Ray Dalio bats for crypto’s relevance, admits to having “some” Bitcoin, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: Renowned billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio today admitted to owning “some” Bitcoin as he stressed the argument that the cryptocurrency can act as the best store of value in an inflationary environment.

The sharp change in Dalio’s position will come as music to the ears of cryptocurrency investors who have been battered by an intense meltdown in the asset class over the past week. The value of Bitcoin alone has crashed over 50 per cent from its record high although the cryptocurrency staged some comeback on Monday as it rose as much as 15 per cent.

At 08:27 pm, Bitcoin was trading 10.7 per cent higher at $37,711 on cryptocurrency exchange WazirX.

“I have some Bitcoin,” Dalio said in an interview at CoinBase’s Consensus 2021 event.

Dalio said that in an inflationary scenario, he would rather have “Bitcoins than bonds” as he echoed the argument some institutional investors have made recently in the cryptocurrency’s favour, i.e., Bitcoin could replace gold as a better hedge against runaway inflation that may happen in the West in the coming years.

The owner of the largest hedge fund in the world Bridgewater Associates, which manages assets worth over $100 billion, has recently warmed up to Bitcoin after being against it as soon as November.

“It seems to me that Bitcoin has succeeded in crossing the line from being a highly speculative idea that could well not be around in the short order to probably being around and probably having some value in the future,” the hedge fund manager had said in January.

However, Dalio reiterated that the cryptocurrencies will face existential threat from regulators and central banks.



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SBI Stock: Emkay Places A Near 50% Upside Target

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Personal Finance

oi-Sunil Fernandes

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Following the results of State Bank of India (SBI), several brokerages have raised the upside target on the stock. Foreign and domestic brokerages like CLSA, Motilal Oswal see spectacular gains.

Now, Emkay Global Financial Services has set a solid price target of Rs 600 on the shares of State Bank of India against the current market price of Rs 411. This means the stock has the potential of nearly 50 per cent from current levels.

“We believe that SBI’s consistent outperformance on asset-quality front and sharp improvement in Return on Equity trajectory toward 15% over FY23-24E, seen pre-AQR, call for a strong re-rating. Retain Buy/OW in EAP with a sharp revision in target price to Rs 600 (Rs 460 earlier), valuing core bank at 1.4x FY23E ABV (1x earlier) and subs/investments at Rs186 (Rs172 earlier), leading to a strong 50% upside. SBI is our second top pick, along with ICICI, and better-than-expected growth trajectory should provide further upside to its earnings/valuations,” says the Emkay Global report.

Q4 was an extremely strong quarter, with 9% profit after tax beat at Rs 64.5 billion, better-than-expected asset-quality performance (gross non performing assets at 5% vs. 5.4% in Q3 and lower RSA pool at 0.7% of loans) and a healthy specific PCR (71%), coupled with a reasonable Covid buffer at 25 basis points. Credit growth moderated to 5% yoy, dragged by corporate, and was a tad disappointing.

Retail credit growth remained healthy at 17% yoy, driven by mortgages/car/express credit (PL). Asset quality has also held up well given the higher share of salaried class (PSU employees). Most private banks have shown better corporate growth, and thus SBI too will not be far behind. This, coupled with healthy retail growth, should drive better growth/LDR, and in turn NIMs/RoA.

SBI Stock: Emkay Places A Near 50% Upside Target

“State Bank of India is entering FY22 from a position of strength, with better asset-quality and provisions/capital buffers. The bank will be one of the biggest beneficiaries of lumpy corporate resolutions and setting-up of ARC. Thus, we raise FY22/23 earnings estimates by 12%/6% and introduce FY24E, factoring in better NIMs/LLP. We see RoA/RoE at 0.7-0.9%/13-15% over FY22-24E,” Emkay Global has said.

The shares of State Bank of India were last seen trading at Rs 411 on the NSE.



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Merge RRBs with sponsor banks, AIBEA urges Finance Minister, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Chennai, The merger of Regional Rural Banks (RRB) with their sponsor banks would avoid business cannibalization and reduction in administrative overheads, the All India Bank Employees’ Association (AIBEA) said on Monday.

In a letter to Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, AIBEA General Secretary C.H. Venkatachalam said instead of further reforms in the RRB sector, it would be better to merge them with their sponsor banks as this will add to the rural network of the latter and at the same time, eliminate the weaknesses that they suffer presently.

“Monitoring would be much more effective since they would become part of the bank and come under the direct control of the management of the sponsor banks. This would also obviate a lot of administrative overheads and expenses,” he said.

While the objectives of RRB are laudable, their very nature of the business makes them fragile and vulnerable, he noted.

“More often than not, these RRBs even face competition from their own sponsor banks too. In this background, there have been many efforts to restructure the RRBs to make them strong and vibrant but the results have not been that encouraging because of the intrinsic reasons and they are bound to be so,” Venkatachalam said.



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BFSI firms put employee health as top priority as Covid rages, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The second wave of Covid-19 pandemic, which put a severe strain on the healthcare infrastructure across India, has made BFSI firms put their employee’s health and safety on top priority.

From helping employees source beds in hospitals, oxygen facilities, critical medicines to financial assistance, BFSI firms will continue to keep their employees’ well-being even as business takes a little hit.

Max Life Insurance

Speaking at the 2nd ETBFSI Virtual Summit, Prashant Tripathy, MD & CEO, Max Life Insurance said, “Things have gotten really difficult in the last few weeks and we have had to change our course on the health, safety and well-being of our employees. We have been helping our employees in whatever way we can to tide through these difficult times.”

The private insurer has set up a platform – Call Health – which provides round-the-clock service like telephonic assessment of Covid-19 symptoms and consultations with empanelled doctors. It has also set up a dedicated helpdesk to provide reliable information about network hospitals and Covid testing labs.

Equitas Small Finance Bank

P N Vasudevan, MD & CEO, Equitas Small Finance Bank, says, “We have to go beyond the new normal as the reality has hit us hard. The first wave was unique, new for all of us and we weren’t familiar with lockdowns and everyone was taken aback. But thankfully, last year the impact of the virus wasn’t that strong as compared to the current time.”

He adds, “We’ve already lost about eight employees and it’s not possible to digest and there’s no way we can ask anyone to go out and do the job.”

He explains that businesses have to work on a different level substantially as compared to last year. The bank is internally preparing for a 3-4 year horizon and long-term timeframe as situations keep evolving.

Vasudevan adds, “Health and well-being of our staff is of paramount importance and we have set up a war-room to ensure we can do our best to support our staff.”

Muthoot Finance

Kochi-headquartered Muthoot Finance echoes the thought that the safety of employee and staff is of paramount importance.

George Alexander Muthoot, MD, Muthoot Finance says, “We’ve more than 5,000 branches across the country, some locked down, some not in lockdown. We can’t force staff to come to the branch but in the head office most of the work has gone in digital processes.”

Muthoot Finance is paying two years’ salary to the dependents of employees who have succumbed to Covid-19. In Kerala, it has tied up with two hospitals to ensure if any of their employees seek any medical assistance the same can be availed.

Muthoot adds, “Encouraging staff to go ahead for vaccination and it is the thing which will keep us going ahead and tackle the pandemic. Business will eventually come back to normal but employees’ safety and well-being are of utmost importance for now.”

Fino Payments Bank

Fino Payments Bank, dependent on its vast rural network, is also finding it hard to tackle the ongoing situation. Rishi Gupta, MD & CEO, Fino Payments Bank, says, “Everything has taken a backseat, what is not normal is that employees are getting impacted due to Covid. Our operations are spread across rural areas, we can’t tell our partners and employees to go out and get the business done in times like these.”

He believes that these will have a long-term impact on how businesses are being done and will change dramatically as situations evolve.

Gupta adds, “For now the priority is to ensure employee safety and wellness with a high level of communication throughout the time. Trying to move as much as we can towards digital operations and processes along with empathy & assistance towards employees and their families.”



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We plan to increase loan book by Rs 10,000 crore in FY22: Murali Ramakrishnan, MD & CEO, South Indian Bank

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We thought we could restructure Rs 1,200 crore, but we could only restructure Rs 351 crore. Yes, our provisions were lower for the fourth quarter.

South Indian Bank (SIB) announced a net profit of Rs 6.79 crore in the fourth quarter, against a loss of Rs 143.69 crore in the year-ago period. The asset quality deteriorated, with the GNPA ratio being higher at 6.97%. Murali Ramakrishnan, MD & CEO, speaks to Rajesh Ravi about the performance of the bank and the impact of the pandemic. Excerpts:

SIB reported a profit in Q4 after a loss of Rs 92 crore in Q3. Was it because of lower provisioning ?

At the end of Q3, the gross NPA (including the pro forma) was about 7%. And at the end of the fourth quarter, gross NPA is about 6.9%, as we could make some upgrade. Overall, we were able to reduce the stress book. If you see my guidance at the end of Q2, I had stated that the total stress book would be Rs 2,600 crore. We ended the last quarter with Rs 2,475 crore. But if you look at the composition, NPA, which I thought will be at Rs 1,400 crore ended up at Rs 2,125 crore. We thought we could restructure Rs 1,200 crore, but we could only restructure Rs 351 crore. Yes, our provisions were lower for the fourth quarter.

What is your outlook on slippages this fiscal given that the second wave is seen strong?

It is very difficult to predict . If you look at the yearly average slippage of SIB in the past few years, it is Rs 1,650 crore. Last year, in FY21, the bank had to take an increase of 40% in slippages mainly due to COVID, which on a gross advance of Rs 59,000 crore, led to a slippage ratio of 3.92% for the full year.

I expect that the slippage ratio for FY22 would be 3.3%-3.4%. I think recovery efforts will be also difficult in the coming year. We are looking at this very optimistically, and I believe that we will try to reduce the slippage. As far as guidance, I would say it will be as bad as last fiscal.

Net interest margin declined year-on-year to 2.61%.

There is a huge interest reversal which happened. As soon as the portfolio which we were carrying and accruing income became NPA, we had to reverse it. Even after reversal of interest income, I could maintain the NIM at 2.61% from 2.67%, a year ago. I could do this because of re-pricing and because I could bring down my deposit cost. CASA has improved and my deposit cost has come down. Even though there is a drop in my advances book, still my NII is maintained because of the efficient way I have raised resources. My deposit cost was 9.59% in Q4FY20, and it came down to 8.76% in Q4 of FY21. Cost of funds was 7.97% in the last quarter of FY20 and it came down 7.12% in the last quarter.

What is your outlook regarding advances as it has declined by 9% y-o-y?

The decline has happened due to two things. As a strategy, we wanted to reduce the concentration risk in corporate book. Wherever we have taken very high exposure, we were reducing it. As a result, Rs 100-crore plus corporate exposure has come down to 5% of the total corporate book. As far as new advances are concerned, we should worry about the quality. My strategy is profitability through quality credit. We plan to increase the loan book by Rs 10,000 crore in this fiscal.

Gold loan book has increased 18% y-o-y. How is your slippages in the gold loan portfolio?

We don’t have many slippages in the gold loan portfolio as we were very consciously working with the LTV. In a few cases, we had a high LTV of 95% and we could auction it and we did not lose any money. We have a separate vertical for the product and our endeavour will be to do more retail and agri-gold loan. Currently, our portfolio is more of agri and less of retail. This product is very good and we want to improve the yield. Our yield for retail is 10.5-11 % and agri is 9%. My total gold book is about Rs 9,000 crore out of a total advance book of Rs 59,000 crore.

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Reserve Bank of India – Tenders

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SCHEDULE OF TENDER (SOT)

Sr. No. Details Date/ Time
1. E-Tender No. NIT No. RBI/Central Office/Premises Department/29/21-22/ET/770
2. Mode of Tender e- Procurement System
(Online Part I – Techno-Commercial Bid and Part II – Price Bid through www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi)
3. Estimated Cost ₹ 9.00 lakh
4. View tender – Date & Time on MSTC Web portal 11.00 AM of 22/05/2021
5. Pre-Bid meeting 11.30 AM of 07/06/2021
6. Earnest Money Deposit ₹18,000/-
EMD in the form of Demand Draft drawn in favor of Reserve Bank of India, of a Scheduled Bank or Bank Guarantee as per proforma annexed hereto shall be deposited in original at the office of tender inviting authority on or before 2:00 PM of 18.06.2021.
EMD can also be remitted to Reserve Bank of India Account of on or before 2:00 PM of 18.06.2021. The account details for NEFT transactions are as under:
Beneficiary Name- Reserve Bank of India
IFSC: RBIS0COD001
Account No: 41869163273

Proof of remittance indicating transaction number and other details shall be uploaded on Bank’s approved e-tender portal along with other tender documents
7. Bid start date Date of Starting of e-Tender for submission of online Techno-Commercial Bid and price Bid at
www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi
2.00 PM of 08/06/2021
8. Bid close date Date of closing of online e-tender for submission of Techno-Commercial Bid & Price Bid. 2.00 PM of 18/06/2021
9. Tender open Date:-
Date & time of opening of

a) Part –I (i.e.Techno–Commercial Bid)

b) Part –II (i.e. Price Bid)

a) After 4.00 PM of 18.06.2021 (on approval)

b) Will be informed in due course to the bidders eligible for Part II of the tender

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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The Reserve Bank of India today released on its website the DRG Study* titled, “Risk Premium Shocks and Business Cycle Outcomes in India”. The study is co-authored by Dr. Shesadri Banerjee, Shri Jibin Jose, and Shri Radheshyam Verma.

This study investigates the dynamic effects of financial shocks on the business cycle. Against the backdrop of high non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks, a financial shock is conceived to be a shock to the interest rate spread stemming from a change in the default risk of borrowers. It is termed as the risk premium shock and occupies the central stage in this study. Business cycle implications of such a shock have been characterised and quantified in two steps. At the outset, micro-level evidence on the effect of default risk on interest rate spread and credit growth is provided. Then, this micro-level evidence and predictions of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been exploited to identify and estimate the impact of a risk premium shock using a sign-restricted VAR (SRVAR) model. The key findings are as follows:

  • Bank-level panel data analysis shows that an increase in default risk leads to rise in interest rate spread and decline in credit growth.

  • SRVAR model estimates suggest that a positive shock to risk premium increases the interest rate spread by 30 basis points and contracts credit and output by 75 and 40 basis points, respectively. It causes a downturn in consumption, investment and price of capital goods, while softening consumer prices.

  • On the whole, the risk premium shock helps in explaining the cyclical variations in key macro-financial variables.

(Yogesh Dayal)     
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2021-2022/266


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Reserve Bank of India – Tenders

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E-Tender No. – RBI/Kanpur/HRMD/76/20-21/ET/735

The pre-bid meeting for the captioned Tender was held at 1200 hrs on May 12, 2021 as per the schedule of tender at the New Conference Hall, II Floor, P&S Cell, Reserve Bank of India, Kanpur, by maintaining social distancing and as per COVID-19 protocols.

Shri. Neeraj Anand (P&SO) and Shri Pradeep Rathore (AM, P&S Cell) were present from Bank’s  side and the representatives from the companies / agencies as per the list attached in Annex, participated in the meeting.

At the outset, Shri. Neeraj Anand, AGM, P&SO, welcomed all participants to the meeting. The participants were briefed about the important points of the Tender Document. Thereafter, queries were invited from the prospective bidders regarding the captioned tender. The queries raised by the representatives of prospective bidders during the meeting along with the Bank’s clarifications / comments / corrigendum are tabulated below:

Sl. No. Query Comments / Corrigendum by the Bank
1. Which documents should be acceptable for Ex-Servicemen. The Bank will accept PPO No., ESI, PF No. for the guards. New Guards to be deployed will have to submit a brief bio-data and self-attested photocopies of Pan Card, Aadhar Car, Bank Passbook, PPO etc.
2. Whether hard copy of any document has to be submitted. No. Only soft copies of all the required documents have to be uploaded in the MSTC portal.
3. Whether any transaction fee has to be paid to the Bank for participating in the Tender. No payment has to be made to the Bank in this regard. The transaction fee is charged by MSTC Limited and the payment of Transaction fee has to be made only through MSTC Gateway / NEFT / RTGS in favor of MSTC Limited or as advised by MSTC Limited. The amount to be paid will also be as advised by MSTC Limited.
4. Whether any relaxation in EMD is available for NSIC / MSME / MSE registered agencies. No relaxation shall be granted to any firm (including Micro and Small Enterprises) for submission of Security Deposit and Earnest Money Deposit (EMD). Any bid received without EMD shall be deemed as non bona-fide and shall be rejected.
5. What are the minimum number of Client Certificate to be submitted. Minimum two client certificates are to be submitted. Other clauses will be as per Tender Document.
6. What will be the criteria for awarding of Work Order The process of Technical Bid Evaluation and Price Bid Evaluation as per the Tender Document was explained in detail.
7. What will be the percentages of EPF, ESI and Bonus to be paid to the Security Guards Wages including EPF, ESI and Bonus and other components must be paid or deducted as per relevant statutory provisions and/or any other rules/regulations and/or statutes that may be applicable to the contractor and as amended from time to time.
8. What will be the date of opening of Financial Bid The Part-II bid (Financial Bid) of tenderers, which are found eligible after scrutiny of the Part – I (Technical Bid) of the tenders only will be opened. Such bidder(s) will be intimated regarding the date of opening of Part-II through e-mail.
9. Whether the service charges can be below than 6%. As per the Tender Document, the minimum wages and service charge rate (in percentage) has been clearly defined. Minimum rates of wages viz. the Basic rates and Variable Dearness Allowance (VDA), are announced by the Government of India. The contractor shall keep in mind the possible escalation of statutory components other than Basic rates plus VDA and offer their best rates in such a way as to accommodate these incremental costs. The revision in monthly bill amount will be done only proportionally to the increase in basic rates and variable dearness allowance (VDA) parts of the wages. Minimum Wages Rates and Service Charge Rates below the prescribed amount will not be considered. The decision of the Bank in the matter will be final.

Note:

  1. The above amendments / clarifications are issued for the information for all intending bidders.

  2. Minutes of pre-bid meeting shall form the part of bid document / Agreement.

  3. All the other terms, conditions and specifications of the bid document shall continue to remain same.

  4. Submission of Bids shall be construed to be in conformity with the bid document and above clarifications.

  5. It is also advised any further query should be communicated in written format or through telephone call and same will be clarified accordingly.

  6. Scanned copy of this document, duly signed by the vendor, should be uploaded by the vendor along with the Part-I of the tender document.

  7. In addition, the prospective bidders are advised to visit the site for more clarity before quoting final price, in their own interest.

2. Shri Pradeep Rathore, AM, thanked all participants for attending the meeting. The meeting ended at 1400 hrs.


Annexure

S. No. Name of the Firm / Company Name of the Representative
1. Vanya Security Services (P) Ltd. Shri Nitish Mishra
2. Security and Intelligence Services India Ltd / SIS Ltd. Shri Prabhant Kumar

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BBB recommends BoB’s ED Jain for MD & CEO’s position at Indian Bank

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The Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has recommended the candidature of Shanti Lal Jain for the position of MD & CEO in Indian Bank.

Jain is currently Executive Director in Bank of Baroda.

The Bureau also recommended the candidature of Soma Sankara Prasad, Deputy Managing Director at State Bank of India, as the candidate on the Reserve List for the MD & CEO position in the Chennai-headquartered public sector bank.

The Board of the Bureau interfaced with nine candidates from various public sector banks on May 24, 2021, for the forthcoming vacancy of MD & CEO in Indian Bank, BBB said in a statement.

Padmaja Chunduru, current MD & CEO of Indian Bank, will retire on August 31, 2021.

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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The Reserve Bank of India today released on its website the DRG Study* titled, “Threshold Level of Inflation – Concept and Measurement”. The study is co-authored by Professor Ravindra H. Dholakia, Dr. Jai Chander, Smt. Ipsita Padhi and Shri Bhanu Pratap.

The study examines the concept of threshold inflation and defines it as the long run equilibrium rate of inflation that maximises the steady state growth within the relevant range of values. The empirical findings of the study broadly confirm higher threshold inflation and higher growth in emerging market economies than in advanced economies.

(Yogesh Dayal)     
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2021-2022/265


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