Soma Sankara Prasad likely to be next UCO Bank MD, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The government is considering appointing Soma Sankara Prasad, the deputy managing director of State Bank of India, as managing director of Kolkata-based UCO Bank. The Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has suggested the name of UCO Bank Managing Director Atul Kumar Goel for heading Punjab National Bank as MD. The managing director position of PNB will fall vacant after the superannuation of S S Mallikarjuna Rao in January.

According to sources, since Prasad was in the reserve list when the interview for appointment for managing director of Indian Bank took place earlier this year, he has been recommended to head UCO Bank subject to various clearances including vigilance.

The final view in this regard would be taken by the Appointments Committee of the Cabinet (ACC) headed by the Prime Minister, sources said.

The BBB, the headhunter for state-owned banks and financial institutions, in May had conducted interviews for the position of MD of Indian Bank. Post interview, Shanti Lal Jain was recommended for the post while Prasad was the candidate on the reserve list.

Last month, the Reserve Bank removed UCO Bank from its Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) Framework following improvement in various parameters and a written commitment that the state-owned lender will comply with the minimum capital norms.

The lender also apprised the RBI of the structural and systemic improvements that it has put in place, which would help the bank in continuing to meet the financial commitments. The public sector bank plunged under PCA in May 2017.

PCA is triggered when banks breach certain regulatory requirements such as return on asset, minimum capital and quantum of the non-performing asset.

The restrictions disable banks in several ways to lend freely and force them to operate under a restrictive environment that turns out to be a hurdle to growth.

UCO Bank had posted over a four-fold jump in its net profit to Rs 101.81 crore for the first quarter of the fiscal ended June 30, as bad loans fell significantly.

The lender trimmed its gross non-performing assets (NPAs or bad loans) significantly to 9.37 per cent of the gross advances as of June 30, 2021, as against 14.38 per cent at June-end 2020.

The net NPAs were down at 3.85 per cent (Rs 4,387.25 crore) from 4.95 per cent (Rs 5,138.18 crore). PTI DP ANZ MR



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Bank of Baroda, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bank of Baroda has been the first of the nationalised banks to have completed the amalgamation of two smaller banks with itself. The bank’s experiences in the merger have helped other consolidating public sector banks to draw their strategy. In an interview with TOI, MD & CEO Sanjiv Chadha speaks of the road ahead…

How has the second quarter been in terms of business?

There have been challenges in credit growth — the investment cycle in particular — for the last few years. Even today capacity utilisation is about 70% and it’s only when it moves up to 80% that you get a serious round of investments. We are seeing some investment in brownfield projects in companies that have gone through an ownership change. We are seeing large capacities in areas like renewable energy. We also have a large investment in electric vehicles. We are seeing progress in going beyond green shoots. For this to gather momentum and become a full-fledged revival of the investment cycle, we might be a few months away.

On the asset quality side, do you see more clean-up happening?

There has been a broad-based improvement in the corporate credit cycle, which we have seen for the last few quarters. Corporate slippage has had come down dramatically compared to what was the case in the previous quarters. Challenges in retail and MSME have got accentuated during the pandemic. Overall, in terms of credit quality for banks, I think we should see an improvement notwithstanding the challenges that we saw with the second wave.

When do you expect RBI to start normalising its monetary policy?

I think there are two pieces to the monetary policy stimulus. One has been in terms of rates and the other has been in terms of liquidity. So, you would expect that the liquidity piece will start getting normalised first. Change in the rate cycle is a few quarters ahead. The distortions in risk pricing due to liquidity surplus should get sorted and we should start seeing credit risk that way it would be in normal times.

You have launched a new digital platform BoB world. What does this mean for customers?

Covid has brought a broad and deep transformation and nearly twice the number of customers visiting the branch, now use the app. So rather than being an adjunct to the bank, it will be the bank and the other parts of the bank will become an adjunct. The thought was to enable everything that can be done in the branch within the app. Therefore, we got down to see what should be the design, branding and positioning of the app. BoB world will be the primary interface at the centre of the bank.

What is the effort that has gone into the back-end?

The bank has been making investments and was identified as the best technology bank of 2021 by the IBA. The integration (of Dena and Vijaya Bank) on a common platform after the merger gave us a robust base to build this strategy.

How scalable is the core banking platform for digital?

Today we 13 million customers using bob World which is a very robust platform and scalable. For the future cloud computing will be a very important element as this will help scale up not only in terms of users but also multiple fintech partners on the platform.

Will bob World be a super app like SBI’s Yono and are you integrating the subsidiaries?

The way the app is being positioned that you can save, borrow, invest and pay. All four capabilities are in the app and are being scaled up every day. In addition to the regular transaction, we are having things like airline ticket booking and comparison shopping across merchants to bring the cheapest proposition to the customers. The other important thing is the benefit programme which depends on the category you choose in terms of the balance you would like to maintain.

How do you as a 100-year bank plan to attract millennials?

The marketing campaign is squarely aimed at millennials. The design is something they will find appealing. They can open the account entirely online through video KYC and the account will have benefits including Amzon Prime.

Will you be part of the account aggregator platform?

It is a conversation that we are still having. But having a platform of this sort gives you a very powerful lever to make sure you can profit from certain engagements.

Will BoB World be restricted to retail?

We’re starting off with retail with about 95% of all retail services now available on mobile. The logical next step is to fashion it for other segments.

On the corporate side are there any gaps in digital banking that you will fill?

The primary banking channel for banks is mobile. Not too far ahead the mobile phone is likely to become an important piece particularly for MSME and that is what we will target next in Bob World.

How do you plan to reach unbanked areas and push the financial inclusion agenda?

It’s a matter of great pride for us that while we have a 6-7% share in banking. Our share in Jan Dhan Yojana is 15%. So one piece of service delivery will be digital but that may not be relevant to people who are on the other side of the digital divide. We have a very aggressive programme for increasing our business correspondent and increase their number from two for every branch to five BCs for every bank branch that we have. We want to double the BC outlets to 50,000.

Would you be hiring people?

The amalgamation has brought about efficiencies, but we have not shed people. Redeployment will help in filling marketing and other vacancies. We will continue to recruit specialists. For instance, we are now recruiting wealth relationship managers. We may also recruit for specific skills like digital banking. But there may not be much of an increase in the headcount.



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Only 60% banks ready with new auto debit system, customers to face inconvenience, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bank customers are set to face disruptions in their auto debits after new RBI norms kicked in on Friday as only about 60% of banks are ready with the new system.

Private sector lenders, including HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Citibank, Axis Bank, IDFC Bank are ready with the new systems. IndusInd Bank, Bank of Baroda, RBL Bank and YES Bank are also set to meet the deadline.

However, public sector banks are still working on putting the new system in place.

Dashing messages

Banks are sending communications to customers saying that they will not process the recurring payments and customers will have to make payments directly to merchants. Below are some text messages received by customers:

> “Attention! From 1st Oct’21, as per RBI guidelines on e-Mandate on cards, we will decline Non Compliant recurring txn at Merchant Web/App on your Credit/Debit Card. Alternate Solution – Retry regular payment on Merchant Web/App authenticated via OTP or Pay via AutoPay in BillPay on our NetBanking for your Electricity /Water/Gas/ Landline/Postpaid mobile/Broadband/Insurance billers,” said a message to customers by HDFC Bank.

> “In compliance with the regulatory requirements, we are currently building a solution to seamlessly manage all your domestic standing instructions for recurring payments. This solution will be available soon for you. Starting October 1, any existing standing instruction for domestic and international recurring transactions on your card account will not be processed. We request you to make these payments directly to the service providers to avoid any interruptions,” American Express said in a recent message to customers.

How does the new system work?

Under the proposed system, as a risk mitigating and customer facilitation measure, the card-issuing bank will have to send a pre-transaction notification to the cardholder, at least 24 hours before the actual charge or debit to the card. While registering e-mandate on the card, the cardholder shall be given the facility to choose a mode among available options (SMS, email, etc.) for receiving the pre-transaction notification from the issuer. On receipt of the pre-transaction notification, the cardholder shall have the facility to opt-out of the particular transaction or the e-mandate. For transactions above Rs 5,000, banks will also be required to send one time passwords to customers.

What is a standing instruction?

A standing instruction is a service offered to customers of a bank, wherein regular transactions that the customer wants to make are processed as a matter of course instead of initiating specific transactions each time.

This service relates to transactions like renewing subscription to OTT platforms, newspapers and magazines, and utility bill payments.

The issue

Large lenders and payment entities including State Bank of India, ICICI, Citi, HDFC, Axis, HSBC, Visa and Mastercard had asked the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to postpone the deadline for putting in place a new system to alert customers on ‘standing instruction’ transactions.

The banks were asked to set up the system by March 31, 2021.

The lenders also wanted RBI to exclude transactions against pre-existing standing instructions and those with international merchants from the new conditions for e-mandates on cards for recurring transactions.



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Banks’ credit outlook ‘stable’ for FY22, says Crisil Ratings, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Crisil Ratings has kept a ‘stable’ credit outlook for banks for the second half of financial year 2022.

Strong capitalisation will remain a key factor for private banks to have a stable credit growth, while public sector banks benefit from government support.

However, privatisation of two public sector banks, as announced in Union Budget 2021-22, will be eyed.

Banks’ credit growth is expected to revive 9-10% in FY22, after a fall of around 5% in FY21, the agency said, adding that profitability of the banking sector is set to improve over the medium term.

Gross non-performing assets are likely to touch 10-11% by the end of this fiscal.

According to reports, the GNPA is at 8-9%, supported by government schemes and restructuring dispensation, the agency said. In FY18, the GNPA had hit a peak of 11.2%.

The NPA level improved because banks have lowered their provisioning levels from before, thereby limiting the impact of legacy NPAs on future earnings, Crisil said, in its half yearly ratings round up report.

Retail segment growth is expected to return to the mid-teens this fiscal, after a slow growth reported a year ago. Within retail, housing loans, which constitute more than half of retail advances for banks, saw slow growth last fiscal, but demand remains strong over the long term, the agency said.

With rising affordability and the recent trend of working from home, demand for own houses and larger houses are likely to rise, and banks will benefit from lower competition from non-banks as well as surplus liquidity, it added.

However, a potential third COVID-19 wave remains a key near-term risk, while deceleration in economic and demand growth, both global and domestic, due to tapering of monetary and fiscal stimuli will be key medium-term risks.

The impact of the third wave is likely to be contained due to the increase in the pace of inoculations, with nearly 70% of the adult population receiving at least one dose.

For non-banking financial companies, the agency expects better credit quality than last year, but has retained a ‘monitorable’ outlook.

The credit quality growth for NBFCs is expected to pick up to 6-8% in FY22 from 2% in FY21. However, it remains lower than the pre-pandemic level of 18%.

Crisil expects NBFCs to witness an uptick in stressed assets as MSME and unsecured loans have been hit the most. However, loans to other sectors have been relatively resilient.

Asset quality in these segments continue to be impacted the most, with delinquencies rising almost 300 basis points in June 2021 against March 2021 levels, despite higher restructuring and write-offs last fiscal compared with other asset classes. Delinquency levels for these segments will remain elevated given a likely higher recovery period for borrowers, Crisil said.

Improved capitalisation and strong parentage will be key support factors for non-bank lenders. The agency noted that many NBFCs have strengthened their provisioning buffers, factoring in the COVID-19 crisis, leading to more comfortable liquidity in the sector.

Crisil expects the sector to witness organic consolidation with stronger NBFCs, who have strong parentage, and gain market share.

Performance on asset quality and impact on earnings will remain key monitorables for NBFCs.



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Federal Bank records 10% loan growth in Q2, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Private sector lender Federal Bank on Sunday said it has posted a 10 per cent growth in advances at Rs 1,37,309 crore for the second quarter ended September 30. Total advances stood at Rs 1,25,209 crore at the end of the second quarter of the last financial year, Federal Bank said in a regulatory filing.

The bank’s deposits also rose by 10 per cent (Y-o-Y) to Rs 1,71,995 crore in the quarter from Rs 1,56,747 crore in the same period a year ago, it said.

Federal Bank’s low-cost deposits–current account and saving deposits(CASA)-were up by 18 per cent to Rs 62,191 crore.

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Bank of Baroda bets on super app, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: Bank of Baroda will position its new digital platform bob World as the main bank and all banking channels will be an adjunct to the primary platform. The public sector lender is adopting a strategy similar to SBI, which is working to integrate all services on its Yono platform.

Bank of Baroda MD & CEO Sanjiv Chadha told TOI that post-pandemic, the bank has seen a surge in digital transactions and twice the number of branch visits are happening on the app. “So rather than being an adjunct to the bank, it will be the bank and the other parts of the lender will become an adjunct. The thought was to enable everything that can be done in the branch within the app,” said Chadha.

“The way the app (bob World) is positioned, you can save, borrow, invest and pay. All four capabilities are in the app and are being scaled up every day. In addition to regular transactions, we are having things like airline ticket booking and comparison shopping across merchants to bring the cheapest proposition to the customers,” said Chadha. The bank plans to extend use of the app from retail to businesses as well.

For the financial inclusion and to reach out to people who do not have digital access, the bank is also doubling the number of business correspondents to 50,000.

“It’s a matter of great pride for us that while we have a 6-7% share in banking. Our share in Jan Dhan Yojana is 15%. We have a very aggressive programme for increasing our business correspondent and increase their number from two for every branch to five BCs for every bank branch that we have,” said Chadha. The bank will however not be increasing its headcount as it has realised some efficiencies following the amalgamation of Vijaya Bank and Dena Bank, which will enable the lender to redeploy staff.



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This AAA Fixed Deposit Fetches An Interest Rate Of 7.75%, Should You Invest?

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Interest rate on fixed deposits of Shriram Transport Finance

Tenure Quarterly Half yearly Yearly
12-months 6.35% 6.40% 6.50%
36-months 7.30% 7.37% 7.50%
48-months 7.39% 7.46% 7.60%
60-months 7.53% 7.60% 7.75%

Apart from the above mentioned rates senior citizens are entitled to an extra 0.25%, which takes the returns to almost 8% per annum. The company also has a cumulative fixed deposit option that it is offering.

Should you invest in the Shriram Transport Finance Fixed deposits?

Should you invest in the Shriram Transport Finance Fixed deposits?

Well, to begin with we wish to inform readers that fixed deposits are not secure deposits. We all know the battles and struggles the fixed deposit holders of DHFL faced or are presently facing to get their money back. Having said that we do not want to draw a comparison with Shriram Transport Finance, given that it is a completely different entity. All we are striving to tell our readers that company fixed deposits are not very secure deposits.

The problem for individuals especially those who are retired is that interest rates have fallen very low and that 1 to 2 per cent extra can also make a difference.

What we suggest to investors?

What we suggest to investors?

We want to tell readers that it is better to put small amounts and not large lumpsum amounts. Also, do not go for a very long tenure, given that interest rates globally are headed higher. This means that one can look for a 1 to 2 year deposits though on these tenures the interest rates are much lower.

One can also look for the Tamil Nadu Power Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits, where the interest rate is as high as 8%. The deposits are also safe as the company is a Government of Tamil Nadu owned entity.

There are many small finance banks, which might also give you around the 7% interest rate mark. Small finance banks are regulated by the RBI and the deposits are also insured. Hence, there is a greater element of safety that comes-by.

Interest rates in the next few quarters are unlikely to increase and hence investors will have to make do with what is given. However, in the more longer term of around 1 to 2 years, we expect interest rates to trend higher. This is largely because inflation will trend higher and with it the Reserve Bank of India would be forced to hike interest rates at well. It is therefore advisable to invest in fixed deposits for the shorter time period.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Investing in company fixed deposits poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. The above article is for informational purposes only.



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8 Stocks To Buy And Sell For Short-Term Gains

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Stocks to buy and sell

1) Dr. Ravi Singh, Head of Research & Vice President, ShareIndia

Bank of India: Buy the stock at Rs 56, Target on the stock Rs 65, Stop Loss, Rs 54

Cadila Health: Buy at Rs 556, Sell the stock at Rs 570, Stop Loss Rs 551

BHEL: Buy at Rs 65, Target Rs 72, Stop Loss Rs 63

2) Manoj Dalmia, Founder and Director, Proficient Equities Private Limited

Titagorh Wagon: Buy the stock at at Rs 107, Target Rs 122, Stop Loss Rs 1100.50

3) Sandeep Matta, Founder TradeIT Investment Advisor

Gujarat Gas: Buy at Rs 615, Target Rs 640- 665, Stop Loss Rs 590

Vedanta: Buy Rs 286, Target Rs 294-304, Stop Loss Rs 275

4) Ravi Singhal, Vice Chairman, GCL Securities Limited

Reliance: Buy at Rs 2523, Target Rs 2544, Stop Loss Rs 2513

Stocks to trade

Stocks to trade

5) Kapil Goenka, Founder at Eternity Financial Services

KPI Global Infrastructure: Buy at Rs 128, Target Rs 140, Stop Loss Rs 118

According to Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management, “The equity market was off the peaks it had ascended in the last couple of weeks, as the Fed gave more emphatic indications of a tapering of the bond buying program quite soon. Though the initial response from the markets was positive, the likelihood of the rates rising fast with a high retail inflation and higher growth numbers started getting etched in the minds of the market participants. The 10 Year bench mark yield moved up above the 1.50 % level and it looks set to move up further. The testimony by the Fed Chairman this week further scaffolded this belief in an impending change of policy.”

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. The above article is for informational purposes only.



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Monetary Policy Committee seen keeping rates unchanged with ‘accommodative stance’

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Amidst softening retail inflation, the Monetary Policy Committee is expected to keep key rates unchanged and maintain its accommodative stance to help sustain the growth momentum. Some experts believe that there could be steps announced to calibrate excess liquidity.

Suman Chowdhury, Chief Analytical Officer, Acuité Ratings & Research, said: “Acuité believes, in line with market expectations, that Reserve Bank of India will continue with its accommodative monetary policy in October although it is likely that it may take some further steps to recalibrate the excess liquidity in the monetary system over the next one to two quarters.”

Economy bouncing back

While the high-frequency indicators for August and September reveal that economic activity is reaching its pre-pandemic levels and the risks of another wave of the Covid are gradually on a decline, the recovery momentum is still uneven, he said.

Retail inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, eased to a four-month low of 5.3 per cent in August with moderation in food prices.

“We expect headline inflation for September to come in at a five-month low of 4.35 per cent,” said a Treasury Research report by HDFC Bank.

“…the RBI is likely to keep its stance accommodative and maintain surplus liquidity in the system. The RBI is likely to wait for growth impulses to get stronger and once domestic and global risks abate (third wave, global supply chain disruptions, Fed taper) before rolling back monetary accommodation,” it said, adding the RBI is likely to continue to manage the yield curve (through GSAP sterilised or Operation Twist).

The MPC, chaired by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, is set to meet between October 6 and 8 for the next bi-monthly review. The Reserve Bank had last cut the repo rate by 40 basis points in May 2020 but has since then maintained status quo on rates.

Upside risks to inflation

Economists at Standard Chartered Bank too said they expect the MPC to keep both reverse repo and repo rates unchanged at the October meeting and said it is likely to marginally trim its 2021-22 CPI forecast from 5.7 per cent towards 5.5-5.6 per cent, though upside risks to inflation have increased.

The Standard Chartered Bank report said it expects the MPC to signal reverse repo rate normalisation from December at the October meeting “…in the absence of growth shocks.” It expects the MPC to hike the reverse repo rate by 40 bps (to 3.75 per cent) at the December and February policy meetings.

“The trajectory of inflation is shifting down more favourably than anticipated. As pandemic scars heal and supply conditions are restored with productivity gains, a sustained easing of core inflation can be expected, which will reinforce the growth-supportive stance of monetary policy,” the RBI Bulletin of September had noted.

At the August policy meeting, MPC member JR Varma was the sole dissenter. While he agreed with the other five members on keeping the policy repo rate unchanged at 4 per cent, he disagreed on continuing with the accommodative stance. He had noted that the possibility that Covid-19 will haunt us (though with lower mortality) for three -five years can no longer be ruled out.

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Yields harden as liquidity concerns outweigh positive news

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Benchmark yields rose 5 basis points last week compared to the previous one pushed up by concerns on the liquidity front despite a slew of positive news.

The week commenced with the FY22 second-half borrowing calendar coming in at ₹5.03-lakh crore, which was well within the anticipated level. Then came the fiscal deficit number for April-August at 31 per cent of the Budget Estimate. The GST collections for September also came in at ₹1.17-lakh crore which is 23 per cent higher compared to the same month last fiscal.

However, yields continued to move higher as concerns on the liquidity front took precedence. For one, the cut-off on the seven-day variable rate reverse repo auction came in at 3.99 per cent last week. Compared to this, the cut-off on the 14-day variable rate reverse repo auction was at 3.6 per cent the week before.

This implies that the RBI is gradually getting comfortable paying a relatively higher rate in order to suck out the excessive liquidity sloshing around in the system.

Rate review

Bond market participants are wary that the central bank will raise the variable rate reverse repo (VRRR) auction quantum as well as the tenors and also raise the fixed reverse repo rate in the upcoming Monetary Policy.

Ananth Narayan, Professor-Finance at SPJIMR, said a lot has happened over the past few weeks that wasn’t conducive for the bond market. “Commodity prices have shot up, there have been energy shortages around the world, mainly China and the UK, and the whole confusion about the US debt ceiling also added pressure on the US treasury yields.

“As we worry about cost-push and imported inflation, the concern is whether the RBI might start reducing G-SAP and raising overnight rates next week. I believe the central bank would not want to shock the markets. They may increase the VRRR and suck out some of the excess liquidity, but would also comfort the market that the liquidity would remain on the surplus side for much longer. I think it would be a surprise if the benchmark yield goes beyond 6.30 per cent in the short term,” Narayan said.

The 10-year US treasury yield also went up to 1.56 per cent last week before cooling to 1.46 per cent. With the benchmark yield hitting 6.24 per cent, bond traders expect the yield to find solace close to the 6.3 per cent level. All eyes are now on the Monetary Policy where the crucial thing to watch out would be any potential changes in the VRRR quantum, tenor as well as the fixed reverse repo rate.

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