Rupee slumps 17 paise to 75.16 against US dollar in early trade

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The Indian rupee depreciated 17 paise to 75.16 against the US dollar in opening trade on Monday, as rising crude prices and strength of the American currency in the overseas market weighed on investor sentiments.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened on a weak note at 75.11, then fell further to 75.16, registering a decline of 17 paise from the last close.

On Friday, the rupee had settled at 74.99 against the US dollar.

Dollar index

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.08 per cent to 94.13.

According to Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury, Finrex Treasury Advisors, “with oil above $82 and US yields higher, USD/INR may come down to a maximum of 74.80 where importers may hedge their near-term payable, while exporters may sit quite with a stop loss of 74.75.” Foreign institutional investors were net sellers in the capital market on Friday as they offloaded shares worth ₹64.01 crore, as per exchange data.

On the domestic equity market front, the 30-share Sensex was trading 214.43 points or 0.36 per cent higher at 60,273.49, while the broader NSE Nifty was trading 74.80 points or 0.42 per cent higher at 17,970.

Global oil benchmark Brent crude futures advanced 1.43 per cent to $83.57 per barrel.

Meanwhile, the 13th round of military talks between India and China did not produce any resolution of the remaining issues in eastern Ladakh, the Indian Army said on Monday a day after the dialogue.

It said the Indian side made “constructive suggestions” for resolving the remaining areas but the Chinese side was not agreeable to them and also could not provide any forward-looking proposals.

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1 Bluechip Stock, 1 Auto Stock To Buy According To ICICI Securities

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Buy Tata Motors with upside potential of 17%

Tata Motors (TML) is a car manufacturer from the Tata family that operates in both domestic (PV, CV) and international markets (Jaguar Land Rover i.e. JLR).

ICICI Securities recommends buying this auto stock for a target price of Rs. 450 i.e. an upside of 17 percent from the last closing price of Rs. 3,83.

The scrip is recommended to be bought for a 12 months duration.

India volumes picking up pace, EV optimism persists

According to the brokerage, despite continued semiconductor supply difficulties, TML India reported healthy volumes of 1.7 lakh units in Q2FY22, up 49 percent QoQ. The India PV business produced decade-high quarterly sales of 84,000 units in Q2FY22. In Q2FY22, India CV volumes increased by 73 percent year on year to 86,887 units. JLR wholesale volume was 64,032 units in Q2FY22.

India volumes picking up pace, EV optimism persists

India volumes picking up pace, EV optimism persists

According to the brokerage, despite continued semiconductor supply difficulties, TML India reported healthy volumes of 1.7 lakh units in Q2FY22, up 49 percent QoQ. The India PV business produced decade-high quarterly sales of 84,000 units in Q2FY22. In Q2FY22, India CV volumes increased by 73 percent year on year to 86,887 units. JLR wholesale volume was 64,032 units in Q2FY22.

Target and Valuation

“TML’s stock price has underperformed Nifty Auto index in past five years, having de-grown at ~9% CAGR (~Rs 555 in October 2016).

We maintain BUY on continued EV proactiveness. Target Price and Valuation: Retaining our forward estimates, we now value TML at a revised target price of Rs 450 on an SOTP basis (15x, 3.3x FY23E EV/EBITDA on India, JLR businesses, respectively). We revise upwards our target multiples for India business amid continued outperformance at TML India and is in line with its peers”, the brokerage has said.

Key triggers for future price-performance:

We anticipate a robust 20.9 percent revenue CAGR from FY21 to FY23E, backed by a 17 percent volume CAGR; margins are expected to be 14.9 percent in FY23E, with a 15 percent RoCE.

FCF generation projections based on cost control and efficiency improvements for the ongoing deleveraging push (net automotive debt of | 41,000 crore in FY21)

Buy TCS with upside potential of 15%

Buy TCS with upside potential of 15%

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is a significant IT services provider with operations in BFSI, communication, manufacturing, retail, and high technology.

ICICI Securities recommends buying this Bluechip stock for a target price of Rs. 4,530 i.e. an upside of 15 percent from the last closing price of Rs. 3,935. The scrip is recommended to be bought for a 12 months duration.

TCS Q2FY22 Results

Revenues increased 2.9 percent quarter over quarter to $6,333 million, with a 4 percent quarter over quarter increase in CC. EBIT margins improved 10 basis points to 25.6 percent. The company’s deal pipeline remains strong at US$7.6 billion.

Target Price and Valuation of TCS

Target Price and Valuation of TCS

“TCS’ share price has grown by ~3.6x over the past five years (from Rs 1,077 in October 2016 to Rs 3,976 levels in October 2021). We continue to remain positive and retain our BUY rating on the stock. Target Price and Valuation: We value TCS at Rs 4,530 i.e. 34x P/E on FY23E EPS, the brokerage has said.

Key triggers for future price-performance:

  • TCS has benefited greatly from the multi-year rise (15-20%) in digital technology.
  • Increased outsourcing in Europe, vendor consolidation, and deal pipeline will result in a revenue CAGR of 15.9% from FY21 to FY23E. Industry-leading margins will be maintained; expect margins to grow 190 basis points from FY21 to FY23E.
  • Return ratios in the double digits, high cash production, and a comfortable dividend

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above-listed stocks to buy are picked from the brokerage report. Please note investing in stocks is subject to market risks and one needs to be cautious at this point of time as markets have gone up sharply. Neither the author, nor Greynium Information technologies Pvt Ltd would be responsible for losses incurred based on a decision made from this article.



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4 Top Crisil Rated Thematic Funds For Aggressive Investor Class

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Crisil 5-star rated thematic schemes

Thematic fund 1-year SIP return 3-year SIP return 5-year SIP return Minimum SIP amount
BOI AXA Manufacturing & Infrastructure Fund – Growth 61.00% 38.00% 22.00% Rs. 1000
DSP Natural Resources and New Energy Fund – Regular Plan – Growth 62.00% 37.00% 21.00% Rs. 500
Invesco India Infrastructure Fund – Growth 71.00% 38.00% 23.00% Rs. 500
Sundaram Rural and Consumption Fund – Growth 41.00% 24.00% 15.00% Rs. 100

Why Thematic Funds have become the flavor of the season?

Why Thematic Funds have become the flavor of the season?

The economic situation in the country though uncertain has picked up fast amid pick up in Covid 19 vaccination program and government support measures and this has infused confidence among investors. This is evident as even amid such high valuations, their risk-on sentiment seems to be high.

Nonetheless, this is also an indication of the fact that as these theme based investment may take time to perform, investors are not keen to withdraw their investments in the short to medium term. Perhaps, indicating long term goals being targeted through these plans

Points to note when zeroing in or selecting thematic funds

Points to note when zeroing in or selecting thematic funds

1. Thematic funds are or will be an apt choice for goals that are beyond 5 years say daughter’s education or children education, retirement etc.

2. Highly risky avenue not suggested for first time investors and also there is a high possibility that the sector you see to reach its peak down 5 years may even take a longer span, so your targeted goals may or may not be realized. No surety of the investment yielding the estimated return in a given investment term.

 Which sectors or themes delivered the best performance?

Which sectors or themes delivered the best performance?

Some of the sectors or themes in the mutual fund space that have emerged as the winners into the category in the last 1-year are:

1. Technology funds

2. Infrastructure

3. Banking and financial services

4. Natural resources and energy sector funds

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

The views and investment tips expressed by authors or employees of Greynium Information Technologies, should not be construed as investment advice to buy or sell stocks, gold, currency, or other commodities. Investors should certainly not take any trading and investment decision based only on information discussed on GoodReturns.in We are not a qualified financial advisor and any information herein is not investment advice. It is informational in nature. All readers and investors should note that neither Greynium nor the author of the articles, would be responsible for any decision taken based on these articles. Please do consult a professional advisor.



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China Evergrande bondholders brace for Monday’s coupon deadline

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Offshore bondholders of beleaguered developer China Evergrande Group were on Monday bracing for news on more than $148 million in looming bond coupon payments after the company missed two coupon deadlines last month.

Expectations that the company will make the semi-annual payments on its April 2022, April 2023 and April 2024 notes due October 11 are slim as it prioritises onshore creditors and remains silent on its dollar debt obligations.

That has left offshore investors worried about the risk of large losses at the end of 30-day grace periods as the developer wrestles with more than $300 billion in liabilities.

For Indian junk bonds, it’s love in the time of Evergrande

Evergrande’s troubles have sent shock waves across global markets and the firm has already missed payments on dollar bonds, worth a combined $131 million, that were due on September 23 and September 29.

Advisers to offshore bondholders said on Friday that they want more information and transparency from the cash-strapped property developer.

The offshore bondholders are also demanding more information about Evergrande’s plan to divest some businesses and how the proceeds would be used, the advisers said.

Explained: What is the Evergrande controversy all about?

Trading in shares of Evergrande, as well as its Evergrande Property Services Group unit, has been halted since October 4 pending a major deal announcement. On Monday, the company’s electric vehicle unit swung between large losses and gains, falling as much as 4.65 per cent and rising to 9.28 per cent.

Fantasia troubles

Evergrande contagion worries affecting the broader Chinese property sector spilled into heavy selling of Chinese high-yield dollar debt last week, particularly after smaller developer Fantasia Holdings Group Co missed the deadline on a $206-million international market debt payment on October 4.

Fantasia Group China Co said on Monday it will adjust the trading mechanism of its Shanghai-traded bonds following credit downgrades by China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co (CCXI), and said its parent had formed an emergency group to resolve liquidity problems.

Takeaways from Evergrande crisis for Indian investors

The move comes after the Shanghai Stock Exchange on Friday paused trading of two of Fantasia Group’s exchange-traded bonds following sharp falls, and echoes a similar adjustment in trading of Evergrande’s onshore bonds last month.

“We believe policymakers have zero tolerance for systemic risk to emerge and are aiming to maintain a stable property market, and policy support could be forthcoming if the deterioration in property activity levels worsens,” said Kenneth Ho, head of Asia Credit Strategy at Goldman Sachs.

“That said, we also believe that policymakers do not want to over-stimulate, and their longer term goal is to deleverage the property sector.”

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Aditya Birla AMC IPO May See Marginal Listing Gains

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Investment

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

Aditya Birla Sunlife AMC makes a week listing, debuting at just Rs. 3 premium at Rs. 715 against the issue price of Rs. 715 per share on the NSE.

After the best listing of the last debuted defence stock, Paras Defence IPO, all eyes will be on the listing of Aditya Birla AMC which is to list today (October 11, 2021). Nonetheless, what warrants healthy listing of a stock with a good premium is the stock fundamentals, subscription interest it garnered as well as the market momentum at the time of listing the scrip.

No Listing Gains For Aditya Birla AMC IPO ; Debut On Expected Lines

No Listing Gains For Aditya Birla AMC IPO

The IPO of the AMC company opened on September 29, was subscribed 5.25 times on the closing day of the subscription. The Rs 2,768.25-crore initial share sale received bids for 14,59,97,120 shares against 2,77,99,200 shares on offer.

The offer had a fresh issue of up to Rs 440 crore and an offer for sale of up to 15,53,33,330 equity shares. The company’s IPO was placed in a price range of Rs 86-90 per share.

Expectations around listing of Aditya Birla IPO listing

Experts recommended the buy or subscribe rating to the issue to long term investors and short term investor were asked to give it a miss, given only marginal gains expected from the issue.

Take on the company/ IPO as put by experts

4th largest AMC with strong management and fund management skills and producing consistent gains

Cash rich company with good cash flows

As for the negatives are concerned, valuations were on a higher side by 8-10 percent



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Radiant Cash Management Services file draft papers for IPO, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Radiant Cash Management Services has filed the preliminary papers with markets regulator Sebi for an initial share sale that includes fresh issue of stocks worth up to Rs 60 crore. The Chennai-based company, an integrated cash logistics player with leading presence in retail cash management segment, will mainly utilise the fresh issue proceeds from the initial public offering (IPO) towards funding working capital and capital expenditure requirements.

The IPO comprises fresh issue of shares worth up to Rs 60 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of 3 crore shares by promoter Col. David Devasahayam and private equity firm Ascent Capital Advisors India, according to the draft red herring prospectus (DRHP).

In 2015, Ascent Capital had acquired 37.2 per cent stake in the company.

Out of the fresh issue proceeds, Rs 20 crore will be used for funding working capital requirements and Rs 23.92 crore for capital expenditure requirements for purchase of specially fabricated armoured vans.

IIFL Securities Limited, Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Limited and Yes Securities (India) Limited are the book running lead managers to the issue.

At least four companies have filed draft papers for IPOs in the last two weeks. With the stock market witnessing a bull run, many companies are tapping the IPO route to raise funds.

In the first nine months of this year, as many as 72 companies have come out with their IPOs. PTI RAM ANS ANS



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What Is A Post Office Monthly Income Scheme (POMIS): What Are The Benefits

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Interest rate and deposit rules

The interest rate of the Post Office Monthly Income Scheme (POMIS) is now at 6.6% PA, payable monthly. The interest will be taxable in the hand of the depositor. A minimum of Rs. 1000 you can invest in the scheme while the upper limit is Rs. 4.5 lakhs. However, in the case of a joint account, the upper limit will be Rs. 9 lakh. You can draw the interest through auto credit into a savings account standing at the same post office, or ECS. The Post Office informs that in the case of MIS account at CBS Post offices, monthly interest can be credited into savings account standing at any CBS Post Offices.

Lock-in period

Lock-in period

The POMIS has a lock-in period of 5 years, and before 1 year you cannot withdraw your deposits. However, in case the account is closed after 1 year and before 3 years, you will have to face a 2% deduction from the principal, and the remaining amount will be paid. In case you close the account after 3 years and before 5 years, you will have to face a 1% deduction from the principal, and the remaining amount will be paid. As the Post Office informs, if the account holder dies before the scheme’s maturity, the account may be closed and the amount will be refunded to the nominee/legal heirs. Additionally, the interest will be paid up to the preceding month, in which a refund is made.

Account opening

Account opening

Account opening for the Post Office Monthly Income Scheme (POMIS) is an easy procedure. To apply for this scheme, you do not need to visit the Post Office in the first place. The Form for the same scheme is available online, on the official website of the Post Office. The scheme is a new offering that is offered by the union government under the National Savings (MIS) Account Rules 2019. An Indian adult citizen can open a POMIS account. In the case of a joint account, up to 3 adults can open a joint account. However, a parent can open a POMIS account for a minor or for a person of unsound mind. A minor above 10 years can also open in her/ his name.



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3 Cement Stocks That Can Give Returns of 20-25% According To Motilal Oswal

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Buy the stock of Birla Corporation

Current market price Target price
Birla Corporation Rs 1395 Rs 1740

The India Strategy report of Motilal Oswal Financial Services reveals the possibility of a near 25% on the stock of Birla Corporation. According to the brokerage the company’s consolidated cement volumes are set to increase by 4% YoY to 3.39 metric tonnes. “Expect blended EBITDA/t at Rs 860 (- Rs 166/t QoQ),” the brokerage,” the brokerage has said.

“The second COVID wave in India dampened the demand momentum in 1QFY22. With gradual easing of restrictions across states in Jun’21, demand witnessed an uptick in Jul-Aug’21. Our channel checks indicate that higher rainfall impacted demand in Sep’21, with a volume decline of 10% MoM. We expect sales volumes for our coverage universe to increase by 5% YoY,” the brokerage has said.

Buy the stock of Dalmia Bharat

Buy the stock of Dalmia Bharat

Current market price Target price
Dalmia Bharat Rs 2105 Rs 2480

Motilal Oswal Financial Services sees an upside of nearly 20% on the stock of Dalmia Bharat. The brokerage expects realizations for the company to remain flat, while it estimates volumes at 4.87mt (+1.5% YoY).

“While we are structurally positive on the industry outlook, we prefer North and Central India as these markets have a higher clinker utilization of over 80%. We adopt a bottom-up stock-picking approach and prefer companies that: a) are moving down the cost curve, b) have the potential to gain market share, and c) provide valuation comfort,” the brokerage has said.

Buy JK Lakshmi Cement

Buy JK Lakshmi Cement

Current market price Target price
JK Lakshmi Cement Rs 651 Rs 800

Motilal Oswal Financial Services also has a buy call on the stock of JK Lakshmi Cement with a price target of Rs 800, which implies gains of 23% from the current levels. The firm expects cement volumes to increase by 3.2% YoY and expects blended realization to decrease by 2.2% QoQ.

“Imported coal and pet coke prices have increased by 2 times in the last one year, which will impact margins of Cement companies going forward. Cost impact has not been felt till date, due to low-cost fuel inventory. We expect energy cost of our coverage companies to increase by Rs 50-60 per tonne in 2QFY22E, followed by another Rs 125-150 to Rs 50-75 per tonne increase in 3Q/4QFY22E. Increase in coal prices in last few days may put further pressure on costs,” the brokerage has said about the industry in general.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above 3 stocks to buy are picked from the India Strategy report of Motilal Oswal Financial Services. Please note investing in stocks is subject to market risks and one needs to be cautious at this point of time as markets have gone-up sharply. Neither the author, nor Greynium Information technologies Pvt Ltd would be responsible for losses incurred based on a decision made from this article.



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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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April 14, 2015




Dear All




Welcome to the refurbished site of the Reserve Bank of India.





The two most important features of the site are: One, in addition to the default site, the refurbished site also has all the information bifurcated functionwise; two, a much improved search – well, at least we think so but you be the judge.




With this makeover, we also take a small step into social media. We will now use Twitter (albeit one way) to send out alerts on the announcements we make and YouTube to place in public domain our press conferences, interviews of our top management, events, such as, town halls and of course, some films aimed at consumer literacy.




The site can be accessed through most browsers and devices; it also meets accessibility standards.



Please save the url of the refurbished site in your favourites as we will give up the existing site shortly and register or re-register yourselves for receiving RSS feeds for uninterrupted alerts from the Reserve Bank.



Do feel free to give us your feedback by clicking on the feedback button on the right hand corner of the refurbished site.



Thank you for your continued support.




Department of Communication

Reserve Bank of India


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