month from the date of purchase, according to your chosen mode of payment. As the tenure of the plan is 10 years, on survival of the policy term, pension in arrears will be paid to the subscriber, according to the payment mode chosen, like – monthly/quarterly/half-yearly or yearly. Additionally, on survival of the pensioner to the end of the policy term of 10 years, the purchase price along with the final pension installment will be paid by the LIC to the subscriber.

Benefits on death

If the pensioner dies during the policy, he/she will receive death benefits, mentioned in the plan. As the government mentions, “On the death of the Pensioner during the policy term of 10 years, the Purchase Price shall be refunded to the beneficiary.”

According to the government, the scheme will be available for sale up to March 31, 2023. Benefits on survival

You can get the pension payment monthly/quarterly/half-yearly or yearly basis and the first installment of the pension you will get after 1 year, 6 months, 3 months, or 1 month from the date of purchase, according to your chosen mode of payment. As the tenure of the plan is 10 years, on survival of the policy term, pension in arrears will be paid to the subscriber, according to the payment mode chosen, like – monthly/quarterly/half-yearly or yearly. Additionally, on survival of the pensioner to the end of the policy term of 10 years, the purchase price along with the final pension installment will be paid by the LIC to the subscriber.

Benefits on death

If the pensioner dies during the policy, he/she will receive death benefits, mentioned in the plan. As the government mentions, “On the death of the Pensioner during the policy term of 10 years, the Purchase Price shall be refunded to the beneficiary.”

According to the government, the scheme will be available for sale up to March 31, 2023. The Surrender Value payable under this Scheme will be 98% of the purchase price.

Story first published: Tuesday, October 12, 2021, 10:00 [IST]



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Evergrande bond coupon payments crisis intensify contagion fears

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As China’s Evergrande looks set to miss its third round of bond payments in three weeks, markets remain on edge over contagion fears involving other property developers as a wall of debt payment obligations come due in the near-term.

A total of $38.8 billion offshore bonds issued by 40 Chinese developers will be maturing from October to end of 2022, according to brokerage CGS-CIMB, with the next peak of $6.2 billion in payments coming up in January.

The deadline for Evergrande’s $148 million of coupon payments was 0400 GMT Tuesday, but bondholders hadn’t received anything by end of Asian trading on Monday. Markets expect the distressed developer is likely to miss payments again, following two other payments it missed in September.

“We see more defaults ahead if the liquidity problem does not improve markedly,” said CGS-CIMB in a note, adding developers with weaker credit rating are having difficulty in refinancing at the moment.

Trading of high-yield bonds remained soft on Tuesday following a rout in the previous session on fears about fast-spreading contagion in the $5 trillion sector, which accounts for a quarter of the Chinese economy and often is a major factor in policymaking.

Shanghai Stock Exchange data showed the top five losers among exchange-traded bonds in morning deals were all issued by property firms.

Small developers Modern Land and Sinic Holdings were the latest scrambling to delay deadlines, after Evergrande and Fantasia missed their payments since September.

Modern Land’s dollar bond due 2023 plunged 25 per cent to 32.250 cents on the dollar, while Sinic’s bond due 2022 rose 12 per cent to 19.35 cents, yielding over 1380 per cent.

Modern Land, whose shares dropped over 3 per cent to new low on Tuesday, had requested bondholders on Monday to delay a repayment due later this month for three months, while Sinic said it would likely default next week.

Aoyuan’s bond due 2025 declined 3.5 per cent while Sunac’s bond due 2024 lost 2.6  per cent.

On Monday, Fantasia Holdings’ unit limited trading in its Shanghai bonds, which is often done ahead of defaults.

Broader fallout?

While global attention has been focused on missed dollar debt payments by Chinese property issuers, market indicators suggested that worries about contagion and a slowing economy are spreading further.

The cost of insuring against a China sovereign default continued to rise on Tuesday, with 5-year credit default swaps – which investors typically use as a hedge against rising risk – hitting its highest point since April 2020.

The option-adjusted spread on the ICE BofA Asian Dollar High Yield Corporate China Issuers Index pulled back to 2,061 basis points on Monday evening U.S. time, just off its previous all-time high of 2,069 basis points on Friday.

Shares of several other property firms, however, fared better as markets bet on more loosening of policies following northeastern city of Harbin’s measures to support property developers and their projects.

Top developers Country Garden and Sunac China both rose 2 per cent.

Evergrande’s electric vehicles unit jumped over 10 per cent after it vowed to start producing cars next year.

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Buy-now, pay-later loans help fuel India’s festive recovery, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: Consumers are ratcheting up buy-now-pay-later installment plans to purchase everything from washing machines to vacations online as the country’s longest festive season gets underway.

Popularity is swelling for these small-sized loans that typically amount to less than Rs 5,000 ($67) as the labor market recovers from the pandemic shock.

Those payments have been growing at least 20%-30% over the past three months, according to fintech-firm executives.

They are expected to increase by about 66% on an annual basis in India to $11.6 billion this year, a survey by Research and Markets showed.

“Things are very positive, people have got their jobs back,” said Bhavin Patel, co-founder and chief executive officer of LenDenClub, a peer-to-peer lending platform.

“The buy-now, pay-later model is the most popular source of borrowing for customers who need small size loans quickly to tide over immediate cash needs.”

Rising vaccination rates coupled with decreasing coronavirus cases are fueling optimism that people are more willing to spend on goods and jewelery this year.

Those consumers are increasingly turning to installment plans from retailers such as e-commerce giants Amazon.com Inc, Flipkart Internet Pvt and Ant Group Co backed Paytm, as well as smaller fintech firms like LenDenClub, Simpl, ZestMoney and CASHe.

LenDen has seen loan applications treble to 170,000 in September from February and expects a further increase to 250,000 in December, Patel said.

Digital rise

More broadly, spending per credit card was up 54% in August from the year before, according to a Bank of America Corp report.

“BNPL is aided by two things, one is the festive season and second is Covid as people are becoming more comfortable with purchasing online,” said Yogi Sadana, chief executive officer of fintech lender CASHe.

“We are growing about 30% to 35% on a monthly basis, in terms of the number of loans we provide every month. The pick-up is phenomenal.”

For fintechs, such loans are filling a sweet spot. They cater to customers who typically wouldn’t either qualify to borrow from a traditional bank or would have to wait longer than getting a loan within a few hours.

“It’s a win-win for all three players — the borrowers who get loans quickly, the lenders who earn 10-12% average returns and us who earn a 5-6% fee by getting the borrowers and lenders on a common platform,” Patel said.



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RBI issues revised operational guidelines on on-tap SLTRO scheme for SFBs, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Monday issued revised operational guidelines on the special long-term repo operations (SLTRO) scheme for small finance banks (SFBs). In the monetary policy announced last week, the RBI had extended the on-tap SLTRO for SFBs till December 31, 2021. This facility was earlier made available till October 31, 2021.

The RBI in a statement on Monday said all SFBs eligible under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) can participate in the scheme.

“There is no tenure restriction regarding lending by SFBs under the scheme. However, the SFBs will have to ensure that the amount borrowed from the RBI should at all times be backed by lending to the specified segments till maturity of the SLTRO,” the statement said.

Furthermore, SFBs should endeavour to lend within a reasonable period, i.e., not later than 30 days from the date of availing the funds from the RBI.

“The scheme will now be operationalised on tap,” RBI said.

Accordingly, the last tranche of the SLTRO auction due on October 14, 2021, announced on May 7, 2021, will not be conducted, it said.

SFBs can place requests for funds through e-mail and the RBI will aggregate all such requests received and release funds every Monday (on the subsequent working day if Monday is a holiday) by initiating a three-year repo contract at repo rate with the requesting bank, the statement said.

Requests from the SFBs desirous of availing funds from the RBI will be subject to the availability of funds as on the date of application. The funds cannot be guaranteed in case the total amount of Rs 10,000 crore is already availed, the statement said.

In case the requested amount exceeds the remaining amount under the scheme on the date of operation, the remaining amount will be distributed on a pro-rata basis among all the eligible requests.

The RBI reserves the right to decide the quantum of allotment and/ or accept/ reject any or all the requests, either wholly/ partially, without assigning any reason thereof.

The eligible collateral and margin requirements will remain the same as applicable for LAF operations.

The amount utilised under the scheme will be informed to market participants in the money market operations (MMO), RBI said. PTI HV HRS hrs



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RBI imposes Rs 30 lakh penalty on Janata Sahakari Bank, Pune, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The RBI on Monday said a penalty of Rs 30 lakh has been imposed on Janata Sahakari Bank Ltd, Pune for non-compliance with certain directions. The penalty, the RBI said, has been imposed for non-compliance with specific directions issued by RBI under the Supervisory Action Framework (SAF) and RBI directions on ‘Frauds in UCBs: Changes in Monitoring and Reporting mechanism’.

The statutory inspection of the bank with reference to its financial position as on March 31, 2019, the Inspection Report pertaining thereto, and examination of all related correspondence revealed that the bank had not complied with the directions on exposure to sensitive sectors (real estate) and classification and reporting of frauds, the RBI said.

The RBI, however, added the penalty is based on deficiency in regulatory compliance and is not intended to pronounce upon the validity of any transaction or agreement entered into by the bank with its customers

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Rupee crashes to 15-month low with 17 paise slump against US dollar

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The rupee tumbled by 37 paise on Monday to hit the lowest level in about 15 months as oil marketing companies stepped up dollar purchases through banks in the wake of sharp uptick in Brent crude oil price and the greenback gaining strength.

The rupee closed at 75.36 to the US Dollar against the previous close of 74.99.

The Indian currency opened weaker at 75.11 per dollar. In intra-day trading, it saw a high and a low of 75.06 and 75.3950, respectively.

 

Crude oil price hike

Brent crude oil price rose almost 2 per cent to cross $84 a barrel.

A combination of factors, including banks’ buying dollar on behalf of oil marketing companies, which probably expect crude oil to become more pricey and are mopping up dollars before it hardens further, and foreign institutional investors, who are liquidating some of their bond market positions before the ripple effect of the China’s bond market slump is felt in emerging market economies, including India, pulling down the rupee, said a chief dealer with a private sector bank.

Brent crude oil could touch $90 per barrel as a global energy crisis looms and this could weaken the rupee further, cautioned the dealer.

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BoM reduces repo-linked lending rate by 10 basis points to 6.80%

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Bank of Maharashtra (BoM) has reduced its Repo Linked Lending Rate (RLLR) by 10 basis points from 6.90 per cent to 6.80 per cent with effect from October 11.

Customers seeking home loan, car loan, education loan, personal loan and MSME loans can avail themselves of this benefit, the Pune-headquartered public sector bank said in a statement.

With the downward revision in RLLR, interest rates on retail loans now start at 6.80 per cent for home loan, 7.05 per cent for car loan and 7 per cent for gold loan, it added.

Earlier, ahead of the festive season, the bank had waived processing fee on the aforementioned retail loans.

AS Rajeev, MD & CEO, BoM, said the reduction in RLLR along with zero processing charges will benefit customers during the festival season.

The bank had reduced its marginal cost of funds based lending (MCLR) by up to 10 basis points (bps) with effect from October 8.

MCLR in four tenors has been reduced by 10 basis points to 6.70 per cent for overnight; 6.80 per cent for one month; 7.10 per cent for three months; and 7.15 per cent for six months.

One year MCLR has been reduced by 5 bps to 7.25 per cent.

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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It may be recalled that, in exercise of powers conferred under Section 45-IE (5) (a) of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934, the Reserve Bank had, on October 04, 2021, constituted a three-member Advisory Committee to assist Shri Rajneesh Sharma, Administrator of Srei Infrastructure Finance Limited (SIFL) and Srei Equipment Finance Limited (SEFL) in discharge of his duties. The members of the Committee are:

  1. Shri R. Subramaniakumar, former MD & CEO, Indian Overseas Bank

  2. Shri T T Srinivasaraghavan, former Managing Director, Sundaram Finance Limited

  3. Shri Farokh N Subedar, former Chief Operating Officer and Company Secretary, Tata Sons Limited

2. Upon admission of the petitions for insolvency resolution process by the Kolkata Bench of the Hon’ble National Company Law Tribunal in respect of SIFL and SEFL vide orders dated October 08, 2021, the Reserve Bank has decided that the above mentioned three-member Committee shall continue as the Advisory Committee constituted under Rule 5 (c) of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy (Insolvency and Liquidation Proceedings of Financial Service Providers and Application to Adjudicating Authority) Rules, 2019. The Advisory Committee shall advise the Administrator in the operations of the SIFL and SEFL during the corporate insolvency resolution process.

(Yogesh Dayal)     
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2021-2022/1025

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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The Reserve Bank of India will conduct a Variable Rate Reverse Repo auction on October 12, 2021, Tuesday, as under:

Sl. No. Notified Amount
(₹ crore)
Tenor
(day)
Window Timing Date of Reversal
1 2,00,000 8 10:30 AM to 11:00 AM October 20, 2021
(Wednesday)

2. The operational guidelines for the auction as given in the Reserve Bank’s Press Release 2019-2020/1947 dated February 13, 2020 will remain the same.

Ajit Prasad
Director   

Press Release: 2021-2022/1024

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